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TommyPickles

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Posts posted by TommyPickles

    Elias answers some questions.

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    Last season was a weird one for Means. First there's Covid, then he gets injured, then when he finally gets going, his dad died...

    The last month and a half of the season was when he finally got settled in.  And he looked good.

    5 starts, 29 IP, 2.48 ERA, 31 K's/4 BB

    I don't know if he's TOR or not, but he's a very exciting player to watch. I hope he'll be on our next playoff roster.

     

    Should the Os look into Kris Bryant?

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    Not sure how much of the contract the Cubs would be willing to eat, but it is an interesting idea.

    I feel like people here are always talking about how to aquire prospects for the rebuild, which is obviously important, but if we're looking to contend in 2022 or 2023 or 2024, you also have to pick your veterans you want to extend to be part of that.

    A 28-year old former NL MVP could be that kind of player. You also need to think about which of the current players you'd like to see with the team in 22'-24' and consider putting an extension offer in front of them.

    All that said, they love Bryant in the North Side; I think he stays a Cub.

    Frederick Dropped

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    10 minutes ago, bpilktree said:

    Yes but not sure any of the other locations have the size or facilities to be a AA team.  They also jumped Aberdeen to high A and kept Delmarva as low A telling me stadium and facilities played a bigger role in the decision then location.

    I feel like the Frederick stadium is pretty nice though...

    Frederick Dropped

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    Man this is a real bummer.  My mom lives in Frederick and the Keys are such a beloved part of that community.  I hope they'll still be able to employ as many people and draw as many fans in this new league, but I doubt it.

    I've been to a couple games there.  Great times.

    2021 WAR Projections by Fangraphs

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    54 minutes ago, Frobby said:

    Fangraphs does its projections by averaging Steamer and ZiPS.   The ZiPS projections for the Orioles haven’t been published yet, so at the moment they are only using Steamer, which projects Ruiz at .251/.321/.427.    That BA and OBP are wildly optimistic IMO.  BB-ref uses Marcel, which projects .232/.309/402.    That is much more realistic IMO.   It will be interesting to see what ZiPS says when it is published.   

    Petriello really should have waited until ZiPS was fully published.   Right now projections for 15 of the 30 teams have been released, so his chart must be based on Steamer for half the teams and Steamer/ZiPS average for the other half of the teams.   Apples and oranges.   
     

    Very interesting. And I'd agree that BB-ref's prediction of a .711 OPS for Ruiz sounds more likely than the .749 OPS predicted by Steamer.

    Also, Fangraphs predicts the second-most apperances at third will go to Rylan Bannon. They're forecasting 105 PA and a .245/.318/.385/.703 line for him. They seem to like his glove a lot more than Ruiz's too.

    Hanser Alberto has been non-tendered

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    I don't like this move. I think Alberto would have given a lot of stability to the middle infield picture, especially with Iglesias gone too.

    In his two years with Baltimore, Alberto had a .735 OPS, .322 OBP, a 3.4 WAR, and a 0.6 dWAR.

    Sanchez is a career .660 OPS hitter, who actually has a similar dWAR to Alberto over the past two seasons (1.0 dWAR).  Not saying they're equal defensively, but it would have been nice to have both of them in the fold.

    I've been hoping for a long time that the O's were going to be around .500 in 2021, then shoot for a wild card spot by 2022... So far this offseason, it doesn't look like that's going to happen.

     

    Nunez DFA

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, Frobby said:

    I think Santander and Hays eventually will both be better hitters than Nunez.    And maybe that’s the point — we want these guys getting as many at bats as possible.    The more experience they get now, the sooner they reach their peak performance.   

    Now, do I think it’s a sure thing that they will eventually be better hitters than Nunez?    No.   Just more probable than not, IMO.
     

    Yea, I agree.  I hope for the best for Nunez. I hope he catches on somewhere else. But I'm not mad at this move.

    Excited to watch Mancini, Mountcastle, Santander, and Hays in 2021.

