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AnythingO's

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Posts posted by AnythingO's

  1. 3 minutes ago, Just Regular said:

    @AnythingO'sfound the definition for what Fangraphs gives for its Speed Score - its an indicator but not as granular.     Fangraphs does let Team Stats aggregate easily, and it thinks BAL is 4th best MLB-wide.    The Pirates are up in 2nd.

    https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=1&season=2023&month=0&season1=2023&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2023-01-01&enddate=2023-12-31&sort=11,d

    Speed score (Spd) is a statistic developed by Bill James that rates a player on their speed and baserunning ability. Different locations include slightly different components, but the FanGraphs version consists of, “…Stolen Base Percentage, Frequency of Stolen Base Attempts, Percentage of Triples, and Runs Scored Percentage.”

    So, for reference, Westburg and Cowser are 26th and 28th out of 133 players with scores of 7.0 and 6.8 where 7 is excellent and 6 is great and 5.5 is very good per Fangraphs. Kjerstad is 26th out of 80 players rated 6.2, while Prieto and Mayo are 51st and 54th with ratings of 4.3 and 3.8. While this measure is more about baserunning than pure speed, it supports the eye test that Kjerstad moves pretty well. As for Stowers he rates a 3.3 🥵 while Ortiz is 6.0, Norby at 4.1 and Vavra at 4.4. Maybe that explains Hyde's decisions to give Vavra RF ABs over Stowers 😆.

  2. 3 minutes ago, Just Regular said:

    Ah, gotcha.    I don't remember the number it gave last month, but nothing was 9.3, it was just 93 guys qualifying then. 

    Now he's 26th of 80, still good for a slugger.

    Especially when Mayo and Prieto are 51 and 54 with numbers around 4 so I am good with a 6.2 for the big man.

  3. I found this explanation:Speed score (Spd) is a statistic developed by Bill James that rates a player on their speed and baserunning ability. Different locations include slightly different components, but the FanGraphs version consists of, “…Stolen Base Percentage, Frequency of Stolen Base Attempts, Percentage of Triples, and Runs Scored Percentage.”    

    They say about 7 is excellent and 6 is great, 5.5 above average. So if HK is 6.2 he is doing well. I assume he probably hit a triple and stole a base in the prior reading and you meant 9.3. I'm just trying to get a read on HK's speed as a potential COF but all I can find is Tony's prospect rating from 2021.

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  4. 27 minutes ago, Just Regular said:

    He's slowed down some by this metric since 4.27.      Unless custom dates are hard coded on the links, they just update like any other leaderboard.

    I wasn't clear, sorry. You said he was 5th at 93 but the highest score is 8.5, so off by over an order of magnitude. Is there a conversion to percentiles, did you mean 9.3, or ??? It doesn't seem like someone could go from 9.3 to 6.2 without breaking a leg lol.

  5. On 4/27/2023 at 11:31 PM, Just Regular said:

    Here's one I wouldn't have guessed - Fangraphs Speed measure for the Eastern League gives Kjerstad 5th of 93.   

    https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/minor-league?pos=all&level=0&lg=5&stats=bat&qual=y&type=1&team=&season=2023&seasonEnd=2023&org=&ind=0&splitTeam=false&players=&sort=13,1

    He's 4th in wRC+, where his fellow elite draft pick Henry Davis is on top. Triples!

    I just looked at the link above and HK was 26th at 6.2 but Donta Williams was 5th at 8.2. Am I looking at the wrong thing re: Heston's speed???

    For wRC+ Davis is still first at 209, Prieto at 184, HK at 183 and Mayo 5th at 154. Bowie has 3 of the top 5.

  6. 14 minutes ago, wildcard said:

    He may be next man up but he doesn't have to be.  Ortiz offers a good combination of hitting and fielding.  Plus he is on the 40 man roster while Westburg is not.   Up to Elias who is next man up.

    Westburg is the better fit at 2B and 3B while Ortiz is the better fit at 2B and SS. I'm not sure how Ortiz would be at 3B. If Mateo craters then Ortiz can replace him. 

  7. 28 minutes ago, vab said:

    I don't see them bringing Cowser up until he has a clear shot at regular ABs but Hays, Santander and Mullins better stay off the IL. Once he gets in, he might not come back out. 

