ChosenOne21
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Posts posted by ChosenOne21
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So we're going to have fewer relievers available to us during a stretch with no off days? Cool.
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Just now, O's84 said:
Look everyone, Stowers got on base!
Is Stowers really faster than Hays or are they easing him back into games after the leg injury?
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Yes! Austin!!!
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42 minutes ago, Morgan423 said:
I would say no.
The last game in this series will be played in July. Just because it was postponed, doesn't mean it's not still a game in this series.This is my thinking as well.
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At least Westy found the gap!
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Cowser stings another one and has nothing to show for it. Guy always seems to hit the ball hard right at someone.
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19 hours ago, glenn__davis said:
Honestly I just don't sweat MiLB defensive reports very much. I've seen too many inaccurate reports from all over the place, both ways. DJ Stewart was supposed to be competent. I saw multiple first hand accounts questioning Manny's defense and he was one of the best I've ever seen. Wieters was supposed to be a stud, Caleb Joseph was supposedly a poor defender. Westburg supposedly had limited range. The list goes on and on.
Not saying I discount all of it, I think there are a lot of factors that go into MiLB defense that maybe don't apply as much at the MLB level. Bad fields, bad lighting, and honestly just a general lack of focus. I think it's easy to be a bit non-chalant with your defense when you're at Perdue Stadium in front of 3,000 fans, a little different when you're at OPACY. The focus level has to ratchet up a bit.
DJ Stewart was supposed to be adequate defensively. He wasn't even that.
Only questions I remember about Machado's defense were his ability to stick at SS, which he couldn't. I don't think anyone thought he'd be questionable at 3B
Wieters was a defensive stud. His game calling, not so much.
Joseph was a poor defender when we first got him. We actually developed him into a great defensive catcher.
Westburg doesn't have the range you want at SS, but I don't think anyone was saying he couldn't play 2B or 3B at least decently.
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8 hours ago, Cuellar35 said:
Goodness but the Orioles management and scouts sure do seem to find guys on the scrap heap who help them win ballgame. O'Hearn, Irvin, Hicks last year. All I know is I hope Elias is here to stay.
O'Hearn and Hicks, yeah, but we traded Darell Hernaiz for Irvin. And it's not like Hernaiz was a bad prospect at the time, nor Irvin a bad pitcher.
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Given that he has historically tailed off in the second half and on the off chance he is done as a regular, I went with .650-.699
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1 minute ago, Aglets said:
QS isn't too bad.
It's certainly much better than "pitching wins."
Problem is that the game is evolving where fewer and fewer pitchers are going 6. But it's still relevant and the good ones can still do it.
I think a modified version of QS is about as good as we're going to get. 6 IP is becoming vanishingly rare.
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Just now, DrungoHazewood said:
If I had one reason to trade him it would be the injury risk for Miller is about 30 times higher than for a non-pitcher.
Yeah, it's possible they could prefer the safe asset and the Orioles, being strongly in contention, prefer to take the risk.
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23 minutes ago, Explosivo said:
Re-read your comment and realize that the only way you “stop having to hear about it” is for us to..you know, get swept. Perhaps you continue to think people put words in your mouth because you don’t understand what you are saying.
In spleen's defense, people could just stop talking about it. Probably not going to happen though.
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I wish we had an elegant counting statistic to evaluate pitcher effectiveness that was better than wins. I don't really care about pitching wins--I mean, it's better to get them than not to--but I don't look at it at all to evaluate how good a pitcher is. Everyone knows what the problems with that statistic are.
At a minimum, we need a better "rule of thumb" for the HoF than 300 pitching wins, or we're going to have a hard time inducting starting pitchers.
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Yes, Mayo is almost certainly better than Urias, but do you really want him up here getting an Urias amount of plate appearances?
As to not wanting to lose an "asset" in Urias, the Orioles have likely been shopping him for a while. He's not the kind of guy teams want to trade for, and if they do trade for him they don't offer much. If we DFA'd him and someone claimed him, I'm not going to lose sleep that we missed out on a Latin lottery ticket type player by not trading him.
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1 hour ago, Just Regular said:
Maybe Ben was just leaning into supportive professional comportment sharing a booth with Melanie, but even he was getting into this coincidence in the late innings last night.
The redemption arc for this thing is if we can talk about it after a parade, or at least a decent tournament run.
