Ohfan67
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Posts posted by Ohfan67
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Thanks for sharing. Lots of work!
This goes along well with some of your other threads. Baseball seasons can be really weird and this team seems particularly weird. The home runs has led many fans to believe that the team's success is built on offense, but a lot of your analyses suggest that it's the age old adage of pitching and defense.
I also think Buck Showalter means a lot. A whole lot. The team typically performs late in the year despite how hard he rides the regulars. I think that has a lot to do with him.
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Geesh. The Orioles shouldn't be allowed to trade away minor leaguers. Very few minor leaguers for veterans deals have worked for the Orioles. They have over payed for a lot of mediocrity or worse. Yuck, yuck, yuck. Also pretty sad that the minor league system seems only incrementally improved.
And we should all pray hard for Gausman and Bundy. Really hard.
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">3 of my favorites on the beat. Former <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/orioles?src=hash">#orioles</a> Josh Towers, Jay Gibbons and John Parrish in the house. <a href="https://t.co/Yj7yTSYuJn">pic.twitter.com/Yj7yTSYuJn</a></p>— Roch Kubatko (@masnRoch) <a href="">September 19, 2016</a></blockquote> <script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Jay was looking a little metro. Interesting look. Parrish looks huge.
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Are you arguing that he'd be preferable to Trumbo? Kim, maybe, but Kim has almost 1/4 of the salary on an annual basis.
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In a better constructed roster Trumbo is the DH and a better defender who can hit at least decently is the RF. They thought they had Fowler so the current roster wasn't really the plan. I was mainly just thinking out loud while being surprised by Markakis' season.
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Nick has hit far better than I anticipated this year. That said, his OPS+ is still lower than all three of the Orioles "regular" outfielders. I haven't seen him play defense this year, but I'm sure he's a better defensive OF than Trumbo (not hard) and probably better than Kim (almost certainly better). I was against signing him, but he would have been far more useful to the O's than I expected.
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None of that is true. None.
Well, he did have surgery in June of that year so SOME of it was true.
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Is it a given that TJ surgery is the answer? This (the flexor mass thing) has become a fairly frequent diagnosis for pitchers but is TJ a common outcome?
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Sounds like a hernia. He will probably be pretty inactive for a month after the surgery. Then rehab starts.
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If we're all going to sit around and write a bad TV script how about this for a plot twist:
The trainer who's thrown under the bus decides to plea bargain and give detailed testimony, supported by evidence (he's anticipated this possibility, you see) in return for immunity.
That's crazy talk! That would NEVER happen!! Get real!!
?
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O's asked the Braves about him in the off season, he wasn't on the market at the time.
I'm still skeptical that the O's would pull the trigger on anything less than a complete salary dump. And even then I think DD wouldn't do it. But I've been wrong a lot, so...
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Thanks. I'd love to know.
It cracked me up watching people salivate over the fantasy football stuff like DraftKings. Simple math told you that the vig for what they were doing was INSANE. Also, simple statistics told you that, since they didn't limit the number of entries per person, the big money covering the statistical permutations was going to take the big prizes. Every week was a math problem with finite optimized solutions that only required enough cash to basically guarantee a win/payday. I thought about running the simulations to "solve" the math, but I wasn't going to front the money so I never did.
Yeah, I find this thing very fascinating/fun, but I wouldn't invest a penny of my money in it.
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Nick is really looking good. What might have been if Kim had gone to Norfolk.
You really think the O's would have traded for him if Kim had gone to Norfolk? DD doesn't seem the nostalgic type.
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I don't like the idea that the clubs escape all blame and get to benefit from PED-enhanced performance right up to the moment someone is caught, then they get out of the entire contract. Right now it's nearly certain that teams sign players they suspect of cheating knowing they don't have to pay during suspensions, this just removes all responsibility from the clubs. The league would be telling the clubs to sign anyone, take advantage while you can because you have total protection from that contract, it's 100% on the player.
It would be fun to see the Yankees and Boston get hit with huge penalties when their players are caught. There would be a really fun thread on OH where we were all giggling and laughing. But it would suck when the O's got hammered and there would be an outcry from fans that it is unfair because the club didn't know player x was doping. Can you imagine the 100+ page thread that would start on OH!?
I would like to see a penalty for the club, but MLB owners will never collectively admit that they profit from PED use.
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Quite a coincidence that Bonds has gotten involved in one of the 30 MLB organizations that have PED users.
Giggle, giggle.
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Vatech-I think you are correct, unless they retain shares that they can sell at peak prices like corporations with their own stock. It's a fun concept whatever the deatails.
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This company has just created a whole new sports "thing" for discussion boards, blogs, sports radio, etc.
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So, would you invest in the proposition that $4.91 mm is less than 10% of Schoop's future earnings? FWIW, Ian Kinsler will make at least $104 mm in his career, Dan Uggla has made $75 mm, Brandon Phillips will make at least $99 mm, and Howie Kendrick will make at least $58 mm. I'm leaving out guys like Cano, Utley and Pedroia who have made or will make more than that.
I'm sure these guys calculated the probabilities of player Y making X dollars before they made the deal. I'm sure the probability they calculate for a player and the company's estimates of what they will make by over selling the "stock" basically sets their price for the 10% investment. Very fun stuff to think about, for sure. For someone like Schoop I think the probability would have to be pretty high (like there's a 90% or higher probability that Schoop will make that much money). If the player was flashier and super well known, then the company will probably make more money from selling over valued stock and could accept a lower probability.
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Seems like this is investing in a small sole proprietorship where if the owner injuries them-self in any manner in the office, you're bound to lose a lot of your investment
Maybe they buy an insurance policy on the player? Fun stuff to think about.
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p.s. they can also invest money they get now from stock holders to make cash. pretty interesting idea (from the companies perspective, I think you would be better off betting on beetle races or a random number generator than investing in the future salaries of Schoop et al.)
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Some of you guys are misjudging how the company is going to make their money. The company doesn't really need to recoup 4.9 million from his salary to make money, they need the selling price of his "stock" and the amount recoup to be greater than 4.9 million. They are banking that most people purchase high priced "stocks" in the players and then the "stocks" end up being worth way less than the selling price. They don't need Schoop to actually earn 50+ million to make money.
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I don't know. When I was this kid's age, I never strained a groin nor did I never play any ball with anyone who ever strained a groin. Maybe we exercised our groins more back then...unknowingly... And look at Cal, he never strained his groin. He must have been working it out a lot.
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He probably gets to use his groin a lot more than you did at that age.
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o
(APRIL 10th)
Hunter Harvey said that he still felt a little bit of discomfort in his groin.
I hate when that happens.
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Today's game: AAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Those sorry *&!#$!!!! &*S$%!!@!!!
I feel a little better. A little.
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Per fangraphs, over the last four years at ages 30-33 Cruz was worth about $40 mm. Why would I think he'd be worth $57 mm at ages 34-37?
The cost of free agents seems to be increasing quite a bit this year.
Joey Rickard
in Orioles Talk
Posted
Rickard is pretty fun to watch, WAR or no WAR.