    I agree with this but it's a balancing act for ME. Cowser, Mullins, Hays and maybe even Stowers are better defensive OFs than Santander now. Santander was healthier last year probably because of DH time. However he is less productive (SLG) at DH so you sacrifice some defense for offense. Santander isn't the future COF and he likely isn't the 30 HR guy going forward so you have to transition eventually. I would blame Hyde for Odor, Aguilar getting ABs last year over Vavra, Stowers because - veteranosity. Same with Frazier, McCann this year. ME needs to move a body or 2 (Hays, Santander, Urias, Mateo) for the transition to occur.

  8. 5 hours ago, Sports Guy said:

    We joked about the lift off comment this offseason and some people took it the wrong way but overall, the mindset has and should change. My question is, how much is the mindset changing for 2023?  Is he ready to trade real assets for real assets? Or is Elias still in the wait and see mode? 
     

    I think wait and see mode until ASB and whether he decides to go for it will depend on performance between now and then. Cowser, Westburg, Ortiz could all be kicking the door down to end the Stowers/Vavra experiments but there isn't room for all 3 to play regularly unless someone or two get moved off the MLB roster.

  9. And the reason he didn't get the run he should have had after he went down and got hot was Hyde. Playing him sporadically, playing him out of position in LF. It is hard enough for OF to adjust to stadiums with second decks without regular PT and ABs. Hyde is handling Stowers like he expects him to fail so use him whenever. Look, IDK if Stowers is a MLB regular, but I believe Hyde's usage is hurting his development and the org's evaluation of Stowers value as a prospect and trade chip.

  10. 3 minutes ago, Tbone83 said:

    Is it bad that I'm happy Bautista may not be available tomorrow?

    Bautista threw 30 pitches last Thursday, that's why Hyde decided before Saturday's game that he wasn't available. Top of the 8th, up by a run, you don't go with the closing duo because Hyde had already decided, game situation be damned. At the time most defended Hyde as managing for the season but then someone commented, before Thursday Bautista hadn't been used in 4 days. So 30 pitches in 6 days and he can't be used, that's Hyde logic. FWIW

  11. 2 hours ago, EddeeEddee said:

    Fine by me but then why is Hyde platooning him -- unless he is just resting him when a LHP is on the mound?  I think in the past year or so he didn't hit lefties that well.

    Hyde manages day-to-day by his gut. His gut has no use for Stowers and recent performance by Stowers will just confirm his opinion. Hyde has no trust in Akin so he uses him in shorter, 1 inning stints irregularly which decreases Akin's effectiveness and value as a long man. Hyde has decided Mullins needs to be platooned against lefties so that is what he will do. McKenna's performance will support Hyde's opinion. His decision making hurts payer development unless he likes you, like Vavra, who will soon have 9 gloves in his bag but has shown no ability to transition his OBP to MLB.

  12. “This issue is assuring for the city of Baltimore, the state of Maryland and the Orioles that there is some permanent compensation from the league to the Orioles,” he added. “Because we’re the only team that’s had that happen to us.”

    Just what is JA talking about here? The League isn't going to give either the Orioles or Baltimore anything. This is about rights fees to both teams set at a level to allow some profit for MASN. Nats want less profit since they are limited to 33% of that and higher rights fees, that are equal for both teams. The only money from the League was the money to setup MASN ($75M??).

  13. 8 minutes ago, DirtyBird said:

    I don't hate him. I would just like to see him produce, and he hasn't for quite some time, going back to last season following his hot start.

    Did the league adjust the pitch mix on Gunnar after his hot start?

  14. 59 minutes ago, Bemorewins said:

    I hear you say that you disdain John Angelos and that's cool. But the highlighted text, I'm not sure what to do with that? That seems like a strong tone for a message board... I'm going to assume the best intention and keep it moving.

    I was reacting to:" The man is terrible and cheap. Let’s not make excuses for his horribleness." I'd never do that.

    If I misinterpreted your meaning, please accept my apology.

  15. 3 hours ago, Bemorewins said:

    What does Wieters have to do with Adley other than they play the same position? Wieters gave you little to no value with the bat. Adley is the best hitter on the team and one of the best in the sport. He can provide value without playing catcher.

    As far as the awful Angelos “opening up his check book” let’s get real! He wouldn’t do that for Ken Griffey Jr in his prime. The man is terrible and cheap. Let’s not make excuses for his horribleness.

    As for Adley-Wieters, hyped catchers, Wieters bat was supposed to be elite. Not worth discussing cause I expect him to be traded before FA. Do not ever, under any circumstances, accuse me of making excuses for John Angelos, I distain that man with a passion.

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