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Tony-OH

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Everything posted by Tony-OH

  1. Maybe Rutschman should start hitting like a DH instead of standing there like a bump on the wall. Nothing worse than going to a game and seeing then get shutout.
  2. This server working like the Orioles bats.
  3. Me too occasionally. I will need to report it to my server people.
  4. Good thing Mateo is starting and Mayo is sitting in AAA.
  5. At thr game and thought thr same thing. Good dude, not the guy you want up in crunch time.
  6. This Draft tracker will be updated throughout the draft. Each player will get his own draft thread (will be linked to his name here) where posters can discuss and post information on the player. All players were signed. RK Pk Player Pos Team - (College/HS) Stats 1. 22 Vance Honeycutt CF North Carolina U. Stats 1a. 32 Griff O'Ferrall SS Virginia U. Stats 2. 61 Ethan Anderson C Virginia U. Stats 3. 97 Austin Overn OF USC Stats 4. 127 Chase Allsup RHP Auburn U. Stats 5. 160 Ryan Stafford C Cal Poly Stats 6. 190 DJ Layton SS Charlotte Christian HS Stats 7. 220 Carson Dorsey LHP Florida State U. Stats 8. 250 Colin Tuft C Tulane U. Stats 9. 280 Jack Crowder RHP Illinois U. (Sr) Stats 10. 310 Christian Rodriguez RHP Cal State Fullerton (Sr) Stats 11. 340 Sabastian Gongora LHP Louisville U. (Sr) Stats 12. 370 Andrew Tess C Calvary Christian HS Stats 13. 400 Brandon Downer RHP California Baptist U. Stats 14. 430 Cohen Achen RHP Lindsey Wilson College (Sr) Stats 15. 460 Carter Rustad RHP Missouri U. (Sr) Stats 16. 490 Nate George OF Minooka Community HS Stats 17. 520 Iziah Salinas LHP Cowley CC Stats 18. 550 Michael Caldon RHP Felician Col (NJ) Stats 19. 580 Braylon Whitaker OF Cox Mill HS Stats 20. 610 Evan Yates RHP Cal State Fullerton U. Stats UDFA Alex Ramos RHP Goshen HS Stats Steven Ondina SS Arizona State Stats Christian Herberholz RHP Auburn Stats Trent Turzenski RHP Valparaiso Stats Ryan Cabarcas LHP Florida International Stats Chipper Menard LHP Louisiana-Monroe Stats Jacob Stretch RHP Virginia Tech Stats Joe Glassey RHP Illinois (IL (Sr) Stats Ben Vespi RHP Central Florida (FL) (Sr) Stats Kenny Leiner RHP Western Carolina (NC) Stats Bonuses Rd Pk Player Pos Slot Spent Savings 1. 22 Vance Honeycutt CF $3,802,200 $4,000,000 -$197,800 1a. 32 Griff O'Ferrall SS $2,835,400 $2,700,000 $135,400 2. 61 Ethan Anderson C $1,418,900 $1,170,00 $248,900 3. 97 Austin Overn OF $752,500 $850,00 -$97,500 4. 127 Chase Allsup RHP $562,000 $522,500 $39,500 5. 160 Ryan Stafford C $407,100 $404,500 $2,600 6. 190 DJ Layton SS $318,300 $720,000 -$401,700 7. 220 Carson Dorsey LHP $249,400 $246,500 $2,900 8. 250 Colin Tuft C $206,900 $182,500 $24,400 9. 280 Jake Crowder RHP $189,000 $27,500 $161,500 10. 310 Christian Rodriguez RHP $179,200 $147,500 $31,700 Andrew Tess C $150,000 $347,500 -$197,250 Nate George OF $150,000 $455,500 -$305,500 Total $10,920,900 $8,951,000 -$552,850 2023 Draft Tracker
  7. Please remember to not discuss the Orioles selections in this thread, but in their own threads. Each one will have one made as usual. If one was not made, feel free to make one like the previous. I will try and keep up but may need some help as always. Thanks for keeping things organized.
  8. Stowers would be ranked above Beavers if he were eligible. Stowers has some swing issues for sure and will never be a high average guy because of his swing and miss, but he can hit if given every day opportunities.
  9. He's had a couple of good weeks and there are some tools to work from. Worth keeping an eye on to see if things continue to click.
  10. Nice to see Gunnar reward his former AAA manager. I think it shows how much the players respect Buck.
  11. Tony-OH

    FCL Orioles 2024

    And I truly think that has been Elias and Koby's thought process for the most part. It's a numbers game. I think the 200-500K guys seem to be the sweet spot for guys that have popped a little or at least shown the best. So far Basallo has been the only Million-plus bonus baby to really pop. It's just so hard to project out tools for kids that are 14 and 15 because some of them look fantastic, then but peak out at 17 or 18, while others start to really peak out at 20-21. I always try and remember that Adley Rutschman slashed .234/.322/.306/.629 as a 19-year old Freshman in Oregon State. Grant it he was playing against a lot of 20-22 year olds, but still it goes to show that show guys don't really start to mature until they hit their 20s. Now, if guys have really poor stats against age specific talent like we've seen from a lot of the failing bonus babies, then that's a red flag, particularly if they K-BB ratio is really poor. I wonder if anyone has done a study to see what the % of million bonus babies out of Latin America make it vs the lower bonus players. I'm sure the Orioles have done something.
  12. Tony-OH

