wildbillhiccup
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Posts posted by wildbillhiccup
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Trade for one of the Marlins's SPs (Cabrera, Rogers, or Meyer). All three should be somewhat affordable and have considerably more upside than any of the remaining FAs not named Snell or Montgomery.
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5 minutes ago, G54377 said:
The comparison was only about the clubhouse being comfortable bringing him in. That's why I specifically mentioned that in my post. They are obviously not the same thing.
Nelson Cruz was known to be great clubhouse guy. Trevor Bauer is an egocentric narcissist who only cares about himself. I'm still not making the connection.
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1 minute ago, jcaponio said:
That study was done on injured pitchers, not a bunch of fatsos who work in cubicles.
Then name some (MLB pitchers) other than Tanaka who avoided surgery. I can name two, Ohtani and deGrom, who didn't avoid it in 2023.
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5 minutes ago, interloper said:
The data I want to know is, how many of those 62% eventually had the surgery within the next 3 years?
...and how many were MLB pitchers who regularly and strenuously use their UCL ligaments? Sure if I'm just sitting on my couch drinking beer I might be able to avoid surgery, but to avoid it as a pitcher seems very unrealistic.
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Just now, G54377 said:
If the clubhouse is comfortable with Bauer I'd say go for it. Didn't we do something similar with Nelson Cruz? Granted that's roids vs. sexual assault.
That comparison is an absolute slap in Nelson Cruz's face.
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1 minute ago, jcaponio said:
62% doesn't seem like "rarely" to me, but nobody can say for sure without having access to his medical records.
https://twitter.com/LockedOnOrioles/status/1758155638876581923/photo/1
A sprained UCL for a regular Joe Schmo compared to a pitcher who uses that ligament strenuously with regularity is a completed different scenario and the odds are definitely not 62%.
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Just now, interloper said:
Ok, so you and Corn have both named the same guy haha. We have a data set of... one guy.
I acknowledge that it's possible, of course. But a tear is a tear and it's permanent damage.
I'd say the odds of Bradish avoiding surgery are slightly better than one of us winning the lottery. It sucks, but that's just the reality of the situation and I'm sure Elias is operating under that assumption.
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Just now, ThisIsBirdland said:
What's the incentive to put a positive spin on it? He's savvy enough to know it'd be better to lower/manage expectations now if the odds of the treatment weren't reasonably high IMO.
When has Elias ever been straight / completely honest with the press? 99% of his pressers are a bunch of words strung together with no substance. That's all this was.
Non-surgical treatment rarely works for a sprained/torn UCL. It's not a question of if he's going to need surgery it's a question of when.
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19 minutes ago, Hank Scorpio said:
He would cost next to nothing and would probably be fairly competent.
"Fairly competent" isn't worth all the other baggage IMO.
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2 hours ago, RVAOsFan said:
I think this is a bit of an over reaction. Is there a chance this happens? Yes. However, the GM stated this morning he expects him back this season. I think we can wait and see how the throwing program goes over the next couple weeks before we call the season a wrap.
In this case I don't think he's overreacting. A sprained UCL is about a big of red flag as you can off for a pitcher and odds are overwhelming that this will lead to surgery. It usually does. As for Elias quote, I wouldn't read too much into his optimism. It's nothing more than a GM trying to put a somewhat positive spin on the situation.
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33 minutes ago, dystopia said:
The thread was created with that intention. He always knows how to walk that fine line while simultaneously baiting people to cross it with their responses.
100%, but I do appreciate the irony that the person the angry mob is rallying behind doesn't even chew tobacco. It's like a scene out of a Borat film.
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Interesting thread. In one corner we have the folks who claim to be bothered by this, but who are clearly trying to make it about something much bigger than a tobacco ban. In the other corner you have the folks who just seem to be sympathetic towards the folks who work at the stadium who have to clean up that disgusting sh*t. At the end of the day if you're discreet I highly doubt that anyone is going to stop you from dipping at a game. So it's much ado about nothing.
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5 minutes ago, emmett16 said:
I think the whole idea of the lab is try and do better than what Driveline is doing all while keeping your secrets in house. If you are simply sending your guys to Driveline you don't own the data and you also aren't creating a competitive advantage, because anyone can go there. The other piece is to save some money by doing it in house and also aligning your entire system, so they are hearing and practicing the same things from the top to the bottom. It is curious that some of their players do go to Driveline (Tate for example). I'd love to hear an interview with him and see what he has to say about both labs, why he chose to go outside the org, and which labs he preferred (at least as much as he can say w/o breaking an NDA).
Other organizations have hired employees from Driveline. That would be another possible direction to go.
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I appreciate the general sentiment of this post / suggestion, but wouldn't it be better for the team to just offer to foot the bill for any player who wants to spend some time at Driveline Baseball in the offseason if they want to learn a new pitch and/or tweak some aspect of their game? That seems to be the gold standard right now. If Yale already exists there's no reason to try to start our own university.
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57 minutes ago, ThisIsBirdland said:
FYI Soler just signed with SF for 3/$42m.
Pretty reasonable annual salary, but I'm amazed they gave him a three year deal. They would have been better off resigning Pederson or signing Renfroe.
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16 minutes ago, Just Regular said:
Now just need JD Martinez terms so Santander's agent can start preparing the sales pitches.
