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emmett16

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Posts posted by emmett16

  1. 8 minutes ago, vab said:

     I live about 20-30 minutes from Harbor Park so I made my first trip of the year. I didn't even know Means was pitching until yesterday, I wanted to see Holliday and Mayo (who went deep). He looked like Means - fastball was probably 90-92, had the good changeup going, good breaking stuff. Very little hard contact, a lot of pop-ups, just a couple of deeper flies in the last inning or two. I think he's certainly ready. 

    BBQ down left field line is legit.  

  2. Kimbrel hasn’t looked right all year.  He’s been wild in the zone and his fastball is down 1.9 Mph on the season with his usage at a career high.  
     

    If you look at his statcast usage visual graph, you’ll see why.  His curve is all over the place and even when he located it low & outside of the zone (where it should be) it’s getting hit hard.  Couple that with a fastball that has no command and is 1.9 ticks lower than last year and you have yourself a disaster that’s been waiting to expose itself all year. 

  3. 4 hours ago, Just Regular said:

    As it was happening on Cole Ragans' bad night, I was surprised the Royals let him go I think it ended up ~47 pitches.    Jeff Passan type people are going to remember that if anything goes wrong in the near term.

    For sure.  I was thinking the same thing. 

  4. 14 hours ago, interloper said:

    36 pitches in 2/3 of an inning with 3 walks. Only 1 run but yikes.

    After 25 pitches in one inning is the danger zone.  Can’t keep someone out there and risk injury regardless of situation. 

  5. 1 hour ago, dystopia said:

    Oh well that settles it.

     

    1 hour ago, eddie83 said:

    Had 17/2 K/BB rate. 
     

    Needs his fastball up in zone. 

    I guess we will see how or plays out.  I havnt liked what I’ve seen.  

  6. 4 minutes ago, eddie83 said:

    He allowed 5 hits and 2 walks all year coming into tonight. The 2 walks were this week. His velo had been ticking up.  

    It’s looked like smoke and mirrors to me.  

  7. 4 minutes ago, dystopia said:

    Well nobody can touch the ball when they're 50 feet outside the strike zone.

    To be fair, SG's point was valid before tonight.

    Nah.  His velo has been down.  He’s been missing spots by feet not inches.  Has been behind in count and been bailed out.  Has gotten lucky repeatedly.  It hasn’t been pretty.  

  8. 8 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

    I'll bow to your expertise even if it seems unlikely to my laymen understanding. 

    I think you have a good understanding and I assume you’ve read Ted Williams Science of Hitting.  It’s all about lining up planes of pitch and bat.  Historically with sinkers and low strikes a higher attack angle played and was more in alignment with pitch plane.  In today’s game of spin and high zone fastball an uppercut swing gives you minimal chance and results in top spin grounders and swing & miss. 

    • Upvote 1
  9. 5 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

    My point was an overly uppercut swing isn't going to result in that low a launch angle.  Not unless he is somehow consistently topping the pitches, which seems pretty unlikely.

    Actually it will.  As you noted.  MLB pitch plane is like 2-3 degrees.  The more your attack angle increased the more you’re hitting a top spin tennis return.  

  10. 1 hour ago, Billy F-Face3 said:

    Statcast also said Adley's exit velocity on a ball he ripped to left field last night in Game 2 was only 70 something MPH. Even @Frobby called BS on that.

    It’s a known that teams don’t completely trust other teams systems.  There is no regulation.  

  11. 1 hour ago, Can_of_corn said:

    I think the Statcast data is way more reliable than the eye test it replaced.

    There are issue with readings, just like everything else in life. It’s not perfect.  I’ve seen thousands of balls put in play using tech and can tell you that flat out there are mistakes. 
     

    Maintenance, calibration, location of hardware all in play.  

  12. 1 hour ago, Can_of_corn said:

    Am I looking at this data wrong?

    Statcast shows Jackson's Launch angle to be 4.4 degrees.

    There’s a big difference between launch angle and attack angle. 

    Launch angle is ball coming off bat (results of contact). Attack angle is angle of bat through zone.  
     

    4.4 attack angle is good but slightly high.  4.4 launch angle is terrible result.  

  13. Just now, DirtyBird said:

    Would that really affect whether or not he’s worth $20 million next season?

     

    I’d like the pick so I’m hoping he goes off, we offer, and he rejects.  He was worth 24 MM last year and 18.5MM in 2022.  So, technically, he should be worth right about 20 MM next year(depending on performance). I’d also wager he’d be more productive than Norby, Stowers, & Kjerstad.  

  14. I’ve been super skeptical.  I’ve also been pretty impressed so far.  He sure doesn’t get rattled.  Hasn’t been pretty but he’s gotten the job done.  Nice to see the uptick in velo. 

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