    The Free Agent Starting Pitchers

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    13 hours ago, Frobby said:

    Not responsive to the question, but I remember Tyler Chatwood was a hot commodity the last time he came up for free agency.    Lots of chatter here about whether the Orioles should go after him.   The Cubs signed him for 3/$38 mm.   He produced 1.2 rWAR in those three years.

     

    Haha I was definitely one of the people wanting the O's to sign Chatwood back then.

    Although I was also in favor of signing Cobb, and he's been worth about the same for us so far...

    Chatwood- 3 years, 38 million, 1.2 rWAR

    Cobb- 3 years, 42 million, 1.8 rWAR

    The Free Agent Starting Pitchers

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    I know the O's are not going to be splashy spenders this offseason.  I know we've been burned by free agent pitchers in the recent past (Ubaldo Jimenez, Alex Cobb, etc.). But take a look at this list. 

    Who is one pitcher you think they should pursue and why?

    Starting Pitchers

    Brett Anderson (33)
    Chase Anderson (33)
    Chris Archer (32)
    Jake Arrieta (35)
    Homer Bailey (35)
    Trevor Bauer (30)
    Trevor Cahill (33)
    Tyler Chatwood (31)
    Anthony DeSclafani (31)
    Robbie Erlin (30)
    Mike Fiers (36)
    Mike Foltynewicz (29)
    Kevin Gausman (30)
    Zack Godley (31)
    Gio Gonzalez (35)
    Cole Hamels (37)
    J.A. Happ (38)
    Rich Hill (41)
    Corey Kluber (35)
    Mike Leake (33)
    Wade LeBlanc (36)
    Jon Lester (37)
    Tommy Milone (34)
    Mike Minor (33)
    Matt Moore (32)
    Charlie Morton (37)
    Jimmy Nelson (32)
    Ivan Nova (34)
    Jake Odorizzi (31)
    James Paxton (32)
    Martin Perez (30)
    Rick Porcello (32)
    Jose Quintana (32)
    Robbie Ray (29)
    Garrett Richards (33)
    Tyson Ross (34)
    Jeff Samardzija (36)
    Anibal Sanchez (37)
    Matt Shoemaker (34)
    Drew Smyly (32)
    Marcus Stroman (30)
    Masahiro Tanaka (32)
    Julio Teheran (30)
    Michael Wacha (29)
    Adam Wainwright (39)
    Taijuan Walker (28)
    Alex Wood (30)
    Jordan Zimmermann (35)

    • Upvote 1

    Orioles claim Yolmer Sanchez

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    I really hope they keep Alberto too.  I think between Iglesias, Alberto, Sanchez, Ruiz, Urias, Martin, and Wilkerson you can put together a real nice unit of 2B/SS/3B/UTI.  You have the depth to survive a few injuries and space for some guys to get more seasoning in AAA.  Plus, as people have mentioned, you may be able to trade Iglesias (or even Alberto) mid-season.

    I also like that they now have Sanchez controlled through 2022.  I still think Elias is going to compete for a wild card spot in 2022.

    • Upvote 1

    Mullins and DJ Stewart

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    Yea maybe it's just the games I've watched, but Stewart always seems to misplay a ball or take an awkward angle or something...

    I see he has a negative dWAR again this season, but it's not as bad as last year's.

     

    I don't know, I'm not super high on Stewart long term. Homers aside, he's got a .208 average and is averaging an error every nine games or so... I know its a small sample size, but I think Mullins could be a more useful longterm piece with his superior defensive skills, speed, and versatility.  He could be the perfect 4th outfielder who gets into almost every game as a pinch runner, defensive replacement, situational hitter...

    (Also, as long as were talking small sample sizes, Stewart is 1 for his last 16 with 11 strikeouts.)

    Where's Pedro Severino fit in the future?

    in Orioles Talk

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Sanfran327 said:

    I thought the OH consensus was already that 3 catchers was a good thing with the blend of talent they (Rutchman, Sisco, Severino) each bring. DHing one every now and then, etc. 

    I agree.  Especially if they keep rosters at 28 next season which I suspect they will.

    Severino has the highest OPS (.921) of any catcher in baseball with at least 65 at bats.

    He leads all catchers in baseball with 37 hits.  He would have probably started the All Star game this year for the AL.

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