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Frobby

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Everything posted by Frobby

  1. Sometimes spring performance means something, sometimes it’s meaningless. You kind of have to leave it to the professionals to determine which is which.
  2. Cool. But do Mike Elias and Brandon Hyde believe that? I guess we’ll find out.
  3. Offense is never the only consideration. The weighting of offense vs. defense may change depending on a team’s other personnel.
  4. Perhaps Brian Roberts should have a word with Basallo about that.
  5. It is perfectly logical that Mayo is more major league ready as a hitter than Holliday is. He OPS’d 1.026 in 78 games at Bowie followed by .905 in 62 games at Norfolk, while Holliday OPS’d .928 in 36 games at Bowie and .796 in 18 games at Norfolk. Mayo played more games at both levels of the minors last year than Holliday, and hit better at both those levels in 2023 than Holliday. And, Mayo has outhit Holliday (along with almost everyone else in the Grapefruit League) this spring. So, if offense was the only consideration, I’d expect Mayo to make the team over Holliday. But offense isn’t the only consideration.
  6. Definitely possible.
  7. @Roy Firestonesent me this:
  8. SSS for me, obviously. I saw him make two really nice catches on pop flies into no man’s land in medium LCF, plus a couple of strong throws from SS. On the other hand, I saw Maton make a really weak throw from about five feet to the left of 2B that Nevin had to pick. I also saw a play where Castillo fielded a grounder with 2 outs in the bottom of the 9th and turned to flip it to Maton for the game-ending force play, but Maton hadn’t covered the bag in time, so Castillo had to pivot and throw to 1B but the runner was safe by an eyelash. The next ball was hit to Castillo again and he didn’t even look Maton’s way, making the throw to 1B instead. So, let’s just say I was more impressed by Castillo than Maton.
  9. Agree. Here’s what Hyde said: “It’s a huge difference,” Hyde said. “He had the back injury and pretty much shut him down for the rest of the year. To see him healthy right now, to see the way he’s throwing the baseball, this is the best I’ve seen him, honestly. The way he can keep his velocity, how quick his arm is. The secondary stuff has really, really improved. He’s had a really good camp, and he’s in great shape. This is the best he’s looked for me. He did a great job this offseason getting healthy, getting right, preparing for the season. He's really performed well this spring.” “That’s the biggest thing with Keegan is, one, you can throw him against lefties and righties, and he’s gone multiple innings in the past, he’s been a starter in the past. A guy you feel comfortable with pitching, really, in any sort of situation. Especially the way he’s throwing the ball right now.” That was before his last outing where he struck out 2 of the 3 batters he faced to close out a win. https://www.masnsports.com/blog/mateo i can attest that Akin does look to be in the best shape of his life, and is just pounding the strike zone, while releasing his pitches about 8-9 seconds before the clock expires.
  10. Fangraphs is starting its annual positional power rankings series, and unsurprisingly, the O’s rank no. 1 at catcher, at a projected 5.3 fWAR. “Throughout the entirety of his amateur and professional career, Adley Rutschman has done nothing but produce. The first-overall-pick-turned-top-prospect has looked like a big league natural from day one, posting consecutive five-win seasons to begin his career and lapping the field in projected WAR at the position by more than a full win. Among primary catchers with at least 400 plate appearances last year, Rutschman had the lowest chase rate, second-lowest swinging strike rate, and highest OBP, commanding the strike zone like a seasoned veteran. His preternatural feel for the game is also seen on defense, where he’s put up stellar numbers while helping to facilitate the breakouts of pitchers like Kyle Bradish and Yennier Cano. “With someone as good as Rutschman starting three-quarters of the time, the Orioles are under less pressure to get great results out of the backup catcher position. James McCann has never been a huge offensive performer, but he can occasionally string together a few extra-base hits. His framing has also improved over the past few years, now profiling as average or even a tad better.” https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2024-positional-power-rankings-catcher/
  11. He gets slept on because he has a .736 OPS as a minor leaguer, .710 In AA. Yeah he’s got a bit of power when he gets hold of one, but he needs to make good contact more often.
  12. Here’s a link to the full list interview for those interested. https://m.soundcloud.com/glennclarkradioclips/jonathan-mayo-march-18-2024
  13. I saw a bit of Castillo in Sarasota. He’s very good defensively.
  14. This is a fair point, but I don’t give it that much weight. in college, Beavers was 8 months younger than Stowers was at the same stage. Then, Stowers lost the 2020 MiL season to COVID. Comparing Stowers’ first full year of pro ball to Beavers: Stowers played 36 games at Aberdeen, .900 OPS (he was 0.1 years older than league average). Then he played 66 games at Bowie, .938 OPS (0.9 years younger than league average). He closed the year at Norfolk, with a .773 OPS in 22 games (3.5 years younger than league average). Beavers played 85 games at Aberdeen with a .832 OPS (1.3 years younger than league average), and 34 games at Bowie at .894 (2.8 years younger than league average). So, Stowers did better at both Aberdeen and Bowie, and was promoted more quickly during the season, but Beavers was younger at those levels relative to the leagues. I definitely see the argument for Beavers having the potential to be better than Stowers, I just have my doubts it will happen. But he’ll have every chance to prove himself in 2024. With any luck, he’s in Norfolk by June.
  15. I don’t think Beavers has proven yet that he’s likely to be as good or better than Stowers. I think his odds of being as good or better are under 50/50.
  16. ZiPS: Langford .812, Carter .770, Holliday .722. Steamer: Langford .822, Carter .758, Holliday .730.
  17. Well, if he puts up those numbers he’ll win. But you’re putting super high expectations on a 20-year old with one full year in the minors.
  18. In the post-Mussina era, no pitcher has won more than 74 total games for the Orioles (Chris Tillman). So there’s your bogey.
  19. I doubt it. But I like his odds to top Cano’s OBP.
  20. I remember when Mussina was nearing the end of his career people were knocking his HoF case for not winning 300 games. I said then that I wasn’t sure any pitcher behind him would reach Mussina’s 270. So far, nobody has, though Verlander has a good shot. I’d still bet on Cole to get to 200.
  21. I’m wondering why Hall only has pitched twice. Looks like his last outing was 10 days ago. I noodled on the internet for 5-10 minutes without finding an explanation, though I’m sure if I dug harder I’d eventually find one.
  22. My opinion: nobody should come to this thread until they’ve already played that day’s game. That way, no hidden contents necessary and we can openly discuss our answers. I know I don’t come here unless I’ve played. But I’m usually on my phone and can’t do hidden contents. 9/9, 77 for me today. Despite my opinion above, I won’t post my answers for now since I can’t do hidden contents freely n my phone.
  23. Phillips had 17 at bats for the Orioles, 1 as a pinch hitter. He was on the team less than two weeks. https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/gl.fcgi?id=phillbr02&t=b&year=2022 That said, my over/under for Maton is 0.5 plate appearances.
  24. I like the name. Of course, I gotta like Krook, too.
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