wildbillhiccup

My excitment level for Mayo and Basillo is starting to approach the same level that I had for Rutschman and Henderson. It's nuts to think that our farm system is so loaded that it's possible to experience that same feeling only a few years apart.

If Julio Teheran sees a single MLB start for this team then we're in serious trouble. Even when he's had success in the past it's mostly been with smoke and mirrors.

Witt also didn't have a father/mentor/coach with these credentials teaching him. He received MVP votes 8 times (finishing as high as second), was a Silver Slugger winner 4 times and an All-Star 7 times. Matt won the NL batting title in 2007, with a . 340 BA. He also led the league in doubles, and RBI.

Fair points, but I still think it's fair to set our expectations a bit higher for sons of former major leaguers. At least for the ones who are high end prospects like Holliday. You can't teach talent, but we already know that's not an issue with him. So it's going to boil down to adjusting to MLB pitcher and execution. And I don't think it's unreasonable to think that someone like Holliday, who's had a former MLB player (and good hitter) as his mentor and coach, might better equipped to make a smooth transition than a player who hasn't had those advantages.

Norby, Westburg, and Urias didn't grow up as the son of a former MLBer either. You have to think that at least a small part of his success can be atributed to all of the advantages that he had in terms of his development at a young age (i.e., developmentally he's probably more advanced than a typical 20 year old). And if you look at all of the other recent sons of MLBers who've made it to the majors (Vlad Jr, Bichette, Tatis, Witt, Jr. etc.) they all pretty much hit right out of the gate.

You mean like they did with Gunnar last season?

I'm hoping for a Bo Bichette-like 2022 season with a slightly higher OBP and slightly less SBs.

Well it's certainly starting to "drone" on a bit It's also pretty hysterical that after his big interview on Fox where Bauer claimed he regretted how he handled the media he immediately had his lawer send a threatening letter to...a member of a the media. Bauer's like a less sincere modern day version of Eddie Haskell.

That's a fair point, but I'd rather see them trade for a bullpen arm then sign a Lorenzen type starter (in a perfect world).

I just think it's more of a cross that bridge when we get to it situation to me since none of the FA SPs (other than Snell or Monty) really move the needle. I'd rather them invest or trade for another bullpen arm.

To answer the question Wells should be our 5th starter, which means our bullpen will then be down two solid arms (Hall and Wells). We REALLY need to find a way to acquire another bullpen arm via trade because the remaining FA options are .

This isn't a simple yes or no question. 1. If we can sign Monty or Snell to a relatively short term contract (i.e., 4 years or fewer) we should consider it. 2. If we can trade for a viable youngish starter without giving up Mayo or Basallo we should consider it. 3. If our only option is to sign one of the other remaining FA starters then we should probably just pass because I'm not sure any of them are any better than our internal options.

Talks were apparently very preliminary, but everything I've read points to it basically being a one for one swap. Keep in mind this was before Witt signed an extension. I think it's very realistic to think the Marlins would ask for Henderson and that's why it's not even worth discussing Eury as a viable trade target. Apparently they wanted Basallo in a Luzardo trade and that was also a no go (on our end).

Well the Royals apaprently discussed a Witt for Perez swap earlier in the off season. Are you willing to give up Gunnar for him? I'm guessing probably not.

Man some of you guys are brutal. God forbid the guy actually have a (genuine) personality. KB's one of the best in the game.

Not good comps IMO. Bregman and Altuve (who's a future HOFer) have both shown the ability to consistently out perform their underlying numbers and have demonstrated sustained success over the course of their careers. Bellinger has three solid MLB seasons out of seven so he's been bad more than he's been good. And going into the 2023 season he was lucky someone even gave him a starting job considering how awful he was in 2020, 2021, and 2022. I think it's also very telling about how skeptical teams were about Bellinger's ability to repeat last season considering that he's still a relatively young player and a plus defender at two positions and he still couldn't land anything better than what is basically three glorified one year contracts.

Bellinger's one season removed from hitting .217 for a full season and most of the underlying baseball metrics suggest last season's success is unsustainable. In particular his average exit velocity, barrell %, and hard hit % were all ice cold blue on his statcast page last season. Despite the Boras sales pitch, yes he was lucky to get that deal.

I get your point, but I'm not sure that Dylan Bundy s the best example to make the case. Bundy hadn't established himself at the MLB level before the surgery so we have no idea if his struggles were surgery-related or if he was just a prospect who never lived up the hype. And to be honest he's at least been a serviceable MLB starter for most of his career. His career ERA isn't that much higher than Kyle Gibson's.

I think the Orioles were initially being proactive in trying to upgrade their rotation, but based on the timing of the Bradish/Means injury news it's probably a bit naive to think that it didn't factor in and give Elias more of a sense of urgency to make the move. So I'm splitting my vote between A and B.

I actually misspoke. He wants "more" than the Nola contract. https://bleacherreport.com/articles/10103727-mlb-rumors-jordan-montgomery-looking-to-top-aaron-nolas-172m-phillies-contract#:~:text="Executives and agents spoken to,ill-fatedly for Harrison Bader.

The problem is Boras wants an Aaron Nola type contract for Montgomery, which is insanity. I understand your frustrating and disappointment, but it's hard to blame the Orioles when you're talking about a Boras client. I can't wrap my head around why anyone would give Montgomery any more than the deal that Chris Bassitt signed last season + inflation. Other than the fact that Boras is bat sh*t crazy.

Not if it's a long term contract. Montgomery is a good player, but not a great one. With Boras as his agent he's more than likely going to get someone to overpay and overcommit to him. The only players the Orioles should even be considering giving long term contracts to are the young core players on their own team.

Ok, the precedent has been set. Can someone please explain to me why the Orioles/MASN aren't able to offer something similar? For context, the typical MLB package price is $149.99. So they're basically charging an extra $50 to watch the blacked out local games plus everything else OR $100 just to watch the local games. https://www.mlb.com/live-stream-games/subscribe/dbacks

The Giants just shelled out money for Soler and Hicks and took on Ray's salary via a trade. Those aren't moves made by a team that's considering a rebuild. I don't even think it's worth a hypothetical to discuss trading for Webb and Rogers.

A bigger question is if Dylan Cease is better than Mitch Keller...