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Tony-OH

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Everything posted by Tony-OH

  1. Unfortunately, I have to agree that we've seen "less than 100% Hays" and he's not typically good. Hopefully it's just a bruise and it won't affect him too much, but I would not be surprised if he's not starting against Civale tonight. Seems like a great opportunity to start Stowers.
  2. He very well may have to wait for an opportunity or he may get one and not let it go. The Orioles know that lefties play well in Camden Yards, though the Vlad homer would have been deep out of Camden as well, so that helps him as well. The way pitchers break, I have zero issues with Povich being the #6 or #7 starting candidate. He may have be like Irvin where he spends a year going back and forth between starting and relieving, but I do think he's eventually settle into a rotation spot.
  3. From what I've seen from Povich in the minors and have been saying pretty consistently, is that he's not a command and control guy. The guy I saw yesterday is pretty much the guy is was in the minors. He does throw a lot of uncompetitive pitches that typically gets his pitch count up, but he also garners a lot o soft contact as an effectively wild kind of pitcher. His cutter and curveball yesterday had above average movement, giving up a bloop hit on the curveball and of course the home run to Vlad on the high outside cutter. The Blue Jays have a quality lineup, and he gave up some real soft contact. I think that's the most important thing to take out of this. We'd all like to see him throw more strikes, and definitely less uncompetitive pitches, but he's throwing 5 pitches up there (mostly 4) and clearly keeping batters off balanced. If Povich can improve his command a bit, he definitely has #3 type stuff even without the impressive fastball. Right now he's a #4/#5 type but that's ok. As for McDermott, he's a very similar guy but right-handed. I still think he might be a guy who could help in the pen this year. I'd love to see what he looks like in that role. Now he also is more of a mid 90-s guy vs upper 90s guy, but he has some wicked movement on his two breaking balls.
  4. Thanks, and obviously, I agree. Everything in Cowser's metrics suggests he's going to breakout at some point once again. He's going to have a tough series like he just had, but so does every hitter. If it were me running out lineups, he's my everyday CF and moving to LF or RF when Mullins gets his 2-3 starts a week.
  5. I think he may be over throwing because the arm strength is clearly there, but when he does ramp it up, he's obviously very inaccurate. I never noticed the plus-plus arm strength in the minors but I did think he had a good arm. I wonder if he's throwing "to the gun" vs working on making good quality throws. Hopefully this is something they are working on. Interestingly though, he's still plus 1 on fielder runs for preventing runners from advancing.
  6. Of the five hits he allowed, only two were in the middle of the plate. He'd been trying to backdoor cutter guys up and away a lot, but Vlad was probably looking for that and was able to take it the other way. Sometime you have to tip the cap to the hitter. The other hits he allowed were on a curveball and sweeper down and away that look like just nice pieces of hitting as well He didn't get a lot of swing and miss, but also did get a lot of hard contact getting an outstanding 76.5 EV against in his first start. His numbers look much worse because of a terrible, terrible 1-2 pitch by Dillon Tate to give up the two inherited runners, but I was already a bit surprised they were pushing Povich to 100 pitches in his debut when they psychologically allow 3 runs in 5 innings would have been a nice starts for him. Now Povich has thrown more than 90 pitches in five of his minor league starts this year, so he can get up there, but I probably would not have had him start the 6th anyways just to make sure he had a nice first start vs now carrying a 10.13 ERA.
  7. Cowser has certainly improved his outfield defense everywhere and he's clearly gotten used to the second deck of most major league stadiums. His burst is showing that he's getting comfortable reading balls off the bat. His routes have never been absolutely great but his footspeed has made up for it. I think @Sports Guy has shown how much bad luck he's run into the last month or so, but at the end of the day, look at his percentiles. This is an above average player that is going to get hot again.
  8. First, I'd like to say that Jake Rill does a good job of accurately restating what has been said by Hyde or Elias. Glad to hear that they're just being careful with Bradish. I don't think anyone knows if he'll hold up over the whole season or not, but anything that makes it more likely for him to be pitching in October is ok with me.