    FCL Orioles 2024

    His K rate is pretty abysmal and his 1 double to go along with his awful average and OBP suggests he's a mistake hitter hunting fastball most likely. He's been a pretty big disappointment for sure. At least he's showing some pop, but he's going to need a major rebound next year or he's going to be mentioned with Maikol Hernandez among bonus baby busts. some of these kids just take more time, but his professional numbers have been pretty bad while playing at age. Just goes to show how much of crapshoot that DSL process is down there when Estrada is the best positional prospect behind Basallo and he was had for $175 K.
  13. No idea. Haven't had any convos about him this year yet. Here's what he looked like a year and half ago.
  14. Holliday has a swinging strike percentage of 10.2%, which in 8th best in the system of anyone playing A-ball and higher and below the 11.1% major league average. That means his 23.6% strike out percentage (16th worse in system) seems to be driven by a lot of called strike 3s it would seem. He has a 25.1% whiff rate on fastballs, 29.4 on offspeed, and 34.5% against breaking balls, which looks bad, but is actually 3rd best on the team among qualifiers. His bigger issues for me remains that he still hits too many ground balls and poor launch angle. His ground ball rate was an issue last year and while it has improved a little bit in AAA (50% in 2023 to 49.3% this year), his fallen line drive percentage 29.3% in AAA in 2023 to 21.1% is not great. His average launch angle of 8 degrees is second worse on Norfolk with only Maverick Handley (7%) being worse. His 6% launch angles on breaking balls suggests he rolls over a bit on them. He has a -5 launch angle when he pulls the ball which is pretty bad and tells me he out in front or on top of way too many fastballs. Now he does hit the ball still fairly hard (90.3 EV good for 4th behind Mayo (91.6), Stowers (91.6), and Kjerstad (90.6) among qualifiers. Either way, some of the data points shows he needs to adjust his hitting style to have more sustained success.
  15. If you noticed, Chuck Boemmel has been missing in action for over a month now. I know several of you have reached out asking me what happened to him. Well Chuck has been in the hospital for a pretty long time with some issues and was unable to post. I've chatted with him a bit and he's hoping to return when he's able, but in the meantime, please help me wish him well in his recovery. Whether you pray or just wish him well, please do so and we all hope to see @cboemmeljr back posting his recaps, especially his minor league ones with all the videos clips that he was so good at doing!
  16. I still think Mateo can play a passable CF against lefties.
  17. Since I currently have Basallo 3rd, guess I have to be consistent and say he would go first. I think Mayo and Basallo have the chance to be absolute impact power bats while I think Holliday has a chance to be a very good OBP guy with some pop. I'd only say Basallo because he has more risk than the other other two and Orioles seem to be gradually transitioning from catch to 1B (he's basically split time between C and 1B since he was allowed to throw. Saying that, Basallo may have the highest ceiling bat wise of the three. Mayo is the safest bet because he's major league ready now and has developed that game power now. The arm strength gives him a chance to stay at 3B for a bit but even if he transitions to 1B or RF he'll have value. Holliday hit just .222 in June in AAA but had a .444 OBP because if his ability to draw walks, walks that he might not get with major league umpires until he establishes himself. Really, I'm not trading any of them, but if I had to, it's Basallo followed by Holliday.
  18. This is part of the issue with both McDermott and Povich. They tend to have those just awful days where they can't really command anything. He followed up one of his best with his worse. Hopefully he'll be back to his good stuff the next time.
  19. I know one thing, Thomas White would have looked a lot better in the org than Bradfield at #17. Yeah, yeah, I know, it's too early to make any real judgements, but just saying. White even signed for $69,700 less.
  20. The problem is when you look at the system behind the top 3, it has largely underperformed this year. Estrada, Etzel and maybe Forrett are the "breakout" guys when you look over things, but I'm honestly struggling to figure out who #4 will be. There is a HUGE dropoff after the first three. The high end Latin guys have not really done anything impressive outside of Estrada, and the next level of guy that you mentioned all have disappointed to an extent. Beavers, Horvath and Wagner (injured mostly) have all been disappointments. Povich and McDermott are kind of who they are with command. I'll be honest, Norby may be #4 right now. I kept looking at the list and I wanted to move more guys down, but realized the guys below them are doing poorly too. Hopefully this draft will bring some exciting new blood in because Elias and his scouts are swinging and missing a lot on college hitters since the 2021 draft, and that is making the system look weaker. Having three potential impact guys in the system makes the system still a good one, but they really need some guys to click in this second half. There is talent, just not guys putting up numbers to match.
  21. Morfe will move up for sure because of the velocity readings. He's only 5-8 or 5-9 depending on the source, so if he's really throwing that hard at 18 from that height he's one to watch for sure. Saying that, he's in the DSL so we have to take stats with a grain of salt and I haven't seen him pitch yet so I'm going of reports which always gives me a little pause. But a guy who reportedly sits 95-97 and can hit 99-100 is worth following.
  22. Ok, I did it. I moved Mayo to #1 because I believe in the bat so much. Holliday has been hitting well of late so I almost didn't do it, but I just think I'd trade Holliday before Mayo even though I would not trade either. Basallo still could be better then them both. Really the team has three #1 prospects. 1A, 1B, 1C. The only issues is the huge dropoff after the top three. No one wants to claim that #4 spot so I left Povich there. Povich should graduate here shortly anyways so hopefully someone will take that step forward and claim that #4 spot that Kjerstad graduate from.
  23. Yet he went almost a whole year with Frazier at 2B when Ortiz would have been a clear upgrade defensively. Mayo's throwing accuracy can be shaky at times, but so can Henderson. Now Henderson has improved a lot at the major league level with his accuracy, can Mayo? Don't know. But I do know his bat his going to be elite.
  24. Of course if you can buy low in Luzardo you do it, but I doubt Miami has any intention of doing that. The Orioles also need help now, not someone on the IL so I think their focus will be elsewhere.
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