Frobby

This is a very easy thing to say for those watching on television, but a lot harder to do when you’re running full speed towards an immovable object. I was disappointed he didn’t catch it but I’m not going to blame him for checking where the wall was. That’s just human instinct, and those who ignore it too often end up crumpled in a heap on the ground.

I didn’t catch it, but if I had, I would have been in the 3%. That’s pretty quick.

Stowers showed us a little something yesterday. - First AB, a screaming line drive double 109.7 off the bat. - Second AB, he hustles out of the box on a routine grounder that ticks off the second baseman’s glove, notices that the outfielder isn’t running particularly hard to retrieve it, and unhesitatingly takes off to 2B and is safe. That becomes important, as Stowers later scores on a Mateo double that probably doesn’t score Stowers from 1B. And that’s why the game stands tied instead of the O’s being down a run.

Funds to spend internationally hasn’t been a problem. They’re capped and the O’s generally have spent their allotment the last 3-4 years, or close. It’s a matter of how much you devote to 1-2 very hot prospects and how much you spread around. Nothing to do with ownership.

If he’s sufficiently recovered from Sunday, I’d definitely have him start the resumption of yesterday’s game.

That ad got boring incredibly quickly.

Bradish had excellent stuff tonight in his rain-shortened outing in St. Louis. 5 IP, 1 R, 4 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 6 K’s. He three 52 of 74 pitches for strikes. It’s a shame the rain kept him from pitching deeper into the game. There were a few annoying moments: an 0-2 HBP and an 0-2 count that ended in a walk. But overall, a very good outing.

I liked the reference to a Raleigh-Raley rally” during the Mariners series.

You were robbed. Sure you put the answer in the right box? Even their own list of 358 players who played 3B for the Braves lists Horner. https://stathead.com/tiny/N5Lzd?utm_campaign=2023_07_ig_possible_answers&utm_source=ig&utm_medium=sr_xsite&__hstc=120318167.2ec401450aafa668d29fe44a2b3fcbb3.1715455705551.1716341857306.1716345191002.21&__hssc=120318167.1.1716345191002&__hsfp=1924208164 Also Hank Aaron!

He gave up a ground single followed by a 2-run homer in his first inning. Started his second inning with a walk and a single that advanced the runner to 3B but got out of it on a grounder to the pitcher, a strikeout and a grounder to 2B. For the three innings, he threw 57 pitches, 33 strikes. I’d call it a good learning experience, one to grow on.

Not really his fault that he’s 25 in AA, with the TJ surgery. He’s old for the level but not in terms of MiL experience. It’s not like he’s been stuck at a level for non-injury reasons. My guess is the O’s will push him to AAA in a month or two.

No problem, I’m just glad to know you care.

It’s a pet peeve of mine.

Technically, he said he “could care less.” So I guess he cares a lot.

You’re reading that post wrong. The O’s are not in 23rd place, they’ve scored 23 runs. That ties them for 13th place.

First 20 games: .902 OPS Next 21 games: .591 OPS One walk in those 21 games. Prototypical RMC.

No it isn’t. It just compares to the average up. Diaz had an above average day overall. Goes to show you how inaccurate umps are on a daily basis.

Keep in mind that they’ve played the fewest games of any team in MLB. If you did this on a per game basis, we’d move up several spots in most of these innings.

Are you aware that the Orioles haven’t trailed after the first inning in the last 20 games, the longest ongoing streak in MLB? They scored 5 in the first inning on Friday and then 5 in the first three innings on Sunday. The O’s are 8th in MLB in runs scored per game in innings 1 - 3. They’re 12th in innngs 4-6. They’re 2nd in innings 7-9. So, they are above average in all three segments of the game, and elite at the last part of the game. Now let me ask you: would you really prefer that that pattern was reversed? Or would you just be complaining about why we can’t score at the end of the game?

I’d call 2015 pretty excellent. It got him a $161 mm contract. 2017 forward was way worse than meh. Put it this way: if Davis had retired after 2016, he would have had 17.4 rWAR. He went -5.7 rWAR from there. That’s incredibly rare.

I think you can look at this two ways: 1. If you could only give one big extension, who would you give it to? 2. Who would be the best person to give an extension to get the ball rolling on locking up some core guys? Someone had to set the tone. While the answers to both questions could be the same, for me they’re not. I’d say (1) Gunnar but (2) Adley. Adley has huge actual and symbolic importance to this franchise. I think locking him up is a little easier than Gunnar, and it sends a message that we want to build around our core and Adley was the charter member of the core. So, that’s where I’d start.

I’m 66 years old. Doubleheaders have been out of the question for a while.

Only when my wife is in the mood.

ZiPS recalibrates the rest of season every day for every player. And I’d guess that for younger players like Gunnar, how a guy does over the first quarter of the season can have a pretty big impact on the rest of season projection, because that’s a significant proportion of Gunnar’s entire career to date. I’d expect the projections for older players change less.

What’s the closest example you can think of a 29 year old player with a .634 career OPS who suddenly had a good year at the plate? I’m sure it’s happened, but if so, it hasn’t happened often. Of the ten players with the highest BB-ref similarity scores to Mateo through age 28, 7 of the 10 were out of the league at age 30 or sooner. The other three were: Don Zimmer - had a .652 OPS through age 28 but played another six seasons and managed a .720 OPS in his age 32 season. John Russell - had a .663 OPS through age 28 but played another four seasons. Had a .682 OPS at 29. Subsequent seasons had minimal at bats. Ryan Goins - had a .595 OPS through age 28, played four more years topping out at .681. Based on this, I’d say there’s maybe a 20% chance of Mateo landing between .700 - .720 this year. That would be awesome.