Tony-OH

Cade Povich Throws: LHP Age (as of Jun 30th) : 22 2022 Level: A+/AA Pitches (current/future value) Fastball: 45/55 Curveball: 45/50 Change: 50/60 Slider: 40/45 Command: 45/55 Most Likely Future Role: #4 starter Ceiling: #3 starter What we know: Acquired as the top player acquired in the Jorge Lopez trade with the Twins, this 6-foot-5 lefty brings a four-pitch mix and intriguing frame that gives him some upside. Drafted in the 3rd round in 2021 as a low velocity, pitchability lefty, Povich increased velocity in the instructional league that he held through last season. That improved fastball now can sit 93-95 early in games before settling in around 92-93. He works it well in the upper portion of the zone where he can get a decent amount of swing and miss, but he can get barreled lower in the zone since there’s not a lot of horizontal movement. His best offspeed pitch is the change that can flash plus at times, showing good depth and fade. His curveball is his best breaking ball with his slider being more like a cutter than a true left on left sweeping slider. More control than command at this point, his stuff helps him miss bats more than his command. He put up good swinging strike out rates and K/9 while holding batters to a .222/.290/.374/.664 and a 148 to 39 K-BB ratio in 481 PAs. Gets righties out better than lefties due to his plus changeup. Struggled a bit in his first taste of AA, but also may have been a bit tired pitching into September for the first time. What we don’t know: A tall, lanky young man who some scouts believe there could be even more in that fastball. Will he be able to keep that early game velocity longer into games if he fills out a bit this offseason? Can the Orioles help him develop more of a left on left sweeping slider to help him with lefties? Will he trust his stuff as the hitters get better? What we think: Povich was an excellent get for a few months of Lopez and while his Bowie time was not that great, there is some upside here. He’s a guy who has missed bats and if he can lesson his mistakes in the middle of the plate, he’s got a chance to be a pretty solid starter, even it’s probably more of a #4 guy. The changeup and fastball combo alone can work for him when he spotting both, but the curve and occasional slider gives him more looks.

John was in charge of MASN for a long time. I really don't want him as the long term owner even though I do appreciate how he's allowed Elias to run things how he sees fit, albeit within a very tight budget so far. In addition, its pretty clear by the court documents that this family no longer has the funds of other streams of income to invest into the team.

No because it was his left shoulder, not his right.

Never said Ortiz pulls more than Westburg, I told you his power is mostly pull power which is what I was told and based on my own observations. Ortiz does a good job of going to all fields and can drive the ball to right center, but he's not a big home run guy that way.

Seems like a good kid. One thing you have to give the Orioles credit for is they have not only drafted good players, but they're really high makeup guys as well.

He certainly needs to find that changeup because it was awful this year. He tried the Means changeup and could not control it and it was obvious he never really looked comfortable throwing any changeups. I watched his last few starts and saw a few decent ones so it's good to hear that he knows he has to master that pitch to have success at the big league level.

Ortiz vs Westburg was close for me which is a credit to him for closing that gap on Westburg. Westburg remind me more of a Ben Zobrist defensively in that he has the ability to play a lot of positions but may not be great any one particular one. Ortiz on the other hand is going to be a plus defender at SS and a plus-plus defender at second base. The only question is how much of that power, which is mostly pull, will be affected by Camden Yards? They were so close, but I decided that Westburg's power and overall hit tool has slightly more value, and I think he has the better chance to be an impact hitter at the major league level.

Who are the Orioles 2022 #13 and #14 prospects?

