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emmett16

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    Rates and Barrels podcast

    in MLB

    Posted

    On 5/6/2024 at 6:19 PM, Just Regular said:

    YouTube transcript of Eno on today's episode, as they were talking about Jordan Westburg finding another level.

    42:46
    right um well anyway the thing that I hear about Baltimore orio's Player Development is that they draft guys that
    42:52
    make contact and have good vertical bat angle um and then basically run them
    42:58
    through overweight and underweight bats through most batting practices uh in the
    43:03
    minor leagues so it's just part of the process it's not something oh do you do weighted bats or not it's just those are
    43:10
    the bats that are there and we do them all the time at every batting practice you know um and so what you see is a guy
    43:18
    that never really I mean just a little inkling and high a of a 51% ground ball rate but since then has had a really
    43:25
    even ground ball flyball mix um and surprising power I think uh you
    43:31
    know like if you you fixate on the nine home runs or something you missed the 225 ISO that he had in daa the first the
    43:38
    second time he tried you know so this is a guy who you know again 227
    43:43
    ISO he's gonna he's gonna hit like 25 homers this year and steal like 15 bags
    43:50
    really good where he was going he was basically a draft day tossup against Colt Keith whose Big League career has gotten off to a really slow start glad
    43:58
    in my 12 teer it was just uncertainty about playing time for Westberg
    44:03
    initially like it's a crowd so if you don't play well you can lose your spot or at least lose a share of your playing
    44:09
    time and so far he's played really well and kind of locked that down at least for the first first chunk of the season
    44:15
    so yeah I jumped him up quite a bit I think he's in the 69 spot overall on the
    44:20
    hitter list now so another top 100 sort of player if we were drafting for today 

    Interesting they focus on vertical angle.  I have noticed their swings tend to be on a flat low-vertical angle swing plane.... think Gunnars HR last night where his bat looked almost parallel to the ground.  

     

    I'll have to give that episode a watch.  

    Rates and Barrels podcast

    in MLB

    Posted

    On 5/7/2024 at 7:28 AM, btdart20 said:

    One of those things that helps bat speed.  Especially the underweight bats.

    It’s not just bat speed.  Its the acquisition of the motor skills and building of myelin sheathing in the brain.  The different bats, bats with weight in different locations, bats at different lengths (short bat long bat), bats with smaller (skinny) barrels all makes each rep difficult and causes the batter to focus to an extreme level to achieve success.  The body self organizes depending on the batting implement and in doing so make the batter better at that particular skill.   Anything you can do to make the reps more challenging makes the batter better.  Throwing from different locations in cage…..set up L screen 10’ off center to left then 10’ off center to right.  Set up two pitching machines with one set as a curve and one set as a FB and don’t let the batter know what’s coming.  Anything to make the rep challenging and different from the previous rep.  

    Jud Fabian, 2024

    in Minors

    Posted · Edited by emmett16

    Another dinger tonight and OPS up to .848.  He will get one more PA but no Ks & 1 BB through his first 4 PAs.  He’s officially got my attention.  

    Gunnar Henderson 2024

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Frobby said:

    There are trade-offs.  Gunnar has batted with 91 runners on base in 202 PA.   The average hitter in 202 PA would see 121 runners on base.   So even if Gunnar would have 15-20 fewer PA right now if he was batting 4th, he’d probably have had 20ish more runners on base. Santander, for example, has had 115 runners on base in 180 PA.   At the same time, Gunnar would have been on base fewer times and scored fewer runs, etc.   

    Good points.  

    Gunnar Henderson 2024

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted · Edited by emmett16

    12 minutes ago, Safelykept said:

    Well said he only bats lead off once. The lead off Home Runs are partially a product of him batting with nobody on base( pitchers more inclined to challenge) If they adjust the OBP will go up and so will the steals. As far as a fifth AB who else would you want up, plus whoever is PH for our # 8 or 9 has Gunner in front of them.  

    Correct on the last part.  I almost mentioned that.  Apart from having the bench bats replace lower lineup guys, the lead-off hitter also has the best chance of seeing the SP a third time through the line up.  

    Gunnar Henderson 2024

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    7 hours ago, ShoelesJoe said:

    Your best POWER hitter should get the most at bats with men on base. Gunnar is third on the team in OB%, but far and away the leader in SLG%. Heck, right now he has the highest SLG% in the AL. Yet he has the fewest ABs with men on base of any of our regulars. Batting him leadoff gives Gunnar more opportunities to hit HRs and score runs, but fewer opportunities to drive in runs. 75% of Henderson's HRs have been hit with the base empty. Compare that to Ohtani (62%), Tucker (60%), Ozuna (57%), Naylor (50%), or Judge (46%). 

     

    6 hours ago, Brooks The Great said:

    Agreed, appreciate the stats.

    Gunnar isn't a leadoff hitter - he's a prototypical #3 hitter or cleanup hitter. Hyde writes poor lineups, and Gunnar hitting leadoff has been one of the consistent problems with the offense this season. Gunnar hitting mostly solo shots is both a consequence and reflection of this offense's flaws - the O's have too many low-OBP hitters in the lineup (hitting in less-than-optimal spots for the most part) and are too reliant on solo homers to generate runs.

    At least Hyde has started hitting Westburg leadoff against LHP, which is progress, but Hyde is way too stubborn and too slow to make the correct adjustments. He's very similar to Buck Showalter in that respect. 

    Anyway, I look forward to Hyde waking up and moving Gunnar down to #3/#4 against RHP.

     

    Gunnar has already had 19 more PA than the #2 most (Adley), 22 more PA than the #3 most (Santander), 27 more PA than #4 (Westburg), and 29 more PA than #5 (Mountcastle).  That is just over 1/4 of the season.   Batting him 4th means that he will very often get only 4 PA per game instead of 5, and that 5th PA will take place at a critical time in the 9th inning.  He hits a HR every 12.6 PAs (this year & every 19.9 PA career) so batting him second is coughing up 1-2 HR so far this season, 3rd or 4th is -3HR....and that's in just a little over 1/4 of the season.  So, by moving him to 3rd or 4th you're taking away ~10HR over the course of a full season.    Instead of putting him lower in the line-up, I'd like to see a higher OBP guy in front of him in the 9 spot.  Gunnar has the tools to be a tremendous lead-off hitter.  

    • Upvote 3

    Monday, May 20: Orioles at Cardinals

    in Game Threads

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Gurgi said:

    NOW you take Perez out?  AFTER his mental breakdown?  Does he not do the pitcher and catcher drills.  

    That a tough one.  It’s not a ground ball.  Super weak blooper and his first instinct was that he had a chance to catch it.  My question is what was Mountcastle doing?  That didn’t look remotely close to 1B, almost directly to Mateo.  I think that play is a hit 99/100 but only chance is Mountcastle holding 1B and a quick throw from Mateo.  I don’t think Perez would have been able to nearby runner to the bag even if he went right away it would have been really tough.  

    • Upvote 1
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