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btdart20

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    Colton Cowser 2024

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    18 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:

    SSS alert but Cowser’s OAA is an outstanding +3 early on…94 percentile.

    The defense in LF looks legit, so even if he’s slumping at the plate (which he will because he does have a good bit of swing and miss in his game), he should help in the field.  The arm is legit, he had good sprint and in game speed, so he will help in a lot of ways. 

    He had a good play in the 9th back in the LF nook/corner on the drive off Coulombe.  

    Speculating on how the O's handle the pitching logjam

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    56 minutes ago, LGOrioles said:

    There’s a 0% chance Akin should get sent down if he keeps pitching the way he is. Tate is easily optioned before him at this point based off performance and maybe more importantly how Hyde has used them. Akin is probably his 4th most trusted reliever right now. I doubt he wants to lose him. Could that change? Absolutely. But right now it’s hard to see them sending him down - and they absolutely shouldn’t based on how he’s pitched. 
     

    Right now there seems to be a clear bottom 3 in terms of who is trusted and that’s Ramirez, Baumann, and Tate. Those should be the first guys jettisoned for Irvin, Suarez, and Perez. It’ll get interesting when Wells is ready, but I think right now you have to keep Irvin and Suarez on the roster in case something happens with Bradish or Means (assuming they give him a rotation spot). 

    That's fair.  Tate and Akin are in similar tiers for me.  Tate has been a little "unlucky" where Akin has been a little "lucky".  

    @Just Regular - It’s nice to have talent for sure.  The IL usage will be interesting to watch.  Wells can be lumped in with the SP/RP flex role.  But we haven't seen Means in an RP role.  If history is a guide, that's a tiebreaker and pushes the rest of that group to the BP regardless of matchup.  Does the math change for matchups?  Will we see that many longmen in the pen?  Fine for eating IP during the season, but for the playoffs?

    Speculating on how the O's handle the pitching logjam

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    I'm not sure how they'll handle the end of the NYY series.  A single game might be a pure matchup and trend line question that could bump Irvin ahead of Bradish (I haven't looked but based on other posts...).

    After that, Burnes/Grayson/Bradish is our top 3.  Then Kremer is a solid #4.

    Maybe the use their positional flexibility thing for the #5 spot and play the matchup deciding between LHP Irvin and RHP Suarez?  It just would take a little planning ahead to know which is available out of the pen over a few days ahead of the next scheduled start.

    Ramirez is a voted off the island.

    Means gets squeezed a bit at this point.  He hasn't shown enough to be ahead of Irvin or Suarez this year.  Each start in AAA carries a lot of weight though.

    They will play the controllable arms gam with those who have options for a little while.  Baumann, Webb and Akin have to post up from here on.  This is the group when Perez and Wells are back.  I'm not sure what Akin is doing but I wonder if it's sustainable.

    Assuming health and expectations:  Kimbrel, Cano, Coloumbe, Tate, Suarez/Irvin, (Perez, Wells).  

    Which leaves one spot to be upgraded...  I'd love to get a guy ahead of Cano (market depending). But the Cano/Coloumbe tier is my floor.

    Who is "selling" this year?

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    I think HOU will pick it up when some SPs get healthy.  

    NYM has the horses and the motive, but they've been a grab bag of results.  Ottavino is having a career year but if they are selling, he's a potential. 

    Michael Forret 2024

    in Minors

    Posted

    1 hour ago, RZNJ said:

    It’s April and he’s thrown 13 innings.  I imagine if he throws 2-4 more starts like the last two he’ll get a quick promotion to Aberdeen.   

    Yeah, the limited IP so far is small.  But it feels like he's not at the right level of competition. Of course it's also as much competing against himself (pitch shape, location, etc. that the team tracks) as against the hitters too.  Like you mentioned elsewhere, he's younger than DeLeon.

    Offense is down in MLB this year — but not in Baltimore

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    45 minutes ago, interloper said:

    A lot of teams are pretty injured and have worse depth than us. I'm not saying that's the reason, but it's a reason to believe maybe we can maintain our offense throughout the season better than other teams. 

    I have to think SP injuries across the league has more impact than injured hitters.  In theory, it should increase runs/game across the league.  But as @Say O!said, CHW, MIA...

    Off-season Qualifying Offer Question

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    33 minutes ago, OsFanInOhio said:

    What makes you so confident he would accept? If he is coming off 3 years of what he’s done the last 2? I’ve mentioned in other posts that he’s younger and a better defender than both soler and Hernandez, who are similar offensive profiles. If he performs as well as last year, or better, I’d be shocked if he doesn’t have a market value higher than 1 yr 20mm. Tho the QO would hurt his market value. 

    If the QO hurts his market, that could increase the.likelihood of him accepting.  Then he can't be QO'd the next year.  

    As Emmett said, he's pretty close currently.  So 2024 will influence the teams and his decision.

    2024 White Sox

    in MLB

    Posted

    9 hours ago, oh-wee-ohs said:

    So what's the rule on "tanking"? Low payroll? Glad we aren't there anymore, but, also why I'm unfamiliar with what's going on.

    It's when a large market (non-revenue sharing recipient team) finishes low in the standings, it limits their draft slot.  Hard to differentiate between sucking on purpose or more organic reasons...  but the large market teams can at least band-aid the issue with money.

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