Dylan Beavers Pos: OF Bats: L Throws: R Age (as of Jun 30th) : 20 2022 Level: FCL/A/A+ Tools (current/future value) Hit: 40/50 Game Power: 35/50 Raw Power: 50/55 Run: 60/55 Defense: 50/55 Most Likely Future Role: 1st Division outfielder Ceiling: 1st Division Outfielder, occasional All-Star What we know: Selected with the 33rd pick in the 1st round and signing for $2.2 million, Beavers is a five tool talent that has been considered a bit unorthodox in most things he does on the baseball field. Scouts were split a bit on him as an amateur due to some swing mechanics issues (drops his hands low and has a weird bat path at times) that some feel will need to be reworked in the minors. He slashed .291/.427/.634/1.060 with 17 HR and 18 doubles, 51 BB, and 54 K in 272 PAs in college. He spent most of his pro debut at Delmarva where he lined seven doubles from gap to gap and put up a .359/.468/.531/.999 with 12 BBs and just 11 Ks in 77 PAs before getting four games in Aberdeen after Delmarva’s season was over. His 32.7% LD rate, .172 ISO, .464 WOBA and 178 wRC+ were all very impressive against Carolina League pitching. Defensively he's probably going to have to move from center field due to his size (6-4, 206 as of his signing), but his arm plays enough that he could play RF and he has enough speed to cover spacious left field in Camden Yards. He runs well for a big kid and may steal some bases, but he won’t be a huge base stealer. What we don’t know: Will he need that swing change when he hits upper level pitching? Will he be able to get to his plus raw power in games enough to make power a big part of his game or will he settle into more of a doubles high OBP guy? Defensively, while he can play CF, will he be better in the corners? What we think: Beavers is certainly an intriguing player who was only available when the Orioles selected him because of that unorthodox swing and some concerns how that will play at the upper levels of the minor league and in the majors. He’s reportedly a high character, hard working player so if there are changes that need to be made, I’d imagine he will put in the work to make them work. He’ll probably start 2023 with Aberdeen, but a successful year would see him finish it in Bowie. There is some real upside here and he could be one of those players that could be much higher on this list next year.

Samuel Basallo Pos: C Bats: L Throws: R Age (as of Jun 30th) : 17 2022 Level: FCL Tools (current/future value) Hit: 25/50 Game Power: 40/70 Raw Power: 50/70 Run: 40/40 Defense: 30/50 Most Likely Future Role: 1st Division Starting 1B Ceiling: 1st Division Starting Catcher What we know: Signed for $1.3 million back in 2021 when he was just 16-years old, Basallo made his Florida Complex League debut this season as the 2nd youngest player in the league. Despite his youth, Basallo tied for the league lead with six home runs while slashing .279/.350/.424/.774, which led his team among players with 100 PAs or more. His .369 wOBA and 116 rRC+ were both above league average. He has shown no platoon concerns and even hit southpaws better than righties slashing .367/.400/.567/.967 with two of his six homers against them in just 35 PAs. Basallo does have some swing and miss in his game putting up a 28.7% swing K rate, but he cuts down his swing some with two strikes and only had a respectable 20.6% K rate to go along with 8.3% BB rate. His line drive rate did fall to 14.4% from 24.5% in the DSL. While there are concerns that Basallo would outgrow catcher, he shows outstanding flexibility (he can do a complete split) and a power arm that saw him catch 31% of runners despite inexperienced pitchers not holding runners well. While his arm is strong, he struggles with accuracy at times, committing eight errors, and he still has a long way to go though defensively behind the dish with seven passed ball in just 31 games/28 starts behind the dish. He did make 10 starts at 1B after making 13 the year before in the DSL, so they are giving him some experience at his fall back position already. What we don’t know: Basallo is one of those high risk, high reward players in that his ceiling is very high, but there is still extreme risk that upper level pitching could give him problems. He has barely grown into his frame though he did put on weight and he will most likely continue to grow into that frame which could make staying behind the dish a problem. That means his defensive position is still very much a question mark despite having good tools to stay behind the dish. His drop in LD% and and swinging K % is worth watching as he moves up a level. What we think: There is a huge upside here with Basallo and that’s why he is so high on this list despite not playing above the Florida Complex League. He reminds some of a young Carlos Delgado who started his career as a catchier, but obviously became known for his bat at the major league level. He’ll start next season most likely as one of the youngest players in the Carolina League (A ball) and could move quickly if he gets off to a good start.

Bellinger is the poster child for being very careful when you consider giving a long contract to a young player. Who would have thought this guy would be non-tendered by 27 years old after the way he hit at 23?

The know where the data comes from. I'm wondering how this guy got ah old it because it's supposed to not be released yet. It pisses me off that this data is not available to the public for minor leaguers.

