If I’m writing the checks, I test out Gunnar, Holliday, Cowser, and Adley in that order.
IMO Gunnar is the obvious choice. Not because others aren’t deserving, but because Gunnar has the potential to get MUCH more expensive than he would be to extend today. Hes a realistic MVP candidate, plays great defense at a premium position, and will hit FA at 27. The Witt contract at 11/288 ($26mm aav) as a starting point is actually a great DEAL relative to the average of the top 5 3B / SS contracts, which all orbit $30-$35mm AAV, and before any natural inflation over the next years of team control.
Said differently, we would likely save $5-10mm per year by extending Gunnar now, which seems like a no brainer to me.
I don’t think the value of Burnes / Adley (finished products, too close to FA), or Holliday (generationally wealthy family) will change much between now and the decision point. Gunnar’s will only go up .
Cowser wasn’t mentioned, and it’s probably not realistic for chemistry reasons until at least Santander has hit FA, but we may be looking at a 35 HR type of bat with solid defense. I’d like to lock that up.