ChosenOne21
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Posts posted by ChosenOne21
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Yes, Mayo is almost certainly better than Urias, but do you really want him up here getting an Urias amount of plate appearances?
As to not wanting to lose an "asset" in Urias, the Orioles have likely been shopping him for a while. He's not the kind of guy teams want to trade for, and if they do trade for him they don't offer much. If we DFA'd him and someone claimed him, I'm not going to lose sleep that we missed out on a Latin lottery ticket type player by not trading him.
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1 hour ago, Just Regular said:
Maybe Ben was just leaning into supportive professional comportment sharing a booth with Melanie, but even he was getting into this coincidence in the late innings last night.
The redemption arc for this thing is if we can talk about it after a parade, or at least a decent tournament run.
I do like the wartime Cardinals being near the top around when the major league club was bearing the fruits of Branch Rickey having grown the farm system. Rickey moved from the Cardinals to the Dodgers after 1942, and Wikipedia just taught me the Dodgers GM opening for 1943 was because Andy MacPhail's grandfather enlisted.
Larry MacPhail would get the Yankees gig when he returned.
Didn't the pre-war Cardinals play something like seven game series making it harder to get swept?
We broke the record last year if you only look at modern scheduling with 2, 3, and 4 game series.
It will make the whole thing even more special if we can keep this up longer than teams who did it in 7 game series.
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55 minutes ago, DrungoHazewood said:
I have a question. Why would the A's trade Miller? Why would the A's trade Miller for another player who has five years of control left, when they could just keep the high-performing young guy they have locked up through 2028? If you're a team that is looking to build for the future don't you build around players like Miller?
And if you're waiting for some point in the future where you're the Las Vegas A's, I'm still not sure you're making any moves because there are no very young players who're likely to be both more valuable than Miller and need 3-4 years in the minors.
This is a very good point. I think I've come around to the idea that it doesn't make sense for the A's to trade for Kjerstad, even if on paper it's at least somewhat fair.
If they could get two to four guys who are pretty good but a couple years away, I think that makes more sense for them. They'd probably also want some pitching back which would be an issue for us.
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The Orioles are way better than 50/50 to win a game. If they had a roughly .500 record over the unswept streak, your numbers would be valid. It's still impressive and unlikely they'd do what they did, but the "coin flip" should be more like 67/33 for these calculations.
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Just now, dystopia said:
And to think we got him +4 others for Bundy. And I don't even think he was the most discussed at the time. Just a throw in.
It was three others and Bradish was the highest thought of out of the group, but no one thought he was this good.
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I'm fine with giving Santander a few extra days off to get Kjerstad some playing time. We don't have great options to replace Mullins. Cowser isn't a great CF and McKenna, while white hot right now, doesn't have the track record.
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On 5/6/2024 at 6:54 PM, SilverRocket said:
I have to say the complete shift in patience is still a bit worrying to me, but I can't argue with the quality of contact so far. Chase rate going from 81 to 24 percentile is drastic though.
Didn't Adley lead the league in seeing pitches that should have been called balls being called strikes? I'd swing more, too. Can't argue with the results so far, though if that BA ever drops the lack of patience could get concerning.
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9 hours ago, Billy F-Face3 said:
Kyle Bradish used to be a catcher. Maybe he can pitch to himself.
Did he really?
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10 minutes ago, Frobby said:
I agree with this. And of course, if the O’s disappoint or remain tight with the purse strings, this goodwill he’s built up won’t last long.
Agreed. I'm glad he's a fun guy, but if he doesn't spend, not much else matters.
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On 4/30/2024 at 11:47 AM, Aristotelian said:
Does anyone hear an "N" when Brown pronounces "Yennier"? I hear something like "Yen-yen". Is that actually the correct pronunciation?
I think it's pronounced YEN-yuh
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3 minutes ago, Frobby said:
Fair question. Before coming to the Orioles, vs. RHP O’Hearn had a .706 OPS (.228/.302/.414), whereas as an Oriole he has an .842 OPS vs. RHP (.303/.342/.500). So, that’s an OPS improvement of 136 points.
Versus LHP, O’Hearn was a .492 OPS hitter in KC (.163/.244/.248). As an Oriole, he has a .192/.206/.538 OPS vs. LHP for a .744 OPS. That’s in 34 PA, so tiny sample size there.
My inclination is to think that given more PA vs. LHP, O’Hearn might improve from the .492 OPS guy he was vs. LHP to something like a .650 guy. To me, that’s not good enough to bother with. I’d just leave him in the role where he’s excelling.
O'Hearn actually has a career .748 OPS versus LHSP in 157 PA. It's the near helplessness against LHRP in 41 PA that makes it look like he can't hit lefties. He's around .080 OPS lower against lefties in his minor-league career, which is roughly the average platoon advantage split.
