Sydnor

Who mentioned Kjerstad as one of three untouchables, and who were the others? I did a google search but didn’t find anything.

I thought the Witt that worked for the Orioles was Doug Witt (who no longer works for the Orioles), and that Tanner’s father is Kevin Witt.

I’m not trying to beat a dead horse here, but one more thing to consider with respect to Mayo and his age is a point that Tony has made several times, which is that if he had gone to college, he would’ve been in this year’s draft. Instead, he’s in AAA, and has performed. He’s actually 8 days younger than Bradfield. How he has performed at this point is exceptional and who knows where he would have been picked if he had gone to college and developed at the same pace.

By Outs Above Average, Frazier is actually the worst defensive second baseman in baseball. He is currently at -10 OAA, which is insane. He’s not quite as bad by defensive runs saved, where he is at -3 DRS, but is still in the bottom 20-25% of second basemen depending on what you want to use as an innings cut off. I actually didn’t know any of this until recently when I thought he looked particularly bad at second, and decided to look it up.

I’m fine with trading Kjerstad. Honestly, I’m fine with trading any of them depending upon the return (not trying to be a cop out, I just don’t know who is realistically available and I’m not great at coming up with fake trades). I don’t think they’re all going to reach their 90th percentile outcomes, and I don’t think they all will have a spot in the lineup, so trading some prospects will happen. Obviously, I, like everyone, value certain prospects more than others, and it’s fair to say that I value Mayo very highly because of his age and production at that age, so I wouldn’t move him without a significant return.

I said second best prospect not currently in MLB. Cowser is in MLB. Yes, I like him better than Kjerstad. He is 3 years younger than Kjerstad and at the same level now. He had a higher OPS than Kjerstad at AA this year despite being 3 years younger. He had a higher wRC+ (176 to 159). I have seen them both play, and my opinion is that he is more athletic than Kjerstad. I also think he has more raw power. I could be wrong. Nevertheless, the fact that Mayo put up better numbers at the same level despite being 3 years younger, along with what I’ve seen, leads me to favor Mayo.

Coby Mayo isn’t blocked, and regardless of what the national rankings say, he might be our second best prospect not currently in MLB.

The draft pundits have openly spoken about how LHP is the weakness of this draft class (for whatever their opinions are worth).

He’s a senior sign so they can afford Emerson, Farmelo, and Peete. Emerson is an Auburn commit, Farmelo is a UVA commit (good player—I’ve seen him), and Peete is a Georgia Tech commit. That will cost some money.

O’Hearn, Urias, McCann, and Frazier also are older than Santander, but I agree with your larger point.

113 mph

Recency bias acknowledged, but that is the best catch I’ve seen this year.

Correa tagged up because he knew it was a HR or a catch. Good base running.

I wasn’t talking about Bryce Young or someone of his caliber. There are often QBs picked at the end of the first round or early in the second round so the drafting team has the fifth year option. Here is an example of what I’m saying… This year the Bengals picked 28th in the draft. Even if Will Levis was their highest graded player (and none of us can know if he was), they weren’t going to draft him because they have Joe Burrow. Trading the pick also might not be an option because if they trade back they might not be able to draft Myles Murphy. Therefore, they drafted Myles Murphy, the player where value met need.

I’m fine with Santander playing first. I’m fine with him playing RF. I think the team is going to rotate the DH spot, so he’s going to in the field. Some posters act like he’s a complete liability in the field and he’s not. Thank you for clarifying that you were not saying that. That being said, his routes have actually improved this year. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/anthony-santander-623993?stats=statcast-r-fielding-mlb

Santander has 1 defensive run saved in RF, -2 outs above average, and a positive UZR and UZR/150. The ball he caught in the 9th last night had an expected batting average of .660. He more or less an average outfielder who is perfectly competent in RF because he gets above average jumps. Don’t act like he’s Mark Trumbo out there.

This is correct. In the NFL and NBA teams draft the player where value meets need unless they need everything. The Bills, Chiefs, Bengals, and Eagles aren’t drafting a QB with their highest pick regardless of whether the QB is the highest graded player on their board at the time.

He was not given a double. It was scored a single and advancing in the throw on his non-HR to left. So he still needs a double as well.

111.1 mph

I was only trying to set expectations that Cleveland is not going to give away Williams who has been ranked higher with a similar FV to Cowser or Bibee who has been ranked with a similar FV to Cowser for Kyle Stowers plus. I wouldn’t touch Espino. He has had significant injuries for the last 2 years.

Sure. I apologize for posting some facts about Dean Kremer the human being. I won’t let it happen again. Dean Kremer is not arbitration eligible until 2025. He does not reach free agency until 2028. He is currently in his age 27 season. He has thrown a total of 295.2 innings in the major leagues. This season, the expected batting averages against his pitches are as follows: 4 seam: .274 Cutter: .299 Sinker: .314 Changeup: .283 Curve: .289 Sweeper: .228 These xBAs are all higher than the xBAs for those pitches last year. However, his profile isn’t all that different than Kyle Bradish. Bradish’s xBAs this year are as follows: 4 seam: .334 Sinker: .294 Curveball: .229 Changeup: .343 Slider: .200 Dean does not walk a lot of batters (only 6.0%), and neither does Bradish (6.5%). The main difference between the two as of today is that Bradish’s slider is a legitimate out pitch, with which batters have difficulty. Therefore, when Dean lacks great command, which he had last night, he gets barreled pretty good. All of that being said, Dean is still pretty early in his career. Bradish is viewed as a definite future starter, while Dean is viewed as a long man or not part of the future by some. I question whether that’s fair. Dean’s curveball has exceptional spin. If he could improve the command of it, perhaps it could become a legitimate weapon like Bradish’s slider. I have heard you say in other threads that you think he is a back of the rotation guy, maybe a 4. I have also seen people say they trust Cole Irvin more than Dean, which seems crazy to me. I think your assessment of Dean is fair (as of today). I do question whether there is more there. I think that he has more upside than some do given where he is in his career. I think that increased usage of the curveball, coupled with better command of the pitch, could make him a legitimate mid rotation starter. Last night, he threw 16 curves, which was the most he has thrown in a game this year. That is a good start! Will Dean become a legit mid-rotation starter, I don’t know. I do however think that he should throw more curves, and that the organization should give him every opportunity so they can find out.

Dean’s parents are both Israeli. Dean has dual citizenship, the majority of his extended family lives in Israel, he speaks fluent Hebrew, and he travels at least once annually to Israel.