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NelsonCruuuuuz
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Posts posted by NelsonCruuuuuz
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Frobby: can you explain the framing metrics you mentioned for Chirnos. I was shocked to read they are poor. Do you have a link for this info? Do they track at minor league level?
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3 minutes ago, Explosivo said:
Replace Nevin and arauz with Gunnar and Jordan. Move Gunnar/Urias to third, Jordan/Odor to second, Mateo/Jordan at short.
it sure would be nice.
Elias made a point in his last interview to say they like Westburg & Henderson alternating at SS/3b at every level they played so my guess is you will see that at the major league level to start.
Urias is much better at 2b.
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Just not enough power for Frobby
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54 minutes ago, MurphDogg said:
Yeah, they need to bring up those three guys up and have them take their lumps over the last 12 weeks so they are ready to hit the ground running on Opening Day next year.
I want to figure out whether we can pencil in those 3 for 2B/SS/3B next year or whether they need to add a veteran infielder in the offseason.
Urias and Mateo should be fighting for the utility infielder spot next year but they could probably carry all 5 of them if they felt so inclined.
Nevin is not a big leaguer on a team that hopes to compete. He is a short term fill in for when your 3rd baseman gets hurt. Odor is the same, but at second. Guys that are potentially slightly over replacement level but don't hit enough or play enough defensive positions well enough to carry on a Major League bench.
Good post. I am higher on Mateo’s potential however. Off-season hitting instruction? Cuban players always take longer to blossom. No way in the world do I not cover Mateo in the off-season.
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1 hour ago, DEOriolesfan said:
He's in the starting lineup today and I know it's a nice story with his dad in the opposing dugout. But is it fair to say that he should be sent down after this series is over? He's hitting .181 and has 5 hits over his last 38 at bats. Urias will be the everyday 3B going forward and it's not like Nevin is pinch hit guy nor does he qualify as a late inning replacement on defense or as a pinch runner.
Bannon was sent down after 4 games and only 14 AB's. Gutierrez was sent down because he wasn't hitting either. How long of a leash does Nevin get?
Agree 110%. Spot on. After this series, so many more deserving players at Norfolk (Bannon, my bff Guterriez and of course Westburg/Henderson).
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24 minutes ago, Three Run Homer said:
But it's an empty .460!
Unbelievable. They can’t dare criticize anything. He should have moved up last week (if what Frobby says is true). Only other thing I can think of is he knows someone in the area? I dunno. Bonkers. They promoted Cowser & Norby for much less.
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1 hour ago, Vandy said:
Somehow I have a feeling you'll be concerned either way
40 years without a WS will do that for some
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1 minute ago, sportsfan8703 said:
We’re removing pieces of Elias’ suit like the team on the Major League movie.
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6 minutes ago, sportsfan8703 said:
Grayson is just taking it slow to be ready for the playoffs. Not a lot of teams out there want to see GR and Hall in a short series.
Ha. That would be great but Elias enjoys the tank too much I am afraid. Hope I am wrong.
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4 minutes ago, maybenxtyr said:
I agree that they need to identify redundancy in the Minors and package some type of prospects with vets to get the best return.
I don't think trading 2 of the vets together will optimize the return.
Nevin unfortunately has little to no trade value. I wish he were a better hitter, but he seemingly doesn't do any one skill at the plate well.
Not saying he has much value but if I were a rebuilding club, I’d def take a flyer as a 2nd/ third piece.
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1 minute ago, Roll Tide said:
But admitted a string of 2-3 starts could change his opinion
Agree. Consistency is very important after the pitch tipping fiasco.
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5 minutes ago, sportsfan8703 said:
We can buy simply by just calling up Hall, Gunnar, Westburg, and Vavra.
Hall is not ready. But your point is good however, like I mentioned in post above, you are going to lose some guys anyways in the off-season to the rule 5, so why not use that capital now?
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20 hours ago, Tony-OH said:
I think the real issue here is that almost all of the 20 years old and below pitchers in the system are Latin. Elias has almost totally ignored high school pitching.
