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TommyPickles

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Posts posted by TommyPickles

  1. I trust Hays to play some CF.

    Since 2020, he's been worth +2 DRS as a centerfielder in 274.2 innings at the position. 

    In that time, Mullins has been worth +15 DRS as a centerfielder in 4,044.1 innings.

     

    I'm not saying he's a better defender than Mullins. I also know there are a lot of different and imperfect stats when it comes to defense. But I think it's promising that he's averaging +1 DRS every 137 innings as a CF, considering Mullins is averaging +1 DRS every 270.

    I also think Mullins will heat back up.

     

  2. 1 hour ago, Aristotelian said:

    Just a hunch, I don't think we would have given up on him without a reason. At the time he was a live arm with options making the minimum. Maybe an attitude thing or Sigbot metric they don't like. On paper he's an interesting target.

    I always thought it was because they thought he couldn't stay healthy. Now he's stayed healthy for 2.5 years.

  3. I think if you asked me before this season if I'd trade Mountcastle for a recent top-100 prospect young lefty starting pitcher with a sub 4.50 ERA and 6 years of team control, I'd be intrigued. But now, suddenly, it feels like the O's are flush with starting pitching and Ryan is hitting 50 points above his career OPS.

  4. In his last year with the Athletics, Irvin last 6 or more innings 19 out of 30 times.

    This was him getting back to what he does best. Throwing a little softer, inducing soft contact, working that curveball, and eating innings.

    Swervin' Irvin 

  5. The Orioles are favorites to win the AL this season. It is their best shot to win a WS they've had this century.

    I'm excited Holliday is getting a shot. I think they should stick with it. But if he needs to be sent back down after another month, then so be it. He's 20 years old. It's not the end of the world.

     

  6. In fairness to my boy, Urias, he's only had 24 at-bats.

    He's now on a 4-game hit streak, during which he has a .780 OPS. 

    Not saying it's going well, or even that he should be playing more, but I think it's a super small sample size.

  7. Cedric Mullins is only 29 years old. 

    He's been an All-Star, a Silver Slugger, a 30-30 player, and has received MVP votes.

    Out of all players who have played at least 1500 innings in CF since the start of 2022, he ranks 4th in DRS (13) according to Fielding Bible.

    Out of all players in baseball who played at least 125 games in CF each season, he was 2nd in OPS in 2021 (.878), 7th in OPS in 2022 (.721), and is currently 3rd in OPS this season for everyday CF'ers (.872), behind Trout and Merrill.

    He's been worth 13.5 rWAR over the past 3 seasons and change.

    He's a consensus Top 10 center fielder.

    • Upvote 1
  8. 1 minute ago, Tony-OH said:

    I'll be honest, the more I watch the statcast catch probabilities the more I think they need to tweak some things. Unless Mullins got a bad jump, which it doesn't appear so, I don't see how that is a 65% catch probability. Sure, there are some other great CFers out there, but damn, that looked every bit of a 5-star catch to me.

    Yea, 65% catch probability is laughable. 

  9. I didn't hear it, but generally speaking, I like the occasional banter that wanders away from baseball. 

    I like Kevin and Ben in the booth. 

    • Upvote 1
  10. The players certainly believe the pitch clock is part of the problem. 

    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2024/04/mlb-mlbpa-in-dispute-over-pitch-clocks-impact-on-injuries.html

    Despite unanimous player opposition and significant concerns regarding health and safety, the commissioner’s office reduced the length of the pitch clock last December, just one season removed from imposing the most significant rule change in decades,” MLBPA executive director Tony Clark said. “Since then, our concerns about the health impacts of reduced recovery time have only intensified. The league’s unwillingness thus far to acknowledge or study the effects of these profound changes is an unprecedented threat to our game and its most valuable asset — the players.

  11. I went to PNC Park on Saturday. My first time there. I've been to about a dozen MLB stadiums, and man! PNC might be the nicest of them all. Gorgeous park.

    One thing I noticed though, Orioles fans are starting to get cocky. I was born in 90', so a lot of my childhood was spent going to O's games in the early 2000's. Years and years of Red Sox and Yankees fans taking over Camden Yards with their chants and cheers. It sucked. So hearing O's fans start screaming an unprovoked "LET'S GO O'S! LETS GO OS!" in the middle of a sports bar before the game was kind of cringe-inducing. You could hear Pittsburgh fans groan and eventually start a counter cheer of "Go Home O's!"

    As the O's get better and better, let's not become the Yankees and Red Sox fans from the 2000's. Don't be a jerk when you're in someone else's park.

    • Upvote 1
  12. 1 hour ago, DirtyBird said:

    You have to go back to "over the past two seasons" because he was not a good fielder last year. Fielding Bible had him as the #82 3B.

    He has been sub .750 OPS vs RHP each of the past two seasons.

    You are really stretching to find what he brings to the table.

    In fairness, Fielding Bible also said he was our best defensive second baseman last season (better than Westburg). And a better first baseman than O'Hearn.

    And the point about him having the second-highest OBP on the team last season still stands.

    But I understand your point, and like I originally said, I understand this is a tough argument to make as things currently stand in Norfolk. I just still see Urias as a valuable bench piece.

     

    • Upvote 1
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