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Tony-OH

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Everything posted by Tony-OH

  1. Remember, please discuss Orioles picks in their threads.
  2. Truth, especially when it comes to baseball drafts.
  3. Pretty surprising overall but it seems like the Pirates went more for organizational need.
  4. Post all scouting reports and initial comments and thoughts in this thread. MLB Scouting report: Cowser was a late bloomer at Cypress Ranch HS (Cypress, Texas), where he played alongside projected 2021 first-rounder Ty Madden as well as J.J. Goss and Matt Thompson, who both went in the top two rounds in 2019. Scouts liked Cowser but not enough to divert him from Sam Houston, where he could surpass Glenn Wilson (No. 18 overall, 1980) as the highest pick in school history. The only Bearkat ever to play for the U.S. collegiate national team, he earned MVP honors in a 2019 series against Cuba after batting .438 in six games. One of the best bats in the college class, Cowser has a pure left-handed stroke and repeatedly finds the barrel. His quick hands allow him to pepper line drives all over the field as he executes a very controlled approach. Though he presently doesn't have a lot of loft in his swing, leading to some questions about his power potential, he has the hitting ability and strength to provide 20 or more homers annually and answered some questions about his power by going deep in five straight games in April and topping the Southland Conference with 16 homers this spring. Scouts were somewhat split on Cowser's ability to play center field, though they believe in him now that he has posted consistent plus running times this spring. He has good defensive instincts in center, possesses an average arm and spent most of his prep career in right field -- Goss and Thompson played center when they weren't pitching -- and part of his freshman season at third base. The Southland Conference player of the year's game has earned him comparisons to Brandon Nimmo and Bradley Zimmer and he could join them as mid-first-round picks. Dan O'Dowd: Reminds me of Brandon Nimmo. Most of your WAR comes from your 1st two rounds so you take best player available. Harold Reynolds: Reminds me of Jim Eisenreich.
  5. I'm not talking about one year because if we want to talk about domination you don't get much more dominant than Matt Riley at Delmarva in 1998. Bundy's velocity kept falling every year in the minor leagues. He never threw as hard as he did in high school when he would sit in the high 90s. By the time he was in Bowie he was good, but not amazing. Bedard had better stuff overall.
  6. Since I have no idea what a Diplo is, besides a very unfortunate stage name, I'll just shrug.
  7. Part it is certainly he can't stay on the field. The other part is when I watch him, nothing jumps out at me as an everyday guy. He still doesn't have much of a plan at the plate, his defense is average at best though he does have an above average arm. He doesn't run all that great so what is he? I will leave it a bit as an incomplete since he's never healthy but that is certainly part of his problem.
  8. I don't think the outfield situation is as bleak as you make it out. Both Hays and Santander are everyday outfielders IF they can stay healthy which is obviously the biggest question. The minor league depth in the outfield is not that bad though but admittedly there is no can't miss every day impact outfield prospect. While Diaz and McKenna look more like 4th outfield types, Jones and Haskins are guys that still could be everyday outfielders. then we have Neustrom who has become interesting of late and Watson in Aberdeen bears watching. The FCL Orioles have some guys to watch as well so it's not like it's barren.
  9. I think we've seen enough of Stewart. He provide no defensive value and I think the bat will always be streaky but will never amount to anything worth his deficiencies in his defensive game.
  10. Well constructed post @wildcard, nice job. It's an interesting thought and I'm all about moving Jones up to the major league team in the second half in some role. While I still think Hays has the more impact potential in his bat, at some point Hays has to stay in the lineup and produce like a corner outfielder. Hays' splits this year are a bit concerning but he's never had big platoon splits in the past so it could be just a bit of an anomaly. Jones though looks to be ready offensively as he's controlling the strike zone and getting on base at a high clip (.425). Personally I'd make him the everyday second baseman and see how it works, but if they want to continue to rotate him in some kind of super utility role (2B/LF/CF/RF) I'd be ok with that as well. When the team is starting Valaika pretty much every day at 2B, they have nothing to lose by bringing up Jones. Saying that, I don't think he's going to be the defensive answer at 2B long term.
  11. Of course not. every minor league pitcher would prefer pitching in the big leagues in any role vs pitching in the minors, but that's not what's best for him in his development as a starter. I don't really care whether he starts in the big leagues or minors, but he needs to be treated like a starting pitching prospect.
  12. I think you are under valuing Lowther. Lowther is much better than McFarland. Either way, I think we can agree that it's tough to get a read on him with how he's being used. I'm not going to get down on Lowther until I can see him get 10 starts at the major league level and then look at the statcast numbers, particularly the movement of his pitches.
