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Ruzious

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Posts posted by Ruzious

  1. 2 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:

    Prior to 2021, Hays appeared in 74 games from his debut in 2017.  He was on the DL several times (minor and ML DL/IL) and was also hurt quite often 
     

    You are the one who brought “injury fatigue” into the conversation.  To say injury fatigue wasn’t there for Hays prior to this year (and he was hurt this year too) is laughable.

    There's a 3 year age difference.  Yes, there's obviously an injury issue with Hays, but it's never been anywhere near what it is with Harvey.     

    • Upvote 1
  2. 1 hour ago, Sports Guy said:

    The comp is you saying that they could have Harvey injury fatigue.  Coming into this season, you could easily say the same thing about Hays.
     

    Im just saying if that’s their issue and why they cut him, that’s dumb…but I do agree with you that it could have factored in. 

    There is no comp - period.    

    • Haha 1
  3. 1 hour ago, Tony-OH said:

    But Hays hasn't missed nearly the time as Harvey has over his career. Hays actually showed he could stay healthy for most of the season after his early injury this year.

    Saying that, he's gotta stay healthy for a couple of seasons before I'd feel confident about him. Hays reminds me of Jeffrey Hammonds. Lots of talent but has to prove he can stay on the field. 

    Hammonds appears to be a great comp to Hays.  He could have been an outstanding player.  

  4. This is a complete guess on my part, but I wouldn't be surprised if there's truth to it. They dumped him because of HHF - Hunter Harvey Fatigue.  After years and years of holding out hope for this dude and his ridiculously outdated mullet, that last interview with Roch was the tipping point - when he had the nerve to publicly blame their people for his 759th injury.  Enough was enough, and with him no longer looking like he had the significant upside to put up with him anymore, the O's said bye.  

  5. Quote

    Under the current MLB-NPB transfer agreement, the Carp would receive a release fee equal to 20% of the first $25 million in guaranteed contract value, plus 17.5% of the next $25 million, plus 15% of any amount beyond $50 million.

    I'm pretty sure that answers any question about whether or not the O's will make any effort to try to get him.  

  6. It's possible we could return the favor to SF and get 27 year old injury-prone Joe McCarthy from them.  He OPS'd .926 in AAA this year in 74 games.  He wouldn't be a major acquisition - but maybe a nice cheap one.  https://www.talkingchop.com/2021/11/4/22763466/2021-2022-minor-league-free-agents-of-interest

     

    Quote

     

    Joe McCarthy (1B/OF, SFG)

    McCarthy’s star has fallen over the past few years, but there’s still plenty there for a team to take a gamble on. Offensively, his bat is the main selling point, as he’s generally been above-average with the bat coupled with good pitch recognition. While power isn’t his strong suit, he still possesses at least average power, although he will need to consistently elevate the ball to make full use of it. And while McCarthy isn’t a standout defender, he’s good enough to at least be capable at either outfield corner or first base. He’s not exactly likely to become an All-Star, but it’s realistic to see an outcome similar to the Rockies’ Connor Joe, who makes the most of the tools he has to be a useful role player.

    Unfortunately, while all of the above are fine, the main limiter on McCarthy is his injury history. His back in particular has been a recurring problem for him the past few years, which has not only turned his development into a series of stop-and-start occurrences, it’s also prevented him from fully tapping into his power potential. As such, McCarthy comes with an extra layer of volatility in that he could potentially bust out entirely through those same health problems. However, he represents a notable buy-low option for teams with unsettled outfield or first base situations, particularly if they can find a way to mitigate his health issues.

    Will he become a free agent?

    I lean towards yes, though it’s not an easy decision. The Giants like to stockpile depth (such as their quick signings of Ka’ai Tom and John Nogowski after their releases), so it’s entirely possible that they try to do the same to McCarthy. McCarthy would be facing a ton of competition in the minors, however, and he might not find it ideal to stay in the organization, instead trying to branch out to another team while retaining any changes brought about in San Francisco’s system.

     

     

     

     

  7. 53 minutes ago, DocJJ said:

    I want stud pitchers too.   But there are only 2 studs even worth mentioning in the top 10- Dylan Lesko and Brock Porter and they are both High Schoolers.   I don't think either is in the running at 1:1.   A HS Right hander has never gone 1:1.  

     

    Unless you want to take a chance on Kumar Rocker...   I don't....!

    I wouldn't be surprised if Rocker's there for the O's in round 2.  

  8. 33 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:

    He has the most upside of anyone left outside of Basallo or maybe Makiol.  
     

    By your justification you can’t have Norby this high either.

     

    39 minutes ago, RZNJ said:

    Do you have to average over 95 to qualify as having an upper 90's fastball?   He may not have a Hall or Rodriguez fastball but he might be just below those guys going by the reports I read on here.

     

    Jean Pinto just made his Delmarva debut. Was 95-97, with a 88-91 mph changeup with drop and fade, 88 mph slider, and an 83 MPH curveball. Struck out 2 of 3 batters he faced in the 1st inning. Definitely just showed up on the prospect scene!

    Thanks for the correction - assuming he kept that up.  The scouting reports I read said that his fastball was around 92.

  9. 28 minutes ago, NCRaven said:

    I went with Bradish.  He's near ML ready and actually pitched well this year.  Unlike Lowther, Wells, Akin, Kremer....  Pinto may end up better but has not shown it at the higher levels, yet.

    I'll be honest - I think people are rating Pinto too high, because he's only pitched at the low levels - and really doesn't even have many innings there - and was never highly regarded before this season.  And it's not like he has an upper 90's fastball.  I agree that he's an interesting prospect, but I don't see him being rated this highly.  

  10. With Rom, I guess the question is his fastball.  Is it going to be the same issue with him as it is with Alex Wells?  I think there's some projection left - with his lean frame and still just 21.  He stands out as far as production, level, and age.  It's also a plus being a lefty.  Succeeding at 21 at Bowie - and everywhere else - with a tremendous K/W ratio.  Melewski had an interesting aritcle in May on some of the O's pitching prospects - this was a quote he got from Kyle Moore - who coached Rom in at least one level. 

    Quote

    Moore on Rom: “I love Rom. I saw him pitch all season in 2019. A super-athletic lefty with a bunch of different pitches and commands all of them. So when you are standing there, you have no idea what arm slot he’s coming out of, and he’s got five pitches and at some point of the game he threw them all for strikes. Really nasty split-finger. So that is his real nasty swing-and-miss thing. His velocity is 92, 94 (mph). He’s got sneaky velocity. You think he’s a normal lefty and you go back to the dugout saying, ‘That thing really jumped on me.’ Really like Rom’s pitchability. He’s young, a high school kid from Kentucky. But he has outstanding feel for his pitches for a young kid.”

    So, when he says his velocity is "92, 94" - he probably means his max velocity.  If he can get his average velocity to 93, he's the O's #10 prospect, imo - like a poor man's Max Fried.     

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