Malike

Two Yankee stadium HRs for Judge and one off a burned-out Yarborough who throws 87 and pitched multiple innings.

I go back to Tom Tango's quote about expected metrics quite frequently. An interesting read if anyone is so inclined. Properly Diving Into Expected Stats | Community Blog (fangraphs.com) “Tango then stressed that the expected metrics were only ever intended to be descriptive, that they were not designed to be predictive, and that if they had been intended to be predictive, they could have been designed differently or other metrics could be used.” For what it is intended to do, which is try to separate a player from extenuating circumstances and tell the story of a player differently, expected stats have accomplished their job. Asking it to do more than that (predict future success) would be asking too much based on the purpose of the metric when formulated, which is evident in the data. The most popular metrics on the website, however, are their expected stats: expected batting average (xBA), expected weighted on-base average (xwOBA), expected on-base percentage (xOBP), expected slugging percentage (xSLG), and expected isolated power (xISO). Essentially, these statistics are what you’d expect based on the name; they indicate what a player’s “true talent level is” based on the quality of their contact, frequency of contact, and, depending on the batted ball, sprint speed. This would appear to be a gold mine on the surface. With the ability to know what numbers a player deserves to have, we should be able to separate their talent level from outside circumstances, and thus better predict future performance. Yet that actually isn’t the case.

I guess it's the other two-thirds of ABs where he's unlucky.

It's not unlucky striking out 30% of the time.

It's a pretty big indictment of both players.

Good sliders look like fastballs, I don't know if he thought he could hit it or if he thought it was a fastball. In any event, so far he's been pretty good at not chasing bad ones this year, I hope he keeps it up.

I think he's doing a much better job this season spitting on bad sliders, a pitch he would swing at out of the hand quite frequently. I don't fault him for swinging at good sliders, everyone gets owned by them.

Yeah, Oswaldo Cabrera is pitching now, the white flag has been raised.

The Yankees are not immortal and are being bludgeoned by the Dodgers, who themselves were lucky to escape from Pittsburgh with a win. This is why you don't make panic moves to catch the Yankees on June 8th, because they are not going to play .700 ball all season long. I'm sure they will tighten up the pen and keep our top prospects as well. The Yankees had a 28-5 game stretch and a whole hell of a lot of good it did them, we've gained ground on them.

Prepare to be enlightened on how Cowser isn't struggling, he's just having bad luck.

Right, you go down to AAA to get your timing and you see no velocity or LHP that are talented at all. Any LHP with talent is brought up to the MLB. MLB hitters on rehab are saying they aren't seeing any velocity. If Mullins goes down and posts an .850 OPS, I don't think anyone would think he's been "fixed".

Just wait until he hits his peak at 26 and then it's all downhill from there, or so I'm told.

Also shocking!

Been busy finishing up the kitchen remodel and was about 10 pages back, I thought the O's were losing and they have a 5-run lead. Shocking lol.

Norby broke his ankles on that sword.

I'd pick Adley, switch hitter, good from both sides of the plate.

He's still being overshadowed by all of the other prospects, even Cowser by the media. The Rays guys last night pointed that out and how "quietly" how good he really is. He's so low-key it's easy to forget what he's doing I guess.

Glad to see it appears he's snapped out of his mini funk, I love this kid, he's such a ballplayer.

You might say, to a T.

I think so, there is a way using the API to actually see the data on the site but it looks like..... baseballsavant.mlb.com/player-services/range?playerId=681297&season=2023&playerType=fielder

We aren't too bad..

Yeah, it likely won't be until tomorrow morning.

Seems a little suspect, there is a catch that has an 11% probability from earlier that doesn't look like one of the hardest catches I've seen in a long time. It claims the bot calculates his own Catch Probability that isn't in line with Statcast. If that's an 11% catch, then I don't know. This one is 5%? Yeah, I'm not buying what he's selling.

Yohan Ramirez just got the Yankees out in the 11th, if only we had a guy like him!

We have 5 runs on HR's tonight but 6 runs in the game.