  13. Let's do the comparison of Zimmermann, who you said is firmly ahead of him, and Lowther based off their Statcast numbers. We have to remember that we have a small sample size with Lowther and Lowther has also not been given the same starting opportunities very five days as Zimmemann has mostly had this year. But let's take a look.. Fastball MPH Spin ext WHIF% Putaway XBA XSLG XWOBA vmov inch % vs avg Hmov inch %vs avg Lowther 91.6 2205 7.0 19.3% 10.5% .350 .796 .431 16.8 -7% 12.2 83% Zimmerman 91.5 2336 6.2 13.9% 7.5% .386 .730 .498 16.5 -7% 6.2 -5 % Both have below average fastballs but with a MLB average extension being 6.5 ft, the fact that Lowther has a 7.0 ext release allows it to appear faster. Zimmermann's has more spin but it doesn't appear to affect his vertical movement but Lowther has significantly better arm side run (horizontal movement) I've got to run but I will try and add their other pitches as well, but Lowther gets the nod for the fastball.
  14. It's hard to judge him on his major league stats because he's been taken completely out of his routine this year. The Orioles decision to yo-yo him around and rarely if ever having on any kind of consistent schedule really makes it tough for him to get his stuff to play. i can tell you his stuff was much better in AA in 2019 then what I've seen, but there's several reason as to why. Is it the major league ball? Could be be tough to say so far. Kremer is definitely a guy who has not looked good very often above AA as well and his breaking ball definitely has less bite than what I saw from him in Bowie. Is it the strange schedule? Could be because you have to imagine that he's used to starting every five days. He used to the routine before a start and he's able to warm up longer to see what's working that day and what's not. Is it he's just not very good? Doubt it. All of his pitches besides his changeup have above MLB average movement according to his statcast numbers. this tells me he just needs consistent work to make his pitches work. Now would a better changeup help him, absolutely, but he never had a great changeup in the minors either though it has improved. I still think Lowther is one of the better starting pitching prospect in the organization and I'd like to see him plopped into the starting rotation either in the major league or AAA rotation in the second half of the year and let him work it out as a starter.
  15. It really is weird how they are yo-yoing him around like he's a org guy just eating various innings instead of focusing on his development as a starter. Makes me wonder if the org doesn't see him as an actual starting pitching prospect.
  16. Agreed. I just hope the young man can recover and lead a normal life. Sure, the Orioles fans in us all want him to recover to 100% and get back to being the prospect he was, but his overall health is most important for a 22-year old.
  17. Dorrian is really interesting because he's not only showed pretty good plate discipline but has shown power to all fields. His problems offensively are that he really struggles against lefties so he might be a platoon guy and he can be fooled by good off-speed stuff. Defensively he's a bit stiff at 3B and his throws are inconsistent. Is he brutal? No, but I do think he would probably be a below average defensive third baseman without some improvements. The first major league comp I could think of when thinking about Dorrian was Mike Pagliarulo with the Yankees back in the 80s. Grant it Pags was already in the majors at 25-years old, but it seems like Dorrian would be that kind of player.
  18. Knight has really been impressive this year and is probably the biggest surprise in the system since 2019. He's sitting 93-96 from what I've been seeing, with swing and miss curveball and an improved change. He also adds in a slider. We haven't seen him throw over 82 pitches this year so we don't know how he'll hold up after that, but I have not seen a noticeable change in stuff towards that 80 range, though to be fair, I don't have radar gun readings on every pitch. Right now he's a starter for me and has quickly moved himself into the top 20 and maybe top ten soon.
  19. Interesting. Rom has better command than Rodriguez had at the same stage but Rodriguez threw harder. Rom has success because he does a really good job of pitching with four pitches. He has a much better changeup than Wells even though they have similar velocity of 89-90. I was hoping for a velocity bump when he came back after the year off, but from what I've heard on broadcasts, it sounds like he's still in that 88-90, t91 range. I still think he has a chance to be a left-handed Zach Davies.
  20. He's really started to grow on me this year. In 2019 I thought he was a little stiff and showed little game power, but he looks to be in great condition this year and has started to tap into his raw power more in game time. His improved plate discipline is good to see as well. Defensively he's going to be best in the corners since he runs average at best, but he covers ground well, his routes seem ok, and arm is solid average for left field and maybe a tick below for RF. I think he'll start climbing the prospect ladder if he keeps producing.
  21. Well I can't lie, Weiters looked like the best player in the minors at his time. His dominance then was unparalled. Erik Bedard had the best stuff from a starter stand point. Grayson Rodriguez probably is the best now. Rutschman is right up there with Wieters from a prospect stand point of having a chance to be impact in both parts of the game.
  22. Nevin is 24 and he really doesn't have a position other than 1B. He's a Ryan Mountcastle type without the ability to hit for average (Mountcastle will end up hitting for average) and doesn't have the track record of consistent hitting. I like him a bit and do think he has a little upside, but I'm not convinced he's an everyday guy and if not, what is he?
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