I don't think it's some foregone conclusion he can't hit lefties. Maybe he doesn't need to the way our roster is constructed, but I think the idea he can't hit lefties deserves some scrutiny. -
21 minutes ago, sportsfan8703 said:
I took it as a joke. But if we’re going to DFA Baumann if we made this move, we might as well offer him to then.
Sure, but I don't think that sweetens the deal for them even 1%.
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Just now, RZNJ said:
It’s some Splenda to sweeten the deal.
Yeah, the fact someone is willing to throw in Baumann on a deal that's already an overpay tells you that even he doesn't think Baumann has any real value.
Two for the price of one!
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I would have liked to see Irvin continue to pitch, but there might be a lot we don't know. Normally, pulling a starter who is pitching effectively after 72 pitches is a bad move, but it's possible Hyde knew something about how Irvin was feeling, or something, that makes the move make sense.
I don't think Hyde is so stupid that he'd pull a pitcher who was cruising after 72 pitches unless there was something going on.
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38 minutes ago, sportsfan8703 said:
I would trade Povich for him all day. Probably makes sense to throw Baumann in too.
Baumann has basically zero trade value.
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I might trade one of our semi-interesting low minors arms for Scott, but probably not. He was nails last year and has been good this year, but I have faith we can unearth someone roughly as good for basically free, Depends on which arm the Marlins want, I guess.
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Povich's floor might be Zimmermann. He's always been a more highly thought of prospect and the stuff is just better.
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2 hours ago, sportsfan8703 said:
I’m not trying to do some hot take. I’m just saying that I don’t see how Povich cracks this rotation over the next two seasons, and I dont think his relief profile is better than the LH relievers we have. So therefore I think his best value to us would be a trade to a 2nd division/rebuilding club.
But all of this is just my opinion. And if people want to disagree that’s welcome. It’s a discussion board. If anyone thinks my opinion is a hot take, or it rubs then wrong personally, or goes against the group think, well that’s more on them.
We’re all allowed to have opinions. Nothing personal. I love the winning and the new posters, but a simple differing opinion shouldn’t result in neg reps or devolving into Facebook level posts.
I appreciate the discussion. Heck, sell me on Povich. Where does he fit in on our roster through 2025?
Burnes and Means are probably gone next year, so that leaves us with Bradish, Rodriguez, Irvin, Kremer, Wells, and...definitely not Povich? Wells is pretty far from a lock to last in the rotation for an entire season. I don't think it's hard to see Povich in the rotation full-time.
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16 hours ago, Sports Guy said:
I just can’t fathom a realistic scenario where I’m trading Mayo or Basallo in any deal.
I think I could be convinced to move Mayo as the headliner for a top of the rotation pitcher with multiple years of club control. You're only getting Basallo if you can pry him from my cold dead hands.
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20 minutes ago, Moose Milligan said:
You put Markakis in the title but not Terry Crowley? Do you not understand how revered Terry Crowley is around here?
Terry Crowley's lucky he's in baseball. He got cut by the **** **** Cincinnati Reds, He got cut by the **** **** Atlanta Braves...
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Webb has been great since coming over, and he wasn't awful before. It's hard to believe the Angels waived him, but their loss is our gain.
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14 minutes ago, sportsfan8703 said:
It’s hard to see a path where Povich would ever be anything for us than depth/up down guy. Basically Zimmerman 2.0. There’s only 5 rotation spots and we’re win now mode. Also, as a reliever he might not be as good as what we have in Vespi.
No knock on Povich. We have a top 3 26 and 40 man roster in the sport. An optionable depth piece with our Wall would be ok, but we’d probably get more value to use him as a trade chip either at the deadline, or offseason, to get a reliever or in a package for a better SP.
Maybe we see Zimmerman and Povich packaged together for a reliever like Kopech. Just spitballing a name we’re familiar with.
We've had about a million starting pitcher injuries. Burns and Means are gone after the season. There's plenty of opportunity.
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Just now, Bemorewins said:
Even worse by McKenna… useless.
How is hitting a 108 MPH liner worse than striking out?
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Dang! McKenna scorches one but can't find the outfield grass
Is anyone still sentimental about the pitcher win?
in Orioles Talk
Posted
I wish we had an elegant counting statistic to evaluate pitcher effectiveness that was better than wins. I don't really care about pitching wins--I mean, it's better to get them than not to--but I don't look at it at all to evaluate how good a pitcher is. Everyone knows what the problems with that statistic are.
At a minimum, we need a better "rule of thumb" for the HoF than 300 pitching wins, or we're going to have a hard time inducting starting pitchers.