There's a lot of "I bet" and "I believe" in this thread. That's great. That's what message boards are for and the kind of discussions we all enjoy.
However, as I said earlier in the thread, the people who make the decisions clearly have very different opinions on these matters than their critics. And frankly, they're in much better position to know.
P.S. I'll add that yeah, Hays' OPS is 715 now. Two days ago it was close to 1000. Would your bet seem so reasonable then?