emmett16
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Posts posted by emmett16
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23 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:
Cool, not something I've been paying attention to.
I figured since college baseball players mostly don't even get full scholarships they would be getting beer money out of the NIL.
Thats about to change in a big big way.
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I think Tony’s piece is a fair critique. I also think their methods are a work in progress and they will continue to learn and hone their drafting and development process. There are some college guys (EBJ, Fabian, Etzel, Horvath) in the system that could still “pop” and be big time prospects but time will tell. Norby, Stowers, & Ortiz may turn out to be a solid group of post-first rounders as well.
I believe this draft will be very telling…will they change up and go for more pitchers? Or will they continue with the bat approach?
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54 minutes ago, Tony-OH said:
The Orioles definitely have their philosophy and metrics they look for in hitters and pitching. The results have spoken on the pitching side so far and as I showed, there is not a ton of successes, especially lately with drafting college bats after the first round.
While I have no opinion of Boddy's knowledge of pitching development, at the end of the day, where are the results? You can look at a computer screen and compu-data all day long, but until you start developing real major league pitchers, it's just data babble.
We've had all this technology and not a single pitcher has suddenly become an outstanding major league pitcher. Heck, not one has made it yet.
I've watched guys and see guys with some good pitches, but they struggle with consistency. Now most minor league pitchers struggle with consistency which is why they are in the minors, but it would be nice to have a few guys that you could point to and say, see, we developed that guy into an impact major league reliever.
It's been 5 years of drafting and the closest pitcher Elias has drafted to the major leagues is probably Kade Strowd (though Brandon Young could be interesting at some point this year in the pen -Note Young was a 2020 COVID free agent signee vs a draft pick, but would have been drafted).
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10 hours ago, emmett16 said:
Will Mounty finally top .800 this year?
Me too. I don’t take too much from 35 games played, though.
It really does paint a picture of this year’s run suppression when you see his OPS is .042 lower than 2020 while his OPS+ is 5 points higher.
I love that his avg EV, HardH%, and Oppo% are all at career highs. His BB % is at a career low but so are his Whiff%, Chase%, and K%.
It looks to me like has improved a bit and is becoming the best possible version of himself.
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1 minute ago, Can_of_corn said:
He did in 2020.
I know he did* and you know what I mean.
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Will Mounty finally top .800 this year?
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Simple, simple, simple…be simple. His move to the ball is simple and repeatable. Love his approach.
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1 minute ago, Gurgi said:
Loved hearing him talk after the game. He seemed near tears at times. He seems like a nice guy and will be easy rooting for. Great bomb he had
He’s a dog.
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1 hour ago, Rbiggs2525 said:
Looks like Burnes very well may have selected McCann as his catcher.
I think they use their best pitcher with their least potent offense to balance out the odds.
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29 minutes ago, Moose Milligan said:
Lol he spent time on that everybody.
He must have a soft spot for you. He put you at #3....
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2 minutes ago, Tony-OH said:
More like other guys keep falling. lol
He's been doing ok overall of late and I've heard the tools are good, but we'll see. He has not been overly impressive so far in his pro career but he's still young.
Thanks. I was hoping you weren’t going to say that but had a feeling that was the case.
Agree on Acevedo - he looks the part. You can’t teach his size and speed and athleticism. I hope he keeps it up.
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5 hours ago, Frobby said:
Santander never even deserved it. He had some hot and cold streaks, just normal level stuff. Hays and Urias were just off the charts bad at the beginning of the year, the kind of bad that makes you wonder if there’s something seriously wrong with them physically. Urias (now at 99 OPS+} has basically dug himself completely out of his early season hole. Hays (70 OPS+) still has a long way to go to do that, but at least he’s showing signs of life.
Also, I think a lot of people haven’t recognized just how much lower the league offensive environment is this year. Urias had a 98 OPS+ last year with a .703 raw OPS; this year he’s at 99 with a .684. Santander was at 121 OPS+ last year with a .797; this year, 118 OPS+ with a .751. The average OPS in MLB was .734 last year and .698 this year. Runs are down from 4.62 per game per team to 4.32. So individual performances have to be viewed in that context.
That makes what Gunnar is doing all the more special. Good info, thanks. Had heard offense is down, but those numbers really drive the point home.
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Glad to see Stiven Acevedo make the list! I have high hopes for him. He’s been on a heater and his numbers are starting to garner some attention.
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@Tony-OH Luis Almeyda keeps steadily rising? What am I missing? I saw he had a pretty good last week of May. Leads me To believe that maybe you e heard something about him from one of your sources.
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Does this mean Povich about to come up?
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8 minutes ago, RZNJ said:
He’s got more “incidents” than your average player.