  9. He deserved much better. While he didn't throw a ton of strikes, he didn't give up much harder contact besides the mistake to Vlad. Tate has been a major league pitcher for several seasons and is throwing 1-2 crap sliders in the middle of the plate to give up two of those runs. Starters will end up much worse ERAs if the best the Orioles can do is bring in Dillon Tate in a key moment.
  10. Close losses, but two winnable games. Oh well. Both losses ended up on the bullpens after having to cover down on the "bullpen game". Elias needs to upgrade the arms out there.
  11. That's not the point though. The quality of the arms is the difference. Dillon Tate was pitching in a situation where you would normally bring in a quality reliever to hold it at a three runs lead, but no, they had to bring in Dillon "AAA stuff" Tate who promptly throws a A-ball middle middle slider on 1-2. 1-2! 1 freakin' 2. Ends up being the difference in the game.
  12. Blue Jay's bringing guys throwing 99 in the 6th inning and we're bringing in Dillon Tate and his AAA stuff.
  13. I just stopped by to say Tate can take that crap middle middle 1-2 slider back to AAA. He owes Povich his paycheck for this game. The entire series this bullpen cant make a decent pitch when they need to. I'm done with Tate and his 92 mph sinker and shit slider.
  14. Its always hard to know what to expect from a major league debut. Chris Waters and Mike Wright had some of the best major league starting debuts that I can remember as an Orioles fan and neither had the stuff or prospects status of Povich. Adrenaline can be a good thing or a bad thing if it's not handled correctly. Since we have no way of knowing how Povich will handle this moment, it's hard to have any real expectations of what he'll do. I'd like to see him get through 5 innings with less than 3 runs allowed. That would be a success to me. He's coming off his worse start of the season, but so was Albert Suarez. He's got major league stuff as we've seen in his statcast data. The command is the issue and that's what we'll have to see when he takes the bump tonight. Either way, I'm looking forward to his debut.
  15. I think the trashing of his team in the locker room to reporters hurts him worse, but I know MLB doesn't like players throwing things into the stands in anger. I do understand there's a potential human element behind his actions, but team's may just want to see that resolved before going forward with him. But, as I said when it happened, Elias and Hyde knows him way better than I do so I'm fine with whatever way the Orioles decide. On the mound, he does look like he may be able to help a team, but they just have to figure out whether the orange is worth the squeeze.
  16. Lopez was on a little $2 million contract and passed thru waivers. I think that tells us what teams think of where he's at mentally after his outburst and glove throwing incident. Trashing his team afterwards is certainly not something most GMs like, even if it's not their team.
  17. Yankees have the best record in baseball and on what, a 113-win pace? The Orioles are on a 105-win pace. Pretty hard to get too upset that the Orioles are 3.5 games back in early June win this is the situation. It's also why I never worry too much about the standings in June. the Orioles are just fine.
  18. This is good news in my opinion. If they really thought Bradish was done or needed to go on the IL, they would have used this opportunity to keep the extra "longish guy" in the pen. Hopefully this means whatever is bothering Bradish they are hoping with a little rest they can get him back on the mound. This may just be that kind of year where they continually have to nurse him through this season.
  19. You know better than to take anything he says seriously.
  20. The hitting certainly took the night off unfortunately, but that 9th inning was a cluster F between Kimbrel and Hyde mismanaging.
  21. Terrible managing. Why not walk Kirk? Why not walk Kiner-Falafa who doesn't strike out much? But hey, Kimbrel can't throw a competitive 0-2 pitch, then makes a throwing error. Sucky loss, but oh well, come back tomorrow and hopefully Povich will look good in his debut.
  22. Bad managing. Walking Kirk set up the DP.
  23. Gotta intentionally walk Kirk here.
  24. Well, he should have retire if he couldn't hit that middle-middle cookie Kimbrel put in there.
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