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Tony-OH

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Everything posted by Tony-OH

  1. I don't want to dump Mountcastle, but he clearly was affected by the wall last year and he may have more value in trade to a team with a shorter left field porch. The other issue I have with him is that he's very streaky and his bad streaks last way too long where he's an absolute zero at the plate because he doesn't walk much. Again, would i trade Mountcastle for Bell straight up, no, I would not. If Mountcastle brought me value in a starting pitcher or good outfielder, then yes, I'd move him and bring on Bell to hold the fort down at 1B until Mayo is ready.
  2. Lol, you Stowers haters are going to be eating crow at some point. It's completely silly to say he didn't prove enough. What you should have said was the ridiculous decision to bench him in favor of Aguilar didn't allow him to prove enough at the major league level. I guess an .863 OPS in AAA and .928 OPS in AA should just be ignored over the fact he didn't light the world on fire with sporadic at bats due to ridiculous lineup decisions by the organization last August and September? Yeah, definitely should just ignore him and treat him like an afterthought.
  3. I don't really want a DH since Rutschman will need PAs there and other plays can rotate there. So yeah, I think he would be a good choice to replace Mountcastle if he's traded. I would not sign him without knowing what is going on with Mountcastle.
  4. If they could get him on a 2 year reasonable contract I'd say yes. He would be a great replacement for Mountcastle if they move him in a deal where he right-hander power will play better. Bell without shifts as RHB: .365 WOBA Bell with Shifts as RHB: .287 WOBA Surprisingly his stats weren't significantly different batting left-handed without shifts. Either way, he gets on base at a decent clip. Now why only two years? His avg EV dropped 3.6 MPH (88.9 from 92.5 in 2021) last year and most significant offensive stats trended down. He'll play at 30 years old and doesn't bring much defensive value at 1B though he's not awful. Add is that he's slow, and we are talking about a guy that is probably on the decline unless there's an injury reason why his EV dropped so much. I would not go over two years and I like him more if the Orioles use Mountcastle in a package for a starter. I also would not want him to be just a DH since Rutschman needs PAs there when not catching. So basically I'd want him as a replacement for Mountcastle if they move him.
  5. Yikes, I'm all about learning more, but besides the conclusion, this was like reading from a math book vs a baseball site. lol I don't think OAA for outfielders is perfect, but I do think it's helpful when combined with the jump numbers and feet covered per second.
  6. Once Baines was added, the Hall has become the Hall of Very good. There are two ways to get into the HoF now. Be actually one of the best "non steroid" player, or be vey good over a long period of time. McGriff, like Baines, fits into the latter group. Lou Whitaker and Dick Allen need to be relooked as well with this criteria.
  7. I think DL Hall could be this guy if they decide to keep him as a reliever this year.
  8. While some people will slam you, until he does something else, that is his current history for attempting to add to a marginal playoff team. He also was pigheaded and forced Aguilar into the lineup over Stowers when it went against everything he's always stood for when it came to the future.
  9. I'm not part of that discussion/argument, but just wanted to put my two cents into signing Bassitt again. lol I'm also not against Syndergaard for the right price.
  10. I am so if that makes him my boy, I'm signing up! I'd go 4-years and worry about the 4th year when we get there if it was needed.
  11. Well I guess this is their Jordan Lyles-type signing. Other than his sinker he had good numbers last year against his other offerings. Maybe they plan to have him use it less and get better production from him? https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/kyle-gibson-502043?stats=statcast-r-pitching-mlb https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.fcgi?id=gibsoky01&year=2022&t=p
  12. If Cordero is DHing games for the Orioles next year, Elias' offseason plan was a giant failure. Not sure why it took a $1.35 million split contract to sign him though.
  13. Yikes, even cherry pickers are like, "Damn, you cherry pickin' stats." You conveniently left out his low BA, fairly low OBP, and 58 to 135 BB to K ratio over that period. I do agree with your chances though. 1% sounds about right.
  14. I heard Stowers has never, ever played the position and when he was given some work there before games, he has a long, long way to go before he would be playable.
  15. It does seem like there is something in the works with Mountcastle being traded, though if Cordera or Diaz are any kind of serious backup plan to Mountcastle being moved then that's not good news.
  16. Nothing like signing a bad left-handed version of Ryan Mountcastle. Sig's computer: OBP: bad AVG EV: Mediocre Ability to hit offspeed: Bad Poor Slash line after 700+ Major League PAs: Yes Defense at 1B: Bad Defense in outfield: Bad High MAX EV: Yes Computer output: Sign to contract Can't make this up!
  17. Congrats to Nevin so far. Anyone with his skill set that keeps making it through purges has either incriminating pics or has found the way for Sig's computer to think he still can be something.
  18. I actually liked Cameron better than Cave so glad to see him be some depth in AAA.
  19. Thankfully Basallo has already outhit Diaz in the FCL at a year younger. Basallo looks well ahead of Diaz at the same point.
  20. I'm certainly not arguing over Nevins major league value which I think is "less than replacement level," but he does play 3B and has has better EVs than Diaz. Neither should play a role as anything but deep AAA depth for break glass in case of emergencies kinds of players.
  21. Nice job. I'm ok with him as AAA depth I guess, but I don't see much here based off baseball savant numbers and stats. Even his AAA numbers were bleh. I would be surprised if he makes all the way through to the Rule 5 draft. My guess is Elias waives him a day or so before the draft and tries to sneak him through waivers since he can't become a free agent yet.
  22. Ubaldo just had too many statistical red flags and was just a bad signing from the beginning. It was probably one of Duquette's worse moves as GM. Bassitt is the opposite. Everything points to him being good over the next few years if he stays healthy.
  23. Interesting. We had a thread and tried to keep up with home runs lost but never quite got there. I think in the future, the Orioles will be a left-handed/switch-hitter heavy lineup. This is why I think guys like Westburg, Norby and maybe even Mayo could be trade bait because their right-handed power is their biggest attributes. Hudson Haskins-type will struggle badly in Camden Yards for power. Joey Ortiz brings plus defensive value, but I do think his power numbers will not be as good in Camden Yards though he could become more of a Brian Roberts "high doubles kind of guy." BTW, I now like them pushing the wall back a bit, but I'm not sure 30 feet was the right distance and should have angled it in left center instead of creating that jutting out point. I hate that they lost the ability for outfielders to go into the stands to rob a homer as well. But, I think they now made Camden Yards more friendly to free agent pitchers and that should help them land a top FA pitcher (hopefully Bassitt).
  24. With the way free agent starting pitching costs, I could see 4/$75 being reasonable for Bassitt. With as many looks as he gives hitters, i think he has a great chance to keep it up into late 30's. Is there risk, sure, but for me, Bassitt is the guy I like the best for the cost.
  25. Holliday could have a higher ceiling, but considering Rodriguez is so close, I never seriously considered putting him ahead. That's not to say that Holliday may not end up the best of all three, just that Henderson and Holliday are so close it would hard take him over them.
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