I disagree pretty whole-heartedly with all of this.
Regarding the SB, just because "it happens" doesn't mean it wasn't a mistake. I like the attempt at the steal there also, but the bottom line is he was put in a pinch runner and made a foolish out when he had the bag swiped easily.
The poor route to the ball wasn't on the throw home, it was on a previous play. To be fair that one was a tough play to make, but he definitely didn't take a good route to it.
And I highly disagree about the 0.01% chance on the throw home. He took like 3-4 steps before throwing the ball and it was still a relatively close play. He probably lost at least a half a second just by not being ready to throw, which is an eternity in that context.
All in all a very bad night for him.