Teoscar - my guy's younger
Soler - my guy can field some
JD Martinez - both
Hays' overall value runs strongly with Santander as he's more of a well-rounded 2-way player, but Santander has the same edge on this group as Hays has on him.
Intrinsically it probably takes a Career Year to draw the QO, and practically some of how Kjerstad/Cowser do in 2024 might nudge it if it is close.
Who is he preparing the sales pitch for? Because there's no world in which it makes sense for this team to offer / extend Santander to a long term deal.
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11 minutes ago, Satyr3206 said:
I don't agree that HR's are overrated. My reasoning is simple. Runs win games. HR's score runs.
You can get on base all you want, but if you don't score it doesn't help you win.
They're overrated in the sense that almost everyone can hit them now. For context nearly 50 players hit more than 29 HRs in MLB last season and nearly 100 hit more than 20 HRs. It's about supply an demand and it's pretty damn easy replace HRs in this era. That's why players who hit HRs AND who get on base are the modern day standard of what a pure power bat would be in the 90s. And Santander only checks one of those boxes.
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18 hours ago, Sports Guy said:
Solid 2ish WAR guy whose value is overrated by the fan base. I consistently see people act like trading him would cause our offense to plummet and that he’s not replaceable.
Been a fantastic rule 5 pick, that’s for sure.
If I can quantify this a bit more I think Santander is specifically overrated by the some of th older fan base who still think home runs are a rarity and and one of the most important offensive statisitics. Santander is a solid player, but the problem is the areas in which he contributes are arguably the easiest categories to replace. We could cut him today and sign Jorge Soler to a one year deal and not miss a beat offensively. Mediocre fielding home run hitters who don't steal bases, hit for average, or get on base with any regularity are a dime a dozen and very low on the value chart in the modern area of baseball.
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2 hours ago, sportsfan8703 said:
Santa would’ve hit 39 HR last year in NYY, ATL, PHI last year. 29 in OPACY. How would that affect what we think about him?
Jake Burger hit 34 home runs in 100 less ABs than Santander last season and I bet that 50% of the posters on this message board have never even heard of him. When are you all going to stop placing so much emphasis on a dying stat like HRs? It's not the 90s anymore! My point is it doesn't matter how many more HRs Santander would have hit in other parks because it's one of the easiest stats to replace. We're almost to the start of Spring Training and there are still multiple FAs available (Martinez, Soler) who can either match or exceed what Santander brings to the table. That should tell you how much GMs dig/value the long ball.
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22 minutes ago, Tony-OH said:
Kjerstad looked nowhere near playable at 1B last year. Now I imagine he's had a whole off season of working on it so perhaps he'll be better. Heck, I hope he can show that he can play there because it opens up more PAs for him.
I agree with the OP, O'Hearn probably needs to go. Can't send a 26-year old Kjerstad back to AAA of give him 300 PAs between RF, DH and maybe an occasional LF start in Boston. O'Hearn is not good enough defensively in RF for him to gain value there so hopefully a team will have a need at 1B/DH and come a knocking late in spring training.
In hindsight I do find it a bit interesting that our general mentality (myself included) is that we can basically stick anyone at 1B. Even stranger considering that a lot of us probably grew up watching one of the best in game (at the time) play in Eddie Murray. Hopefully they give Kjerstad plenty of reps at 1B in the OF during Spring Training and he gets more comfortable at one or both positions. That would certainly make getting his bat in the lineup a heckuva lot easier, even without a trade.
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17 hours ago, Just Regular said:
I put it that way as except in the event of a surprise Santander or Hays trade, it seems pretty unlikely they both make the team, but whichever one does, this might be their role.
Honestly splitting hairs between Kjerstad and Cowser I think his veteranosity relative to Cowser might give him an edge. We'll probably see LHP from the Angels 2 of the first 3 games, and I hope Kjerstad gets his hacks at Reid Detmers and Patrick Sandoval too.
Oh I'm not questioning grouping them together (because it's probably more realistic), but in my perfect world Cowser would get the majority of his ABs in the OF and Kjerstad at DH. A boy can dream...
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I want the answer to be Kjerstad alone (not combined with Cowser).
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22 minutes ago, Roll Tide said:
If you drop the Covid season he’s done that 4 out of 5 seasons. I mean the lowest of the 4 is 99 RBI. He had an off year in 2022….so when you say very little you’re wildly exaggerating. Homers 28, 33, 36, and 43
I don't quite understand why you're dismissing the fact that he was bad in the COVID season? it still counts! He was bad in 2020 and mediocre in 2022. So two of the last four seasons he's been mediocre or below average. And he regressed considerably in OBP last season, which was really one of the only things that separated Martinez from all the other generic power hitters. And he's about to turn 37 this summer. That's A LOT of red flags.
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4 minutes ago, scottbbfm said:
Probably because 3rd base John was impossible to negotiate with.
I suspect Rubenstein continues with the concerts. That sort of thing can make the area a 365 attraction I think he genuinely interested in making the area better. Sure he’ll make some money on it - but he’s not gonna try and squeeze every last dollar out of stuff like the Angelos’ did.
Maybe he’ll buy the Hilton. That would be interesting….
Speaking of 3rd Base...John deserves an eternal "gas face".
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Kyle Bradish Has Sprained UCL, Will Start Season On IL (4/9 Update: Assigned rehab assignment w/Aberdeen)
in Orioles Talk
Posted
How long have you been defending the character of a stranger?