ChosenOne21
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Posts posted by ChosenOne21
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I seem to remember someone in the minors telling him he should walk more and he said something like, "If I had just hit a double we wouldn't be having this conversation."
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Driving in runners has not been shown to be a repeatable skill other than that people who generally hit the ball well tend to be good at it
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They've gotta be assuming a hot streak is right around the corner with the batted ball data. I'm not sure what else it could be at this point
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For chrissake people it was his lat. Not his shoulder, not his elbow, his lat. If that's really the cause, this has to be the first time in baseball history a pitcher was never the same because of a lat injury.
Sure, he looked rusty end of last year because he hadn't pitched in months, but he had the same spring training as everyone else this year and the results aren't there.
I don't claim to know exactly what it is, but it's time to put the lat injury to bed. That was almost a year ago -
3 minutes ago, Aristotelian said:
With Gunnar out at a minimum don't we need a backup SS? If we call up Ortiz or Westburg might as well give them some run as the starter.
My guess is, absent a roster move, that's Urias
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I know he's doing great in the minors, but I don't get the Vespi love. Long-term he's probably a last-or-second-last out of the pen guy on a good team.
Unless something has changed since last year... -
There were shades of Jack Cust in that Beavers home run
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I'm pretty sure Pinto has to be on the 40 man next offseason. We really need to see what he looks like at AA so we can make an informed decision
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Dang, I didn't realize Bieber had fallen that far. No way I'm trading Grayson in that package. I might do the deal if Grayson is replaced with D.L. Hall or Cade Povich.
But this isn't the deal I would go for. Ramirez is fantastic, but infield is an area of strength for this system/team -
4 hours ago, Baltimorecuse said:
So let's add some different variables. The pitcher kills right handed hitting. The hitter can't hit righties. It's the bottom of the eighth. A run doubles your score. Now every time that situation has occurred is averaged into the original set of variables with all the thousands of time the first and third, with one out situation has occurred. But that totally waters down the specific situation we're in and the computer book decision is useless.
If you're saying the sample sizes get too small to draw meaningful conclusions when you add in every specific piece of information relative to the situation, I can see where you're coming from.
But if any exact situation has happened so few times in baseball history that we don't have enough data to make a useful model, how many times do you think any given manager has been in that situation? Why would their decision based on their limited exposure to the situation be better than a model that looks at every time that exact situation has occurred?I think you have the wrong idea about how organizations use data to make in-game calls. I doubt any organization is having a computer make 100% of in game managerial decisions. I'm sure they give the manager some model outputs and depending on the person/organization that could have a lot or a little impact on the in-game decisions.
If your point is that computer models don't know that the statistical best reliever to use in any situation didn't sleep well the night before and had a crappy bullpen earlier, well, that's why there isn't a literal computer sitting in the dugout. This doesn't mean models are useless though. -
Data-driven decisions can absolutely not work out in any given situation.
What's better?
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Lincecum was 5'11" 170 when he came up and threw 98. The dude really was "The Freak"
Of all the times the Orioles drafted someone other than who I wanted, Lincecum was the one I wanted most at the time and the one that hurt the most when we missed on him. But hey, Billy Rowell hit the ball 500 ft once! -
1 minute ago, Can_of_corn said:
At least they won't be bashing his smile like poor Mountcastle.
Yeah, but if he had hit a double we wouldn't be having this conversation
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26 minutes ago, Mr-splash said:
I don't get it. I do understand Frazier is not a hugely talented big leaguer, but this idea that Frazier is a bad ballplayer has been bizarre to see this season from fans. Every fanbase needs a whipping boy and a scapegoat to blame when a tough loss occurs. Frazier seems to be that guy for us. Frazier has a career 2.5 WAA. Meaning that he's actually been a very slightly above average big league ballplayer for his career. His first two seasons he was a bad defender, but every single season since he has graded as a plus defender with the glove at 2nd base. His OPS right now is .704
Ramon Urias is the best infielder in the organization right now. Mateo is probably the 2nd best. Frazier is the 3rd best. Gunnar and Mounty are the 4th and 5th best. Why is Frazier playing? Well, he's just better than the other guys in the organization right now. I'm not talking about future projections. You can point to guys like Ortiz, Westburg, Norby, etc. But Frazier is a proven commodity. Right now.
I thought Ryan McKenna was our whipping boy. He'll be at Fanfest in 20 years and someone will mention the fact he dropped a fly ball once
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Dammit, Mateo stung that one
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Povich is like the Star Trek movies. Even numbered ones are good
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Yeah. McCann as the backup catcher is great. McCann as a DH is a head scratcher.
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Jeez, Felix, way to give us a heart attack
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I've always been skeptical of Westburg's left-side defense, but it's looking more and more like he has the bat for 1B if need be
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4 hours ago, RZNJ said:
Again, it’s been a long time but they used to teach you to use your top hand with just your thumb and index finger behind the bat. Either way, it’s hard to see how Hays didn’t realize the position of where his hand was on the bat relative to the pitch and adjust. After seeing that maybe he should give up bunting.
Little League coach told me one hand gripping the bat, half fist with the other behind the bat to guide it
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Why the heck was Hays bunting? Dude's one of the best hitters on the team at the moment
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Fabian can definitely play defense there, but the hit tool is a question. I'm not sure Haskin is going to be all that impressive on either side of the ball. Cowser would probably be stretched there, but could maybe do it for a few years. IIRC, Beavers has a chance to stick in CF, so maybe him?
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Reynolds has a much better track record than Mullins and his value isn't as dependent on speed. We have Mullins for 3 more years after this one, at which point he'll be 31. I don't think I'd want to try to extend him more than a year or two after that. Seems unlikely he'd be worth the money it would take
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Is there anyone in baseball with as many line drive outs as Mountcastle?
Royals Series rematch
in Orioles Talk
Posted
This looks like exactly what we need to bust out of our slump. Let's hope we do