Hallas

It was chilly today. It doesn't really warm up in LA until like July. But summer kind of lingers through October.

Sano sure moves well for a defensive tackle.

its 390 to the middle of the power alley. I'm guessing 375-385 to the point Adley hit it.

That hit should be charged to the catcher for dropping 2 foul tips.

Hard to predict that he made a deal with the Devil.

Yeah I think he's out.

That's a line-out if Mateo doesn't steal two bags.

in what world is that a swing? lmfao

75-100 total? Or additional?

I think they'd trade him but only for multiple prospects. Which, to be fair to the Orioles, we could give up and only marginally affect our future because of our prospect backlog. There's always the question of whether that would be worth it. Would you trade, say, Kjerstad and McDermott together for Miller? That's a lot to give up. There aren't a lot of great options though among teams that have great relievers but aren't going to the playoffs. Clase probably makes more sense but the Indians probably aren't giving him up unless they slump horribly. Maybe a reunion with Hunter Harvey? He looks like he's found a pretty good niche in the bullpen over in DC, and he's been unhittable this year.

Even if you're only buying Miller as a reliever this year, there's always the non-zero chance he goes back to being a starter later on. He's got another 5 years of control and he wasn't a bad starter last year in 6 starts. But if he keeps doing this he's basically as valuable as a #2 starter.

Man I wish they weren't playing on a weekday. It's a little too much for me to get out there midweek.

OPS over .850, batted ball data that suggests it's not lucky, not striking out 30% of the time? This is a layman's observation but I've noticed that Holliday has also been hitting it to center or the other way a lot in his minor league highlights, and then when he's in the majors he's been late to everything. If I had to identify something specific to work on, I would likely want him to work on pulling the ball on a line or in the air a little bit more.

I'm giving him to 100 PAs unless he shows us something. Basically double what he has now. When you're this bad I don't think you need a significant sample to have confidence that he's overwhelmed. I felt the same way about Cowser last year and Holliday is far worse right now. If he takes a month in the minors and rights himself he'll come right back up. Stuff happens, he's 20, he'll get over it, and if he doesn't then he probably wasn't likely to ever have sustained MLB success anyway.

why walk to 1 base when you can walk to all 4?

Would Kjerstad get us MIller? He's only got 1 year less of control, and Miller was a decent starter last year. If he goes back to being a starter and finds success, then even if Kjerstad does decently for them, it's not a great deal for them. I'm not terribly worried about reliever volatility, because with guys like Miller we have a lot of publicly available data that show that he's likely to continue being elite, if for no other reason than, he throws 103, he can throw it in the general vicinity of the strike zone a decently high percentage of the time, and he's proven that hitters can't catch up to it.

I don't know if asking at this point is going to solicit honest responses but here we go: how worried were you in the offseason about Westburg's late-season slump? I wasn't terribly worried but I'd understand why if you were. It was more just frustrating because both O'Hearn and Westburg slumped at the same time and it just killed our offense going into the playoffs. For what it's worth, ZIPS had him as an above-average regular this season and going forward. Their algorithm seemed pretty impressed with his half-season audition. For sure though, even if I wasn't worried I certainly wasn't expecting him to brush close to 1.000 OPS in his first month. And I imagine there weren't many people that were.

Both of them are going to slug .700 for the rest of the year, obviously.

Yes, he replaced Heasley, and somehow still has a lower ERA than Heasley does.

How about Mason Miller? He is still pre-arb.

Because he was an improvement over the pitcher whose place he took. Which of course isn't saying much. Or maybe it's saying a lot. About the previous pitcher.

Is the issue with Holliday the leg kick? I wonder if he'd benefit a toe tap? His swing doesn't look long, so it seems to me like a timing issue.

The fact that Chris Davis had multiple years with a BB% over 11% tells you all you need to know about how correlated plate discipline is with BB%.

So things like swing rate, swinging strike rate, FB rate/GB rate get to an r^2 >= .5 like 60 PAs, and EV and launch angle in around 40 batted balls. We're a hair short, but not that much. Like I said, it's enough for some rough trends.

Just my 2 cents, but I like the 1/9. The 10-game intervals was a little too frequent, but 18 games seems like a decent enough sample size to get some rough trends. And holy crap we have 4/9 guys in our lineup that are hotter than the Sun.