TommyPickles
-
Posts
935 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Posts posted by TommyPickles
-
-
Wells this is a bummer
-
There were times last year that Bradish looked like the most talented pitcher on the team.
Also, it will be cool for Grayson to make his debut in his home state of Texas.
-
I'd realy like to see Stowers get a shot before we move on to Cowser and Kjerstad.
-
1
-
-
Mexico could have used Ramon in that loss against Columbia. It was Luis Urias' 10th inning error at 2B that cost them the game.
Our boy, Ramon makes that play everytime.
Excited to watch Urias this year. He's one of my favorite Orioles.
-
It was also cool to see Danny Valencia batting cleanup for Team Israel.
-
I think Dean Kremer will lead the O's starting pitchers in WAR in 2023. I think he should start opening day.
It'll probably be Gibson, though.
-
I think Boston is going to be awful this season.
-
I mean this makes sense.
I want to see Gunnar, Mountcastle, and Urias in the infield regularly.
-
1
-
-
I'm bummed Urias isn't playing. He's the first Mexican to win a Gold Glove in decades... I was excited to watch him and his brother man the infield together. And it definitely seemed like he wanted to play.
I'm assuming this is just the O's being extremely cautious because of his knee injury at the end of last season.
-
On 2/9/2023 at 10:48 AM, Frobby said:
Again, it is almost certain not to happen that way. These are “average” results from playing a hypothetical season 1,000,000 times. In real life, some teams will exceed their “average” projections by significant amounts. others will fall short of them. As I mentioned the other day, no team in the AL is projected to win more than 90 games, but the lowest win total ever to lead the AL is 95. It’s very likely that it will take 95+ wins to lead the AL this year, we just don’t know for sure which teams will do it.
That's interesting. I didn't realize that.
Honestly, I kind of wish it wasn't this way. I'd rather see a "this is our computer's best guess of what will happen" rather than "this is the average of what our computer thinks could happen."
Not that it really matters, I guess.
-
I think 28% chance of a playoff birth sounds about right. I'm a little more hopeful, but that's my orange colored glasses.
What doesn't sound right is all five teams in the AL East being within 9-10 wins of each other at the end of the season. I don't see it.
I think someone is going to win more than 89 games. I don't think Boston is going to win 79 games.
-
I think people are just annoyed because the Frazier signing feels emblematic of other frustrating trends with this organization over the past two years.
-People were fed up with how many at bats Odor got last season.
-People are fed up with how poorly stop gap players like Chirinos, Owings, Aguilar, Phillips, and Odor played last season.
-People are dissapointed we opted to make marginal off-season moves and maintain a below average payroll, after coming so close last year and being led to believe there would be more money spent.
-People are tired of waiting for prospects and are worried this signals further delays.
But I do agree with @Frobby that a lot of ink has been spilled over this frustration.
-
1
-
-
4, 3, 1, 2
-
Lots of good points. But no one wants to commit an answer to the question: who will have a higher OPS in 2023, Mateo or Frazier?
-
Is there really a "defensive corner outfielder" out there that's much better than Ryan Mckenna and his .794 OPS against LHP.
Seems like we have plenty of OF options already...
-
Who do you think will have a higher OPS in 2023, Mateo or Frazier?
In 2022 it was Mateo (.646) over Frazier (.612).
Both were really bad hitters last year. That’s why I’m confused when I see people saying Urias will be a utility guy.
He, Gunnar, and Mountcastle should be out there pretty much every day.
-
For what it is worth, Fangraphs projects Kremer to lead the O's rotation in IP, WAR, and ERA in 2023.
I think in a perfect world our rotation at the end of July would look like this:
1. Grayson- Hits the ground running. Top 3 in ROY voting.
2. Means- He bounces right back from Tommy Johns. His change up is unaffected and still nasty. He becomes the #2 starter on a playoff team he was always meant to be.
3. Kremer- I think he'll be our opening day starter. And I think this is the season he settles in as a real solid #3 type guy.
4. Bradish- We saw flashes of it last season. This kid can ball!
5. Irvin- Hear me out! I think Irvin profiles as an ok #4 type and an above-average #5 starter. I think the new wall at Camden Yards will suit him. It will be nice to have two lefties in the rotation and if he can settle in and have a season like last year, that would be huge for us. We have him for four years and he's making around the minimum. I'd be much more excited to see him do well than Gibson, who is older, has less upside, and is only here for a year.
And then I think you stretch Hall out in the bullpen and he's the 6th man.
-
1
-
-
I'd rather watch Urias over Frazier or Mateo, personally.
It'll be interesting seeing how they shuffle the infield, especially since Urias has pretty consistent reverse splits throughout his career.
Urias- Career .776 OPS aginst RHP, .701 OPS against LHP
Frazier- Career .749 OPS aginst RHP, .660 OPS against LHP
Mateo- Career .656 OPS aginst RHP, .624 OPS against LHP
-
Personally, I'm fine with rolling with the in-house OF options.
I want to see more Bradish. I don't want to see Cowser blocked. I still believe in Hays and Mullins (both under team control till 2026).
Over the past two seasons, Mullins has been worth 9.5 bWAR, Hays has been worth 5.4 bWAR.
-
Just sounds like more bad news for Lewin Diaz lol
-
Last season, Irvin had a streak of 11 games in a row in which he pitched at least 6.0 innings.
When was the last time an Oriole starter did that?
(Not saying he's an ace or something, but we could use that)
-
I don't think Elias trades one of his top 20 prospects, for the first time in his Oriole tenure, unless he fully expects Irvin to be in the rotation.
My guess on who starts the first five games:
1. Kremer
2. Gibson
3. Bradish
4. Irvin
5. Grayson
Then, after the All Star Break, I could see a six man rotation to ease Means back in and keep the inning counts under control for guys like Grayson and Bradish. (If a lot goes well) It could look more like this:
1. Grayson
2. Means
3. Kremer
4. Bradish
5. Irvin/Gibson
6. Irvin/Gibson
-
- Popular Post
If he had been in the Os rotation last year he would have ranked:
1st in IP
2nd in WAR
3rd in ERA
-
5
-
2
-
1
-
I don't think he fits with the current needs of this team.
On a different note, I think it's so interesting to think about how the timing of the new LF wall changed his whole career trajectory. Imagine they didn't build the new wall last season. He hits like 7-10 extra home runs. His OPS shoots up .050-.100 points.
His free agent market would look way different.
Bad timing for him.
Westburg is near ready
in Orioles Talk
Posted
I've been reading for months how, if you squint hard enough, and if he bounces back from last year, and if he plays some outfield, Adam Frazier makes this team a little better.
As someone who is pretty high on both Urias and Vavra. And as someone who absolutely wants to see Westburg and Ortiz in the bigs this year...
I'm already sick of Frazier and the season hasn't started yet.