Feel free to answer your own question. I'm not here to do your work. I put about two minutes of thought into this. Don't like my grade, give it your own grade.

You're right, and thanks for posting that. I wish I had that data because that's not stuff you can really see unless you watch every at bat looking for that stuff.

Worse, force feeding us Rio Ruiz because he was a former draft pick.

But again, when you sit three years in a row with the #1 waiver claim, they sure better find some players. I could list all the waiver failures too, but you know them. Basically they yank pretty much everyone worth anything off waivers and then try and slip through the ones that don't work out. Sure, they've found some good role players and had some success on waiver claims, but I think they are little above average (C+) overall considering their place in the waiver queue for three years.

Of course you forgot to show how good a high fastball hitter he is according to the article. " COBY MAYO Key Stats: 86.1% Contact, 68.2% ZSwing, 22.3% Chase, .451 xwOBAcon Coby Mayo was the Orioles 4th round pick in the truncated 2020 draft. Just two and a half seasons later, Mayo is a consensus top 100 talent, and looks like he will be a core piece for the Orioles moving forwards. His success is in large part due to his outstanding ability to hit the high heat. Coby Mayo is good against all fastballs, but what makes him stand out from the pack is how good he is against the high fastball. Mayo has a 91.8% contact rate against fastballs in the top third of the strike zone. That is in the 99th percentile of all players at any level. Mayo isn’t just making contact at the top of the zone, however, he’s also hitting the ball hard. In the top third of the zone, Mayo has a 41.2% Hard-Hit Rate. There is no other player with a contact rate over 90%, and a hard-hit rate that high. Most players who kill the high fastball do so because of a flat VBA and flat attack angle. This leads to them hitting a lot of ground balls, and failing to tap into their raw power in games due to the swing plane. Mayo does not follow that trend. He has a steep VBA with a flatter attack angle, and still has above-average flyballs rates — even in the top third. Why? It has a lot to do with his shoulder strength as he has no trouble with keeping his upper body intact while lifting the shoulder to get to the high pitch consistently. He also has fantastic barrel accuracy which plays a key role in making sure Mayo is not getting on top of pitches from the start, Coby Mayo is a monster against vertical movement, for similar reasons. Against pitches with plus vertical movement (18”), Mayo is unstoppable with a .573 xwOBAcon and an 83% contact rate. He is also unchallenged by flat approach angles as he has an 85.7% contact rate with a .435 xwOBAcon against pitches with a VAA flatter than the MLB average four-seam. Coby Mayo’s quick hands and direct bat path, also make velocity easy for Mayo to beat. He has a .473 xwOBAcon and an 85.3% Hard-Hit rate against fastballs at 95+. Everything you look for in the modern four-seam fastball, Mayo obliterates. "

Damn, I'd love to know where they get that information?

Urias +. I think he's going to have more consistent power and will get on base more than Urias.

Profile is up!

Finally got access, profile is up!

Those reports always amaze me. Couldn't imagine writing handsome on a scouting report now! lol

They have not exactly found many minor league free agents that have been able to become good players for them at the major league level. I've always been led to believe that they can look at the analytics and identify guys in the minors who they can make some adjustments to and make them good major league players. Where are they? Also, some of their evaluations lead a lot to be desired. Obviously the Bemboom thing makes me question whoever was involved in that evaluation, but there are others like why they think Tyler Nevin is a major league player or why they kept Isaac Mattson over Zach Pop. Who decided that Stowers shouldn't play against MLB lefties when he's hit them his whole career? Now that's not to say they are terrible, and that's why he gets a C, but there some questionable decisions that makes you wonder who are making these evaluations sometimes.

And if the team is winning and Henderson has been a big part of that, why would they not have the money to resign him anyways or extend him towards the end? I absolutely think Gunnar is the kind of talent you do give a 10 year contract if you can get him signed for something that makes sense, but I can understand why you wait until a few years in before you think about that process.

That would be my guess. Also, accuracy and distance from the bag are not always the same or exact. When we start splitting seconds up there are a lot of things that start to come into play.