I do like the wartime Cardinals being near the top around when the major league club was bearing the fruits of Branch Rickey having grown the farm system. Rickey moved from the Cardinals to the Dodgers after 1942, and Wikipedia just taught me the Dodgers GM opening for 1943 was because Andy MacPhail's grandfather enlisted.
Larry MacPhail would get the Yankees gig when he returned.
Didn't the pre-war Cardinals play something like seven game series making it harder to get swept?
We broke the record last year if you only look at modern scheduling with 2, 3, and 4 game series.
It will make the whole thing even more special if we can keep this up longer than teams who did it in 7 game series.
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55 minutes ago, DrungoHazewood said:
I have a question. Why would the A's trade Miller? Why would the A's trade Miller for another player who has five years of control left, when they could just keep the high-performing young guy they have locked up through 2028? If you're a team that is looking to build for the future don't you build around players like Miller?
And if you're waiting for some point in the future where you're the Las Vegas A's, I'm still not sure you're making any moves because there are no very young players who're likely to be both more valuable than Miller and need 3-4 years in the minors.
This is a very good point. I think I've come around to the idea that it doesn't make sense for the A's to trade for Kjerstad, even if on paper it's at least somewhat fair.
If they could get two to four guys who are pretty good but a couple years away, I think that makes more sense for them. They'd probably also want some pitching back which would be an issue for us.
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The Orioles are way better than 50/50 to win a game. If they had a roughly .500 record over the unswept streak, your numbers would be valid. It's still impressive and unlikely they'd do what they did, but the "coin flip" should be more like 67/33 for these calculations.
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Just now, dystopia said:
And to think we got him +4 others for Bundy. And I don't even think he was the most discussed at the time. Just a throw in.
It was three others and Bradish was the highest thought of out of the group, but no one thought he was this good.
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I'm fine with giving Santander a few extra days off to get Kjerstad some playing time. We don't have great options to replace Mullins. Cowser isn't a great CF and McKenna, while white hot right now, doesn't have the track record.
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On 5/6/2024 at 6:54 PM, SilverRocket said:
I have to say the complete shift in patience is still a bit worrying to me, but I can't argue with the quality of contact so far. Chase rate going from 81 to 24 percentile is drastic though.
Didn't Adley lead the league in seeing pitches that should have been called balls being called strikes? I'd swing more, too. Can't argue with the results so far, though if that BA ever drops the lack of patience could get concerning.
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9 hours ago, Billy F-Face3 said:
Kyle Bradish used to be a catcher. Maybe he can pitch to himself.
Did he really?
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10 minutes ago, Frobby said:
I agree with this. And of course, if the O’s disappoint or remain tight with the purse strings, this goodwill he’s built up won’t last long.
Agreed. I'm glad he's a fun guy, but if he doesn't spend, not much else matters.
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On 4/30/2024 at 11:47 AM, Aristotelian said:
Does anyone hear an "N" when Brown pronounces "Yennier"? I hear something like "Yen-yen". Is that actually the correct pronunciation?
I think it's pronounced YEN-yuh
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3 minutes ago, Frobby said:
Fair question. Before coming to the Orioles, vs. RHP O’Hearn had a .706 OPS (.228/.302/.414), whereas as an Oriole he has an .842 OPS vs. RHP (.303/.342/.500). So, that’s an OPS improvement of 136 points.
Versus LHP, O’Hearn was a .492 OPS hitter in KC (.163/.244/.248). As an Oriole, he has a .192/.206/.538 OPS vs. LHP for a .744 OPS. That’s in 34 PA, so tiny sample size there.
My inclination is to think that given more PA vs. LHP, O’Hearn might improve from the .492 OPS guy he was vs. LHP to something like a .650 guy. To me, that’s not good enough to bother with. I’d just leave him in the role where he’s excelling.
O'Hearn actually has a career .748 OPS versus LHSP in 157 PA. It's the near helplessness against LHRP in 41 PA that makes it look like he can't hit lefties. He's around .080 OPS lower against lefties in his minor-league career, which is roughly the average platoon advantage split.
I don't think it's some foregone conclusion he can't hit lefties. Maybe he doesn't need to the way our roster is constructed, but I think the idea he can't hit lefties deserves some scrutiny.
Colton Cowser 2024
in Orioles Talk
Posted
That'd be pretty sweet, but he's likely adequate at best and only going to get worse as he ages.