Former teammate calls Tommy Pham out.
After seeing the viral incident between Pham and the Padres fans, former teammate and roommate Josh Wilson ripped the outfielder to shreds in an online post.
Tommy Pham’s MiLB roommate REALLY coming for him on Twitter… pic.twitter.com/wcM0Iuqy6h
— Neil Kucera (@NWKMF) August 20, 2023
“Pham is my former roommate in the minor leagues. He’s an absolute waste of a human being. Literally the worst person I’ve come across in my 36 years of life.”
Wilson isn’t the only baseball player with a beef.
Last season, Pham and Joc Pederson got into a pregame scuffle where Pham reportedly slapped Pederson across the face. The altercation apparently sparked from a fantasy football disagreement.
Didn’t he get stabbed outside a strip joint?
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3 hours ago, Rbiggs2525 said:
I think this year there are more players reclassifying due to “weak” draft. The “experts” do not really love this class after first 10-15 picks. What is the leverage of the reclassified players? I would imagine they may have less leverage in negotiations.
It’s not about the kids having leverage for the MLB draft. I’m talking about kids going into 6th & 9th grade with aspirations of playing D1 baseball. The 11.7 scholarship and unpaid amateur (collegiate) baseball is about to be a thing of the past. Kids are reclassing so that they are more of a bigger, stronger, faster finished product for D1 schools. The transfer portal has made a huge impact. Baseball academies have made a big impact. Getting a spot to play on college has never been harder. The better players will get a full ride AND get paid handsomely. There are going to be a lot more lucrative options for all young players through other channels that weren’t available in the past.
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11 hours ago, Just Regular said:
Geoff Arnold reports on the broadcast Norby got the good news by phone call from Eve Rosenbaum.
Right after his bro finished his CWS regional game at ECU. What a day for the Norby Family.
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5 hours ago, Jammer7 said:
But wait, there’s more. NIL is coming to high schools too. It is insane!
It’s going to be interesting. People I’ve talked to think that HS baseball will disappear. At least for the elite players whose goal is to play after HS.
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1 hour ago, Just Regular said:
I guess he will have the not an employee of the organization thing happen when the contract expires after the season.
Too far in the weeds for me to know, but I hope something in the CBA provides Means access to something more than home cooking his rehab come Thanksgiving.
I was thinking the same thing. He will do his rehab as a FA w/o a team - fairly unique. A cheap 2 year deal (league minimum) would be a fantastic gesture and a solid low risk depth move.
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7 minutes ago, Yossarian said:
Who had Hays with 2 HRs on their bingo card today?
Hyde.
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14 minutes ago, Frobby said:
Doesn’t bother me. It was obvious that Hays wasn’t at full strength in April. His EV’s were extraordinarily low even when he made good contact. But I’m more interested in how he does from here than what the reasons were for his poor start. He still has a long way to go.
He looks like a completely different guy from a month ago. Stronger, faster, quicker. I had just about written him off, but he looks like a new man. We never know what’s really going on behind the scenes. I’m happy for Hays, easy guy to pull for. If he does well it just pushes the other guys to get better. I love it.
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On 6/1/2024 at 1:47 PM, Jammer7 said:
You said it works out less often. I agree that is what the historical data said in a study many years ago. It is a reason to be cautious. I would add that Gunnar is an exception as well. There are a long list of 17 year talents who do not develop. For me, it has more to do with which team drafts them, than age at graduation.
Things are changing, I think. I read an article some months ago about development and it talked about the age factors of high school kids. It was in depth about age, confidence, physical maturation and all that. It talked about high level travel ball, year round development and training, and how modern data have helped evaluate the players. I believe it was the opinion of the author, so I suppose it is anecdotal.
Many talented kids are 19 at graduation, and Florida and Texas have it quite often. When they go to college, they become draft eligible sophomores. There are many examples of players in that demographic finding success.
I have no idea where that article was, sorry. I read a lot about these kinds of things from many sources as a former youth coach and the parent of a 13 year old pitcher/player. I am sure someone will ask for a link. Take it for what it is. Not trying to be argumentative, or contrary. Just adding to the discussion, Greg.
The re-class thing seems to almost be the norm now. Mix in new scholarship/NIL rules coming next year and it will be an even more popular option. It’s about to get crazy. College programs offering 6 & 7 year figures for 4 year commitments. We are entering the wild Wild West.
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Win the division. To want/desire anything else is stupidity.
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Is Elias/SIGBOT and crew really good at drafting and development after the 1st round?
in Orioles Talk
Posted
Full scholarships for entire roster is going to happen. The bigger schools will be offering money for 4 year commitments. Players will be able to get paid + get a full ride.