makoman

The day is still young. Now 25,665, a 4,790 increase, or 23% from 20,875 yesterday. I'm not sure how often it's updated per day so it's hard to give % increase per day. MD is easy as it's updated just once at 10AM. (that's using the worldometer one, the JHU site is still 23,230. shrug.)

Additionally, one would hope that at some point the social distancing would start leading to fewer and fewer cases. That's the point after all.

He was obviously talking about Britton before the draft, not 7-8 years into his professional career.

When the NHL canceled their season due to the lockout the next draft was ordered by lottery. So who knows?

He has to 1) be capable of judging bat speed and exit velocity based only on his eyes, and 2) be capable of comparing that to his memory of what Davis's bat speed and exit velocity looked like back when Davis was good, so at least 3 years ago, depending on what he meant by good. I am confident that weams fully believes what he's saying, but I'm not buying that he's that skilled, no offense intended. Unless he's just saying "Davis doesn't look as good as 2013 Davis," and that more general type of statement I could buy.

Fangraphs still has Bart as the #10 prospect and 60 FV (same as AR), and he had a 163 wRC+ in the Eastern League (in very limited time, yes). That's not Rutschman's ideal outcome starting today at #5, but people need to understand that player development isn't always ideal and that's far from a worst case.

Even called them "idiots" over it.

2009 wasn't far off, especially given the (presumably) far more advanced scouting resources available 25 years later. The only saving grace being a SS who had a 584 OPS in 650 PAs at Delmarva, but switched to pitcher. (I'm not going to give much credit to 33rd and 37th round picks that didn't sign).

Amphetamines. No judgment on which is worse, just prefer accuracy to inaccuracy.

Nice one Phil.

Even more amusing is the guy who stood next to him on defense had 9 WAR and finished 14th.

Yeah, a 50s work ethic was tough because most guys had to work a second job all offseason. Spring training was where you got in shape. Now we have fans complaining because a guy lifted weights all offseason but didn’t go to some specialized swing academy.

I think he’s delusional and stubborn. I think he believes that his swing is what it is, it isn’t the problem, and/or you can’t teach an old dog like him new tricks. I think he knows he lost much of his ability to make contact and even when he does the shift hurts him, so his only chance at production is guessing and making sure when he does hit it he has more power, something he’s lost the past few years. Under that thought process strength does in fact impact his ability to be better. We don’t really need to argue anymore about it though, none of us are in his head. I do disagree that getting stronger does absolutely nothing to make someone a better hitter, although it certainly won’t be enough in this case.

You have decided because he didn't want to work on his swing he has no work ethic or discipline. I would say that points to ego/stubbornness or something else, not necessarily work ethic. If you say "I'm not doing that because I don't think it will help" that may be delusional but it doesn't mean poor work ethic. In any case, you can have work ethic in one thing and not another. Maybe he likes to lift and doesn't like hitting all that much anymore. If so it wouldn't be hard, with no job, to lift 5-7 times a week. It doesn't take 8 hours.

Yeah, ultimately price should be driven by demand. For the generic player, adding "HOF" should add to the demand. Is that addition more or less than the notoriety of being banned? What does an autographed ball cost from a similar HOFer from that era? Or a squeaky clean HOFer Rose in an alternate dimension? This suggests he is already at HOFer levels, though perhaps he could be charging even more. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/even-after-25-years-pete-roses-ban-from-baseball-is-money-in-the-bank/ Probably his best result would have been to be banned for a while to get that notoriety but then be reinstated

Probably. Even so, I think it's worked out ok for him. All his accomplishments are there in the Hall. And everybody talks about him all the time because of this. This issue seems to come up on Orioles Hangout, a site and team with no connection to him at all, weekly to monthly. How often does anybody talk about Tom Seaver, a guy with over 100 WAR, who Rose probably would have joined as a first ballot inductee in 1992? I don't know the man, but from what I see of him I kind of think he likes his unique position, keeping his name in the news, rather than being just another one of 300 or so Hall of Famers. At least, he's probably good with it in a way someone else less focused on self-promotion wouldn't be. It sure hasn't seemed to hurt his autograph sales.

It’s hard to punish the players when all the info you have came from promising immunity to the players.

I think they were fine with that contract. They just expected a hometown discount forever.

So in 30 years we've either drafted or acquired very early: Mussina (40+), Arrieta (25.5, close to 30, prob won't make it), Ben McDonald (20.8, he barely pitched in '89 so I'm adding him), Zachk Britton (14.1, may yet get to 20), Eduardo Rodriguez (13.6, may get to 20). Davies is at 8, Hader is at 6.6, they have a long way but are pretty young. Gausman (10.2) and Bundy (6.8) also have a bunch of work to do. Others above 15 were Guthrie (17.8, had rookie status with us so I'll count him), Bedard (17.3), Armando Benitez (17.3), Arthur Rhodes (15.2). Frankly this is better than I imagined, given that I've always felt our pitching development was pretty awful... Of course two of our top 3 left the org 20+ years ago, and most of the other WAR above was amassed on other clubs.

I recall speculation that they might pick Vaughn, sign him for under slot, and use that money for over slot signings later in the draft. The goal wouldn't have been to save money, it would have basically been trading Adley for Vaughn and somebody else. No idea if there was anything to it or just people guessing.

OBP under .300 and 33rd percentile sprint speed. I really hope we have better options to lead off. Wilkerson did start 17 of 18 games from May 3rd to 23rd until they got Broxton. Rickard started the first 10 games in the end of April after Mullins was done and then Wilkerson took over for some reason, with Rickard moving to the corners when he played.

Exactly. Mullins is kind of the type of guy that a team like us should be looking to acquire. You aren't going to get anything for him. Formerly a decent enough prospect, say team top ten-ish, that has some ML tools. Lots of team control left and can spend time in the minors. Flawed enough and/or failed at the ML level such that the original team gave up on them. That's basically why we have Ruiz, Nunez, and Alberto. Not world beaters but adequate enough for a bad team, and if all goes perfectly maybe can grow enough to still contribute in 3 years when we hope to be good. You collect enough of those guys that you hope a couple might stick. If not they are gone in 3 years and Moose remembers them in a bad Orioles thread 10 years from now. Now he might prove in short order that he's reached his peak and should be DFAd, but we don't need to yet.

Yeah I thought for sure that the analytics folks wanted Jones to change his positioning, Jones disagreed, and Buck apparently didn’t make him which showed how Buck felt about analytics if true. I could certainly be misremembering that.

But the real question: would he have been a True YankeeTM? I'd guess no, with only one ring (assuming he went over in 2002). And would ARod have had to move to 3rd if Jeter had only been there a couple years?