Yeah, if he doesn’t go heavy on pitching in this year’s draft, we should be concerned.
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Forgot about him honestly. He was a third rounder I think. I wonder if he has a successful comeback this year where he would fill into our top prospects?
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3 hours ago, RZNJ said:
Overhyped by who?
There literally is a 25 page thread asking if we should take Johnson over Jones? Listen, not in the mood for games.
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I suggested the same with Wildcard a month ago. You can buy and sell successfully but has Elias proved he can do either successfully?
Most on here will poo-poo going for the wildcard. Frankly, I don’t care, most would argue if the sky is blue.
I think they should keep Mancini, see what the offers are for Santander, Lyles, Tate & Lopez and use your top farm system to acquire some salary dumps, particularly SPs. No way do I trade Batista.
Our top ranked guys at 30-40 (which some will need to be protected for rule 5)can net you more than top 15 guys from other farm systems given our overall farm system ranking. Posters on here love to use the straw man and say, no way am I trading Hall or Gunnar. Of course not, but if you don’t trade some of these guys closer to 25-40 you are going to lose them anyways. I think even someone like Nevin still has some value if packaged with other prospects. Prove your scouting abilities Elias. Trade the guys you think have shortcomings before their value goes to zero.
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12 minutes ago, Tony-OH said:
That would not have been Elias' style. I don't think we see Hall until after the All-Star break and until after he has a sustained success. One amazing start is not going to change his mind. It also doesn't hurt the team's current starting pitching has been good.
I think those wanting Hall to be recalled haven’t watched him & Rodriquez at Norfolk. Rodriquez in a different hemisphere. Hall, as Elias stated, needs to work on walk totals and consistency. He might be able to be a great setup guy right now but I doubt the Os wanna start there with him.
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Harvey replaces Lyles. I don’t like it, but that clearly seems to be the link.
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9 hours ago, Paul in Virginia said:
2022 MLB Draft - Top 600 Prospects — Prospects Live
Green now at 2, Holiday at 3, Lee at 4, Collier at 5.
And Johnson at 7. Most overhyped prospect of this draft imo.
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16 hours ago, LookinUp said:
Re: take BPA versus targeting pitching.
1. I think they might take the pitcher if Sig's computer rankings are close.
2. I think Sig's computer rankings ascribe a lot of risk to pitchers.
3. I think we'll still pass on pitchers that people on this board, and even other teams, think are BPA or close to it but that our own models don't.
Wikipedia:
2005, Sig Mejdal was recruited to do sabermetrics for the St. Louis Cardinals' new analytics department.[12] He took 22 months of data from college baseball games and ran it through an algorithm to determine the likely performance and stats baseball players would achieve.[13] According to Sports Illustrated, "[o]ver the next seven seasons the Cardinals would draft more players who became big leaguers than any other organization."[4] He was promoted to senior quantitative analyst in 2008[14] and director of amateur draft analysis in January 2011.[15][16] Mejdal created a formula to predict the risk of injury to baseball players[17] and contributed a section on injury probability to The Bill James Handbook.[18]
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1 hour ago, OriolesMagic83 said:
Good to hear Elias might finally draft some pitching. Can't outhit everyone.
When you wait until the 14th? Round to draft a pitcher, you tend to have a lack of pitching in the org.
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6 hours ago, PHRESH said:
I kinda like Collier more than Johnson.
100% You mean the great Johnson that struggles to make an accurate throw from the right side of SS and whose size is a concern that even Ben brought it up last night. If the Orioles select him 1:1 it would be an epic fail but hey, Elias needs to save money for more tan suits:)
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8 hours ago, RVAOsFan said:
Let me preface this with saying I know this isn’t realistic.
Extend Mancini. Make him the vet in the clubhouse for the next few years.
Trade Santander to make room for Stowers and improve pitching.
Exactly. Please post more. It makes me happy to read this.
Saturday afternoon July 9: Hawaiian Shirt Day vs the Angels, weather permitting
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Game is packed today!!!