99ct
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Everything posted by 99ct
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Unfortunately it seems there's some serious survivor bias here. Not only does this fail to account for players who left MLB between the ages of 30-36, but, as I understand it, the sample is limited to players who are still top 100 players at age 36+. How do you know that Rendon will be a top 100 player at age 36+? That's part of the question your seeking to answer, so it really can't be used as an assumption also.
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Ranking the best Orioles draft picks of the 21st Century
99ct replied to Frobby's topic in Orioles Talk
Eduardo Rodriguez was signed rather than drafted, so he doesn’t literally fit Frobby’s list. However the spirit of this thread (uncovering young talent) does include ERod. Probably in the top ten. Schoop as well. -
Great question. I think I would - not to run from NYY and BOS (although that would actually be a valid reason, too) but rather for an interesting change of scenery and because I like NL ball.
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I know. IMO its the toughest division in MLB, but I was poking a little fun at the idea that all five teams are good at the same time.
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I only count three lol
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Clips of Adam/Paredes (O's) and Villar (Astros) Steals of Home
99ct replied to LA2's topic in Orioles Talk
Hmm #16? Wei yen Chen is the only one who matches the description of being a lefty who worn #16 during the seasons Villar was in Houston -
Thanks for posting some interesting stats. I always hate losing to the Yankees, but tonight, a small smile appeared on my face as I remembered that this helps our draft position. Thanks, Yankees!
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From a "pure economics" stand point, it wouldn't make much sense to be "growing bats" when the league currently has a surplus of hitters - even if its due to the allegedly juiced balls. Pitching is at a premium, as it almost always is, so going to buy it doesn't seem like a great idea. My guess is the reason the draft focused on position players is because the front office wanted the best players available, regardless of position. Might go dip into the pitching pond next draft.
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How happy are you with year 1 of the rebuild so far?
99ct replied to mrpennybags's topic in Orioles Talk
I voted content. The team is in the hunt for 1:1 without being historically bad. This recent run has actually been a little fun, dare I say! And even though the MLB team is clearly bad, there are enough players providing hope, or at least entertainment value. In the minors, we added Rutschman, and I’m giving Elias the benefit of the doubt on some of these prospects. I couldn’t vote “pleased” because it’s your top choice and to me that would require some sort of unusual surprise to the upside (for example, some serious talent infusion in the minors, or killer trades) and I don’t think we have that yet -
He's been replaced by other know-it-alls who are never wrong and talk down on everyone else. lmao
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Is it already the middle of August ?
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I was thinking of current players on mlb rosters but the discussion is interesting even with broader scope. Thanks for pointing DOD out, I didn’t realize he was rule 5 as well
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It might actually be interesting to expand the question to rule 5 picks across all of baseball. I imagine there must be some good ones other there, but I have little exposure to other teams R5 picks.
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From a purely mathematical standpoint, it may be because there are far fewer players getting contract through ages 38-40. Take away the old dudes and the average automatically gets younger, even without regard to when the youngest are being promoted
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Interesting take, but my counterpoint is this: players being good until ~37 means more “supply” of good players, and thus a better chance at competing. Back in the early 2000s, the yanks were dumping prospects left and right
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But that’s what makes this such an interesting question
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Adley Rutschman to start at GCL for a game or two, then to Aberdeen
99ct replied to MurphDogg's topic in Orioles Talk
To be fair, his star faded pretty quick. If you didn’t know who he was in his first few years, there would be no reason to know him -
Did anyone see Matt Carpenter get a double by bunting down the third base line, away from the shift? A funny moment, and one that I thought the OH would appreciate
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Perhaps the most interesting question - and also most difficult to answer - is, how have the guys we “wanted” but didn’t trade for performed? Obviously that involves a lot of speculation as to who was a realistic trade target.
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That would be nice, but I’m pretty sure we’ve been over this and decided there was no precedent for this, nor would the MLBPA be totally cool with it. I guess one can always hope though.
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In my opinion, the only reason to keep him on the team is that we’re paying him, and the idea of paying him without making him give effort is offensive, on principle. Sooner or later we’ll need that roster spot. I don’t think we’re there yet, but Davis’ clock is ticking.
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Too lazy to look it up right now and confirm, but I’m pretty sure Theo Epstein traded for Rizzo twice
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Should Baseball Have The Franchise Tag Or Max Contracts?
99ct replied to ORIOLE33's topic in Orioles Talk
What is Peter's current status as owner, has he officially transitioned out? Lol for some reason my mind seems to have blocked out most of the last year -
Should Baseball Have The Franchise Tag Or Max Contracts?
99ct replied to ORIOLE33's topic in Orioles Talk
Oh ok I didn’t realize that. That changes my opinion.