emmett16
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Posts posted by emmett16
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1 hour ago, Frobby said:
Well, I still don’t think it’s safe to say he’ll end up over .800 OPS, but I certainly hope so.
Got me thinking more about Markakis' rookie year - what else is there to do in 2021 as an O's fan.
After 99 games in 2006 Markakis had 86 hits / 14 doubles / 4 home runs /27BB & a .746 OPS. In his last 48 games he hit 11 dobules and 12 homers / OPS .879 and He finished the year @ .799.
After 99 games in 2021 Mountcastle has 95 hits / 18 doubles / 18 Hr/23BB & a .775 OPS. He has some work to do, but he has put himself in position to finish season above .800. I don't he has 11 doubles and 12 homers in the tank. As you said, .850 down stretch is what he will need to play to. Safe was an overstatement, but I believe he has a very good shot to finish better than Markakis did his rookie year.
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Will he backflip for a hold or does it have to be a save?
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8 minutes ago, Frobby said:
I don’t know why you’d say it’s safe to say Mountcastle will beat .799. Players have their ups and downs and there’s no telling where Mountcastle will land. He’d need to put up almost an .850 OPS the rest of the way to end up over .799 on the year. I’m not saying he can’t do it, but I sure wouldn’t say it’s “safe” that he will.
To my point,Nick had an .860 OPS at the end of August of his rookie year, had been scorching hot for 2.5 months (1.140 OPS in August) and then OPS’d .599 in September/October to get to his .799 overall number.
When he puts ball in play it results in doubles and homers. I think he will be putting the ball in play consistently over the next two months. He's hit at all levels and I believe he will continue to hit.
I mis-remembered. Just went back to look. You're correct, his scorcher was August and then slowed off. In my head it was the very end of the season.
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Went back to check out Markakis’ first year stats. Mountcastle will end up doing better due to the power. Markakis ended year with .799 OPS. Think it’s safe to say Mountcastle bests that. He has already out homered Nick and is 2 doubles away from Nicks freshman year tally.
Interesting note: Markakis walked 43 times rookie year for a 7.9% of PA.
edit
Markakis Walk rates:
2006 - 7.9%
2007 - 8.6%
2008 - 14.2%
2009 - 7.9%
2010 - 10.3%
2011 - 8.7%
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I fully expect him to hit like Markakis did the last two months of his rookie season. At least, that was my hope for him going into year. Take some knocks first half of year or so then go off the last couple months showing that he is a legit middle of the order MLB bat.
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2 hours ago, OrioleDog said:
Bumped to 2nd tonight - Brown in top of the 1st on broadcast said it was first time this year.
I have to imagine he is more comfortable playing 2b. I hope he continues to hit cover off ball. He’s been fun to watch.
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This one is insane as well.
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18 hours ago, scOtt said:
I've BARELY, if ever, gotten the rhythm right on this one...
Concept of cyclical time is a tough one. Creating cyclical time in a song is pure genius. Yorke's best work.
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80s were awesome. Just have to sift through a bunch of garbage to find the gems.
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6 minutes ago, RZNJ said:
Just saying!
Thanks for pointing that out. I should have written *trying to put the ball in play more. Obviously with the higher K rate, that's not happening at the moment. I saw an interview with him a little ways back about his approach on working to all fields & his work on hitting off speed pitches. Said when he first came up after hitting 30 hr in minors, it was just launch launch launch, and that this year he made major adjustments.
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5 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:
On a more serious note, it isn't an easy thing to find someone with JJ Hardy level defense.
What's so hard about finding someone with impeccable glove skills & a deadly accurate cannon who also happens to be the consummate professional?
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5 minutes ago, Frobby said:
Tate, Sulser, Fry and Wells are guys I can see forming part of a good bullpen.
As to Scott, he’s either dominant or worthless, depending on the day. To me, he’s OK as a 6th/7th inning guy but you have to be ready to pull the plug at a moment’s notice. I don’t trust him in high leverage situations.
Tate has been quietly pretty fantastic as have the other 3 you mentioned.
Obviously Mullins is the big take away from this season, but I'd say these four guys in the bullpen separated themselves from that pack and provided a glimpse of some hope for a solid BP.
Once Wells is back and performing, I'd really like to see him get stretched and tried as a starter. If he could successfully start 2 or 3 games in September, that would be a big boon going into next year.
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30 minutes ago, Legend_Of_Joey said:
“Informal rehab?” First time I’ve heard that.
