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btdart20

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Posts posted by btdart20

  1. 2 hours ago, Frobby said:

    It’s really interesting how this is the second straight year he’s dominated while repeating a level he’d struggled at the previous season.  (Though 9 games is a little early to say that he’ll continue to dominate.)

    A year or two ago Elias said something to the effect of liking to promote a guy later in the season so he can get a taste of the competition, experience struggles/failure, and have something to work for in the offseason.  Maybe that's what we're seeing here.

  2. 1 hour ago, Just Regular said:

    Getz chose Padres arms over Orioles bats - seeing today that 6 shutouts in 16 games has not happened since the dead ball era.

    Wow...  3 more times only scoring once too.

  3. 3 minutes ago, dzorange said:

    That's sort of what happened last year. Gunnar got off to his slow start with a .189 AVG but had 17 BB in April. He then really hit well the rest of the year as he walked considerably less - a 7.3% clip.

    That's part of the reason why I expect (and why I say needs) his walk rates to increase. He was a 12% walk rate kind of guy in the minors and in 132 PAs in 2022. He was an 18% walk rate guy last April. Clearly that's part of his DNA. What we saw in 2023 was a guy still developing at the plate. He was 22 years old.

    And yet he struggled early while taking his walks.  I'm not saying you're wrong.  He could very well add BB% to his bag of tricks.  But if this is the best version of himself, then I still consider him elite.

  4. 31 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

    But they are better than Oakland/Chicago/Colorado!

    Fair point about the excessive exuberance after Charlotte.  But I'm still taking Norfolk!

  5. 5 minutes ago, dzorange said:

    The other poster brought up those other names.

    But Gunnar ranked 20th in oWAR in 2023 with Baseball Reference and 21st in Offense with Fangraphs in 2023. If we're just going off of every player's 2023 season, then Gunnar didn't make my elite cutoff.

    I'm surprised that of anything in my original reply, saying that Gunnar needs to improve his walk rate is what's creating a debate. Of the top 30 players in fWAR in 2023, the only ones who had a lower OBP were Witt and Robert Jr.

    It's just a quibble over an imperative 'need'.  Would a higher walk rate help him?  All things being equal, absolutely.  But what if there's a trade off?  Maybe less aggressive swings lead to lower EV and less SLG?

  6. 2 hours ago, dzorange said:

    Henderson's walk rate is right about where it was last year, but for him to become elite it'll need to eventually improve. But 8.3% isn't horrible.

    Need?  Tatis, Riley, Seager, Witt, Julio...  all Gunnar adjacent or worse BB%.  Nice to have to make him "more elite", sure.  

  7. 1 hour ago, Just Regular said:

    A small run of guys maybe around Povich's general level are having MLB debuts around now, in some instances as injury fill-ins - HOU Spencer Arrighetti, CHW Nick Nastrini, TEX Jack Leiter just announced.

    High above, PIT Paul Skenes could be any day now, unless he needs to work on the Super 2 stuff as well.

    Roster Resource actually has Pittsburgh momentarily on a 9-man bullpen, and nobody listed for Friday night when they open a home series with the Red Sox.    Hmmm....

    In other news, so has Forrest Whitley...

  8. 1 hour ago, Just Regular said:

    And here I was thinking his Hays-Holliday-Henderson Triple H mention was the moment of the night.

    I enjoyed the green fry dip exchange.  Ben, the true red-blooded country Cajun, wanted nothing to do with the green fry dip.  KB is the chirpa of culinary progress!

  9. On 1/3/2023 at 7:16 PM, RZNJ said:

    It's easy.  Ignore most of the comments on the board and wait and see what actual happens.   The Orioles could win 100 games and people will be unhappy because they "could have been better!".

    Fish in a barrel.

    • Upvote 1
  10. 12 minutes ago, dystopia said:

    No. They’ve gotten pitched to. I haven’t seen a lot of chasing at junk. 

    I agree with this.  

    11 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:

     Gunnar needs to walk more though And he will.

    Needs?  Maybe/maybe not.  I'm probably splitting hairs, but good swing decisions and barrels are his game.  Whether or not that leads to walks is something else.  He had a few bad PAs in Boston (maybe more, but those stick out), but he's been in control of the zone in general.

  11. 20 minutes ago, Just Regular said:

    Orioles pitching seems to be leaning into Yield HR, not Walks - MLB best in lowest walk rate by a nice margin entering today.

    2nd half 2023 Grayson smothered HR, but he's coughed up a few so far.    The Twins are a HR oriented offense, so I'd guess 1 HR or less becomes a good outing.

    K% is a thing.  But low BB% is better.  Weak EV is best?

  12. Mullins is swinging the bat well right now.  His LD rate is up and his PU rate is down.  If that continues, he's in for a really good offensive year.  The last time he was able to keep his PU rate down this low was 2021.

    K% is a small question mark.  But if it comes with power in the 6 or 7 spot, I'll take it.

    It's a SSS and can regress quickly.  But we're now seeing what we've wanted to see the last 2 years.

  13. 59 minutes ago, Sanfran327 said:

    Knowing this place, I’m not the only one wondering, but maybe I’m the first one to put it out there. How long of a leash does Jackson have before he’s sent down for a little reset like they did for Rodriguez last year? 

    Obviously, I hope he makes this post look stupid by the end of the week, but I do wonder if there is any point at which a healthy Jackson Holliday isn’t on the big league roster.  

    Gunnar got 2 months.  But who knows how much longer because that's all it took.

  14. 1 minute ago, Tony-OH said:

    It's bushleague move by Hyde. Irvin was at 82 pitches and pitching pretty decent overall. 

    Hyde was on autopilot. SIGBOT says Irvin can only go two times through an order so no matter what, he pulls him.

    It's damn BS. 

     

    Wouldn't shock me.  Do you recall if Irvin has gone more than 2 times through before in tight games?

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