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Absltgreek

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Everything posted by Absltgreek

  1. Still would likely be top 10-11 for HR's overall, so while LF would be hit hard, overall... That’s nearly 35% of the tracked home runs between the left-field corner and the bullpens, and 13.5% of the total hit at Camden Yards over the past seven seasons. The proportion increases to just above 14% when considering only the total count of home runs for which coordinates and distance were available. Dropping 227 home runs would take Camden Yards from the most homer-prone ballpark of the past seven seasons to fourth. The Sun took a cautious approach to classifying the home runs, meaning it’s possible a good chunk of the “Questionable” group (and possibly some of those deemed “Likely”) also would no longer be home runs. If even half of the balls the Sun considered questionable would have stayed in play, home runs at Camden Yards would have dropped by about 18%, with a 46% percent reduction in that area of the park. The Orioles’ home park would drop to the 10th-most home runs allowed since 2015, but only 10 ahead of 13th place."
  2. Parlay (Severna Park, MD): Were there any Orioles (like Coby Mayo or Jordan Westburg) who came close to making the list? J.J. Cooper: I mispoke earlier now that I've checked our ballots. While Westburg wasn't a guy we talked about as far as making the top 100 (among the last names we discussed) he did rank 107th overall in our balloting. So he was close. If Geoff Pontes has his way Mayo would be on the 100 right now.
  3. James (North East, MD): How close was Jordan Westburg making this list? I think him and Gunnar Henderson are very comparable as prospects. J.J. Cooper: He wasn't in the "just missed" group but he wasn't too far off the list. Personally I like Henderson's glove better than Westburg and think he's a better baserunner. He has more power than Westburg and he was at the same levels as Westburg but he was two years younger.
  4. Jimmy (Anchorage, AK): What pitchers on this list have the ultimate ceiling of a front of the rotation potential? Kyle Glaser: Grayson Rodriguez, Shane Baz and George Kirby are the three that have a chance. Odds are only one of them will reach that ceiling, with a very real chance none do. There are very, very few legitimate No. 1 starters in the major leagues. The combination of stuff, control, durability and consistency required is incredibly hard to find, and even when a pitcher has it, it's difficult to maintain year after year. If you had to bet on one of them doing it, Rodriguez would be the guy.
  5. Jeff (Atlanta): How is Coby Mayo not in this top 100? You have 2020 Zac Veen , amd Mayos # are much better, am I missing something other then Veen was 1st rounder ? Not hating on Veen but stating facts Kyle Glaser: Veen played a full season at Low-A. Mayo played in the complex leagues and 27 games of Low-A at the end of the season. The level of competition they faced is hugely different, and frankly not comparable.
  6. RE: Austin Martin debate Ross (Boss): Who were the most divisive prospects on the list as it was being compiled? Kyle Glaser: Austin Martin continues to be an extremely divisive prospect. If you like him, you see a mature hitter who makes contact, gets on-base and capably handled a difficult jump straight to Double-A in his pro debut. If you don't like him, you see a light hitter who doesn't have a position and needs to improve his power, arm and defense substantially to be even an average regular. There's merit to both perspectives, and his jump to Triple-A next season will be instructive.
  7. Casey (Maryland): Is there a scenario where Colton Cowser rises to the top half of this list if he continues his success from the end of the last season? Kyle Glaser: Cowser certainly has some believers as a guy who could rise into the top half of the list next season. It's not universal, but there are some evaluators who really believe in his bat and think he could be an All-Star-caliber hitter.
