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NCRaven

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Posts posted by NCRaven

    Fangraphs’ Ben Clemens: “C’mon Orioles, Do Something!”

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    44 minutes ago, deward said:

    The thing is, it doesn't matter if Montgomery isn't peak Verlander. It only matters if he's a meaningful upgrade from Cole Irvin at the moment. Or Kremer, or Means. If he is, then he's worth the market rate. Clemen's main point here, and he's 100% correct, is that Elias will most likely NEVER have a better nexus of MLB-ready talent and low payroll than he has right now. If he won't, or can't, take advantage of this opportunity, then something will have been lost that he can't get back. Having a group of guys this talented, all arriving at once so that they're this cheap, is in no way a scenario that is guaranteed to repeat again, even if they go through another rebuild.  If he, or Angelos, isn't willing to push for a title under these circumstances, then when will they ever?

    I understand both your and Clemens' points.  I'm just saying that Elias may not see 4 years of Montgomery or anyone else that is available as a significant upgrade over the internal options that are available.  I would probably disagree with Elias, but so far, that seems to be the case.

    Fangraphs’ Ben Clemens: “C’mon Orioles, Do Something!”

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    I get everything he says.  But he really is light on what he thinks they should do other than his plea for "something."  Basically, sign Jordan Montgomery and pay whatever it takes to get Cease.  I like Montgomery and would be willing to sign him.  But Montgomery isn't exactly peak Verlander.  The Sox seem to want more than any team is willing to trade.  Maybe Elias just isn't all that thrilled with what's available externally this year.  

    • Upvote 1

    Which Pitcher Are You Most Willing To Give Up In A Trade

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    6 hours ago, Sports Guy said:

    Seth Johnson does next to nothing to move the needle on any trade right now. He would be the last piece of a trade..a throw in type guy.

    Interesting take when Elias sought him in a trade when we knew in advance that he'd have to sit out a year to rehab.  Yet now that he is ready to pitch again he'd only be the last piece in a trade?

    Is our no. 2 - 5 prospect pecking order all that clear?

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    7 minutes ago, Tony-OH said:

    The only reason to move Basallo off catcher is to save his legs so it doesn't affect his bat.

    The only reason that I see for moving Basallo is Rutschman's presence as the everyday catcher and the lack of quality 1B depth in the system.  As I've said elsewhere, I think Mayo fits best in RF with his arm and an already full slate of infielders capable of playing 3B (Henderson and Westburg, primarily).  I don't think Kjerstad belongs in the infield.  Just from a roster building standpoint, a lineup of Rutschman (C), Basallo (1B), Holliday (2B), Henderson (3B), Mayo (RF), Bradfield (CF), Cowser (LF), and Kjerstad (DH) would be a homegrown dream team.  And, there is more talent on the farm.

    Why Ryan O’Hearn Must Go (Sorry, Ryan)

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    To be clear, I don't believe that Mountcastle should be on any "no-trade" list, like Holliday, Mayo and Basallo.  In fact, I've said several times that I think that Basallo could be his ultimate replacement by 2025.  And, I think Mayo fits best in RF with Kjerstad belonging nowhere near the infield grass. 

    I just think that this board generally undervalues Mountcastle.  His career OPS+ is 114.  That's not average.  It's 14% above league average.  His Statcast numbers are outstanding with all of xwOBA (81 percentile), xBA (80), xSLG (89), Avg Exit Velo (83), Barrel% (79), Hard Hit% (70) and Sweet Spot% (66) all well above average.  His Sprint Speed was 73 percentile, very high for a first baseman.  Even his K% (43) and BB% (41) were close to middle of the pack.  Contrary to public opinion, players with those numbers don't grow on trees.

    • Upvote 1

    Cease vs everyone else

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    5 hours ago, sportsfan8703 said:

    He’s the Livvy Dunne of message board “influencers”. Gotta put him #1. 

    I had no idea who she was.  You made me Google her.  Young enough to be my grand daughter.  And, I don't care.  😉

     

    Realistic Free Agent #3 Pitchers

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    7 hours ago, Can_of_corn said:

    Any GM's "style" is going to be influenced by the desires of the owner.  What Elias is doing here might be very different than what he'd do if the Yankees hired him to replace Cashman.

    True, any GM will do what the owner tells him to do and if that's spend money, he'll spend money.  And, with New York money, he could buy free agents and still hug is prospects.

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