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TommyPickles

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Posts posted by TommyPickles

    Raising and Deepening The Fences At Oriole Park?

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    On 12/3/2019 at 8:38 AM, Frobby said:

    I do not think playing in Camden Yards disadvantages the team as a whole, though it obviously disadvantages the pitchers.    Here are some O’s home run figures over the last decade:

    Homers hit at home: 1,135

    Homers allowed at home: 1,105

    Homers hit on the road: 929

    Homers allowed on the road: 956

    So, while its obviously easier to hit homers at OPACY than the average ballpark, we’ve outhomered opponents by 30 at home, while being outhomered on the road by 27.     So it seems to me the dimensions at OPACY have worked to the team’s advantage.    

    Do you think we’ve prioritized signing players who can hit home runs over the past ten years, because of the dimensions of OPACY? Is that part of the rationale for signing players like Davis and Trumbo?

    • Upvote 1

    What do you want from this rebuild?

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    20 hours ago, JR Oriole said:

    Winning a World Series once.  It has been 36 years and counting since we even appeared in one, let alone won it.  Just one time, being the last team standing at the end.  It should not be too much to ask after all of this time. 

    This. Want one in my lifetime.

    New Start Times

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    Guess my buddies and I will no longer be driving down from Philly after work for any of those games... We we're already showing up around the bottom of the 2nd/top of the 3rd as it was...  But good for the kiddos, I guess.

    What Tango says WAR is

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    I like the WAR stat and its one of the first things I look at.  That said, I do think it somewhat overrates defense. 

    I think about someone like Craig Gentry.  In 2018 he only had 169 PA. He put up a .668 OPS/85 OPS+.  He hit just 1 HR and recorded just 11 RBIs. 

    Defensively he played in 62 games, 30 of which he started.  He recorded 2 assists and committed 2 errors.  His DRS was 7.

    His WAR was 1.1.

    Versus someone like Adam Jones. Jones played in 145 games that year.  He had 613 PA.  He put up a .732 OPS/101 OPS+.  He hit 15 homers and 63 RBIs.  

    Defensively he played in 139 games, 138 of which he started.  He recorded 5 assists and committed 2 errors. His DRS was bad, -25.  

    His WAR was 0.2. 

    I get that Gentry was a better defender, but was he really worth more than five times what Jones was that year? What would Gentry's stats have looked like if he had played 145 games?  What would Jones' have been if he's just played RF/LF (where the stats looked a lot better)? Seems off to me.

    • Upvote 4

    Buck Showalter back to the Show?

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    9 minutes ago, DrungoHazewood said:

    There are 11 managers in all history with 2000+ wins.  Four of the 11 (36%) are/were active in the 2010s.  If anything it seems like 2000-win managers have become more likely recently.  

    Also, Terry Francona is only 3-4 good years from 2000. Mike Scioscia is nearly tied with Francona, each about 100 wins ahead of Buck.  If all three of those guys were to get there we'd have 50% of all 2000-win managers active in about a 15-year period.  

    Yea. It was mlb.com’s click baity title, not mine. That’s why I put it in quotes.

     

     

    Buck Showalter back to the Show?

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    I would love to see Buck become the manager of the Angels.

    There was an MLB.com article recently about Bruce Bochy becoming the "Latest and perhaps last manager to reach 2000 wins."  They mentioned that one of the people who could theoretically also get to 2,000 was Buck.  He currently has 1,551 and is 63 years old.

    Changing tides in OPS and ERA

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    The 2019 Orioles had a team OPS of .725. 

    This was a big improvement from their .689 team OPS in 2018 and obviously part of the reason they won seven more games.

    What's interesting is that OPS is up all around baseball.  In 2018, the average MLB OPS was .727.  In 2019, that jumped all the way up to .757.  In fact, that .757 OPS is the highest its been in MLB over the past 10 years.  You have to go all the way back to 2007 (when the average OPS was .758) to find a year that beats this one.

    ERA has followed accordingly.  In 2018, the average ERA in MLB was 4.14.  In 2019, it shot up to 4.49.

    So, is this evidence that balls were juiced this year?  Or are batters and their new launch angles just slipping ahead of pitchers in the never ending race to outsmart each another?

    • Upvote 2

    John Means 2019 vs. Justin Verlander 2006 ROY Season

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted · Edited by TommyPickles

    I know Means is probably not going to win Rookie of the Year.  But take a look at how his numbers this year (so far) stack up against one of the other recent AL starters to win the award, Justin Verlander in 2006:

    rWAR:

    Means- 4.1

    Verlander- 4.0

    ERA:

    Means- 3.47

    Verlander- 3.63

    ERA+:

    Means- 136

    Verlander- 125

    WHIP:

    Means- 1.114

    Verlander- 1.328

    IP:

    Verlander- 186.0 (30 G, 30 GS)

    Means- 137.1 (28 G, 24 GS)

     

    Now, Verlander had a sexier record and the 2006 Tigers did make it all the way to the World Series... but still, when you look at their numbers side by side, Means has definitely put together a ROY-type season.

     

    • Upvote 3
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