  8. Jason (Chicago, IL): Which pitchers in the Top 100 have true #1 / #2 upside? Geoff Pontes: Hi Jason and thanks for the question. There's a few that come to mind but first and foremost Grayson Rodriguez, Shane Baz, and George Kirby. They all have a mix of stuff and command that puts them in a different tier. As far as stuff is concerned Daniel Espino, Eury Perez, and D.L. Hall all have top of the rotation stuff, but each has some question they will need to overcome in order to get there. - Geoff
  9. Zach (Baltimore): Mayo and Kjerstad both seem like guys that can enter the top 100 with a good 2022 season. Is there a chance a healthy Carter Baumler does enough this season to warrant consideration? Geoff Pontes: Hi Zach, thanks for your question. I agree with your point around Coby Mayo and Heston Kjerstad having a good shot to crack the top 100 with strong seasons. Baumler on the other hand would really have to set the world one fire - a la Eury Perez - to push his way into consideration. The expectation is he'll likely begin his career in the GCL, and that really limits the amount of innings he'll see. That's not even factoring the injury and the time it takes to get back to 100%. - Geoff
  10. Some points from the top 100 chat on BA: Molly (New Jersey): Thanks everyone for the chat! Who are some prospects not currently on the list that you could see rocketing up it this year? Similar to a Cavalli or Moreno ascension last season Geoff Pontes: Hi Molly! Thanks for joining us today. A few names that came up in conversations with contacts that just missed are the Brewers Sal Frelick, the Dodgers Andy Pages, the Reds Matt McLain, and the Orioles Coby Mayo. I'm not sure any have that sort of climb in 2022 but they're early enough in their careers that a jump could happen. - Geoff
  11. I think I like this idea, won't affect anything from center on to right, but big changes in left. This is NOT my image, but saw on another Board in terms of a rough possible idea: I think they'll like go deeper than where the foul pole is currently, but in terms of raising the wall up to 12 feet, they would have to eliminate some rows of seating, which would naturally reach near the 12 foot height without disturbing the sightlines of any remaining aisles. My guess is that if you eliminate say 10 rows (I think was an example I read), the natural rise from the stadium seating (as each previous row sits higher), should get you close to that 11-12 foot height. I do agree that it seems like the lower bullpen would have to be relocated to accommodate these changes though, but where, to the grass/batting eye area? I don't know enough about how that would affect the batter's eye area to comment on that though... I've been waiting impatiently since last night to talk about this, glad to see everything is back!
  12. If his bat is that good, but the concern is a "lower" position, i.e. 2B, then that could help with an underslot approach (assuming there isn't a clearcut #1), and being more aggressive with the remaining 2 top 40 picks.
  13. How have you "not heard the groundswell"? Service time manipulation has been a loud/major topic for years now around the league. That's not to take one side or another, but to deny this is a major issue and has been, is naive.
  14. You can't really compare the success the Astros have had with their hitters with the Orioles (yet). The Astros' players have made it to the majors and succeeded. While the O's players are doing very well in the minors, until they prove that success in the Majors, we really don't know how successful the program will be/is yet.
  15. Realistically, only 2 or 3 of those 6 will see their potential fulfilled. Given those realities, and the severe lack of big names next year, i'm in full support of making a big splash now, 1-2 years early. Get Correa for SS (and if the SS's coming up do develop, you have the potential to move Correa to another position as he ages), and get Stroman for the rotation. If all the hitting develops, you can trade for more pitching, but we have such a low payroll, and will have low cost controlled young players, that adding 40-60mil/yr right now should be easy to bolster the team for both the short and long term: C - FA/Adley later 1B - Mountcastle/Mancini/Adley 2B - Urias/odor (westburg? Norby? Vavra?) SS - Correa (westburg? Gunnar down the line?) 3B - Guiterrez (sp?) /with Mayo? Westburg? Gunnar? down the line LF - Hays (Kjerstad, etc?) CF - Mullins (Cowser, etc.) RF - Santander (Stowers, Kjerstad, etc.) DH - Mancini (whoever is not starting from adley, stowers, hays, etc.) SP - Means SP - Stroman SP - Zimmerman/Lowther/Akin SP - GRod/DL Hall/Bradish RP - Wells, the remaining pitchers in the org. That's a fun team, both short and long term
  16. Wouldn't that be nice? Fill a prime position for years, let the prospects fill out 2B, 3B, etc.
  17. So this looks like an OOTP sim website, and doesn't appear to reflect the real world MLB draft, just from my initial perusal.
  18. I haven't seen anything new other than the original announcement video from about 6 months ago. It sounds like that's what you saw, based on the description. They said 12-18 months so there should still be a year to go until it's finished.
  19. Maybe something like if you extend/re-sign with home team only 80% of the deal counts against the salary floor/cap? I like it.
  20. Looks like they raised Adley's FV from 65 to 70, which increased his value from 62m to 112m. That 50 million in value allowed us to shoot up in the rankings. Edit: Here's their blurb: Adley Rutschman’s rank didn’t change but he moved from the 65 FV tier to the 70 FV tier on the strength of his Futures Game look. He is not normal. A switch-hitter his size, with his kind of rotational explosion, who has the bat-to-ball feel to switch which side of the cage he’s hitting in mid-batting practice session and just keep hitting bombs is not normal, and this is also an elite defensive catcher and locker room guy. He’s now in the FV tier Shohei Ohtani, Fernando Tatis Jr., Ronald Acuña Jr., and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. were in as prospects.
  21. I guess the near 1.000 OPS means nothing. Oh well.
  22. If you look at the pitch tracker, he was definitely getting squeezed by the ump. A number of strikes called balls.
  23. Kris Bryant once had an 0-5 with 2ks minor league game. The extra K is the real delineator for a failed career though. He also had two back to back games going 0-4 with 3ks in each. But I digress.
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