Velocity loss?
He was 93-94 last season.
https://www.brooksbaseball.net/velo.php?player=571710&time=&startDate=03/30/2007&endDate=05/28/2023&s_type=2
How is Elias supposed to know he's going to drop 2 MPH?
Sure?
And if he hadn't been in the game someone else would have been.
If you want to say something like Frazier played a huge role in two of the wins with his MASSIVE CLUTCH hits that would be fine.
But you can't say with any actual certainty what would have happened if the Orioles had played someone other than Frazier.