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TommyPickles

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Posts posted by TommyPickles

  1. I don't get why Cobb is projected to do so poorly.  He's healthy again.  He's 32.  He's pitched his entire career in the AL East and has a 3.85 career ERA.  I know its been a brutal tenure with the O's, but it seems reasonable to expect him to put up a 4.50 or so...  I know offense is up league-wide, but still. 

    Also, I'll be a little bummed if they're right and Mancini's OPS drops like 70 points.

  2. Iglesias is also a fair bit better offensively than Martin (at the moment).

    In 2019:

    Iglesias- .288/.318/.407/.724, 85 OPS+

    Martin- .208/.260/.322/.581, 54 OPS+

     

    I like this signing.  He and Alberto will be fun to watch up the middle.

  3. I’ve said this before, and I get why it would be nearly impossible, but it would be so cool if MLB added an Asian division...

    Four teams, two from Japan, two from Korea. 

    I’d also love to see a team in Puerto Rico and Mexico. I feel like it could inject a lot of new fans, storylines, and rivalries into MLB. 

    Oh, and good for Jones. I always wish him the very best. 

  4. The last game of the 2011 season! 

    Andino's walk off single to knock the Red Sox out of the playoff race.  The remaining fans went absolutely wild.

    Hardy also hit his 30th homer of the year.

    O's won 14 of their last 22 games that season.  This one felt like the official beginning of the 2012-2016 era.

    • Upvote 1
  5. 14 minutes ago, MurphDogg said:

    Bundy and Villar wouldn't have been here in 2022 anyway. Villar would have been a free agent after 22020 and Bundy after 2021.

    What changed? If anything their odds improved with Means turning into a legit starter, the farm system had a slightly better year overall than I expected, and they didn't do anything dumb and drafted Adley.

    I thought Bundy had been under team control through the 2022 season? And I'm not saying I think ownership is doing a bad job, just that their sites seem a little further down the road.

  6. On 12/3/2019 at 8:38 AM, Frobby said:

    I do not think playing in Camden Yards disadvantages the team as a whole, though it obviously disadvantages the pitchers.    Here are some O’s home run figures over the last decade:

    Homers hit at home: 1,135

    Homers allowed at home: 1,105

    Homers hit on the road: 929

    Homers allowed on the road: 956

    So, while its obviously easier to hit homers at OPACY than the average ballpark, we’ve outhomered opponents by 30 at home, while being outhomered on the road by 27.     So it seems to me the dimensions at OPACY have worked to the team’s advantage.    

    Do you think we’ve prioritized signing players who can hit home runs over the past ten years, because of the dimensions of OPACY? Is that part of the rationale for signing players like Davis and Trumbo?

    • Upvote 1
  7. 20 hours ago, JR Oriole said:

    Winning a World Series once.  It has been 36 years and counting since we even appeared in one, let alone won it.  Just one time, being the last team standing at the end.  It should not be too much to ask after all of this time. 

    This. Want one in my lifetime.

  8. Guess my buddies and I will no longer be driving down from Philly after work for any of those games... We we're already showing up around the bottom of the 2nd/top of the 3rd as it was...  But good for the kiddos, I guess.

  9. I like the WAR stat and its one of the first things I look at.  That said, I do think it somewhat overrates defense. 

    I think about someone like Craig Gentry.  In 2018 he only had 169 PA. He put up a .668 OPS/85 OPS+.  He hit just 1 HR and recorded just 11 RBIs. 

    Defensively he played in 62 games, 30 of which he started.  He recorded 2 assists and committed 2 errors.  His DRS was 7.

    His WAR was 1.1.

    Versus someone like Adam Jones. Jones played in 145 games that year.  He had 613 PA.  He put up a .732 OPS/101 OPS+.  He hit 15 homers and 63 RBIs.  

    Defensively he played in 139 games, 138 of which he started.  He recorded 5 assists and committed 2 errors. His DRS was bad, -25.  

    His WAR was 0.2. 

    I get that Gentry was a better defender, but was he really worth more than five times what Jones was that year? What would Gentry's stats have looked like if he had played 145 games?  What would Jones' have been if he's just played RF/LF (where the stats looked a lot better)? Seems off to me.

    • Upvote 4
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