"Informal demotion*"
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On 8/2/2021 at 11:32 AM, DrungoHazewood said:
You can get a decent lathe for $600, a used one at an estate sale would probably be half that. Go around any major campus at the end of the semester and you can find old loft beds just abandoned. Pick up the wood, go in with some of your teammates, and save some cash.
Not sure if you are joking or not. I played collegiate summer ball with a guy who had a lathe and made his/our bats for the team that summer. I didn't like them that much, but after my first half dozen of C271s busted I was happy to use them.
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Sign me up for Martin SS & Urias 2b for last two months of the season. Urias has earned the chance and Martin brings best defensive & who knows, maybe the bat improves. Let Jones continue to work at 2b in Norfolk unless his bat absolutely forces the issue.
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9 hours ago, Jammer7 said:
Hays’ swing is much different than in 2019. He is off balance, more of a slasher now. I agree that he has never been a platoon split guy like this, but he is not the same hitter he was before.
He did change his swing and is trying to put the ball in play more. He has also increased his Barrel %, Avg. Exit Velocity, & Max Exit Velocity. He struggles on off-speed pitches and it looks like he's making that a focus this year to work on. His foot speed and defense metrics are down a bit suggesting he may be playing hurt a bit. K rate is up a bit and BB rate down a bit which makes sense as he's gone through league a couple times now. It's time for him to make an adjustment. Will be interesting to see how he holds up these last 8 weeks.
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To me he looks a little beat up. If he can make it through this season, that will be a huge confidence builder. He changed his swing to get more contact this year. His doubles are being hit all over the ball park. I think he builds off this year and has a big year next year when he starts to hear the footsteps right behind him.
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13 minutes ago, Explosivo said:
Ok sounds good. I just like being positive and like what the Orioles see in him at the position. I think he’s a good kid, a hard worker and I think he will improve over time at 2B. I think he can be an asset. We also have Norby now as well and Martin and Urias so it’s not like Elias is putting all his eggs into one basket at all. Competition will yield the best outcome. I like the sound of a Henderson, Westburg, Norby/Urias/Jones/Martin and Mountcastle infield to go along with our outfielders and of course Adley behind the plate. We are close boys.
Norby. Now we are talking. I can't wait.
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I like this thread a lot. I assume you saw the piece on Britton and the Bowie team. Seems this is a focus. For me this is the nuts and bolts 101 class stuff. Hitting is so difficult. If you aren't giving yourself a chance by swing at balls you can't do anything with you are a dead man walking. I love that they have metrics and rewards in place for Pitch Recognition in lower levels.
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I'm excited to see what Martin brings. Kid had some tough luck. I imagine, at the very least, he must be stronger. I'd like to see him at SS and Urias at 2b.
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35 minutes ago, Explosivo said:
Gee, it’s not like people can improve on prior numbers or something. Give it time. That’s a luxury we can give him.
If Jones is the long term plan, we are in for a world of hurt a la Bull Durham. When he gets his shot at 2b, you'll see. He's a butcher. I wish the man all the luck in the world and hope he succeeds. I'll happily eat crow if he's a serviceable 2b, but I'll very much doubt that will be the case.
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On 7/31/2021 at 11:31 PM, Il BuonO said:
Good call. I’ve wondered if he might even be good in a closer role with as hard as he throws and the movement he gets on the two seam FB.
Whatever it is, they need to get him out of the rotation. The experiment has run its course.
Man, this guy frustrates me. He has nasty stuff. I don’t think he has “it” between the ears. I’ve watched him warm up before games a couple times and he just goes through a sloppy routine, not a ton of focus, always chatting with whoever is around. He scares me out of pen because you never know who is gonna show up. I loved his stuff but I think I’m ready to pass.
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On 7/30/2021 at 5:43 PM, Frobby said:
I think the Jays biggest need is pitching so they went out and got an above average major league starter. I wouldn’t have traded Rutschman or Torkelson for Berrios, but to me it’s a reasonable deal. And I guess from the Jays standpoint they got an above average starter out of their pick, although only for 1.3 seasons.
I think the Jay's are banking on signing him long term, as well. I like the move. Tres cojones.
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5 hours ago, sportsfan8703 said:
I’m coming around to the idea of offering Mancini 3/40+ this year. He’s a good story. The face of our team. He’s worth more to the O’s than another team. I just don’t see him bringing back a return to justify trading him.
And trade Mountcastle? Seems to me the prudent move would be to trade away the 3rd year arb salary and replace with a player in second year of league minimum contract (who has more upside).
What are you listening to right now?
in Music
Posted
It's a Fugazi kinda of afternoon.