ChosenOne21
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Posts posted by ChosenOne21
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I love Hardy, but he's not a Hall-of-Famer
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Seth Johnson and Darrell Hernaiz feels right here, though I can't articulate why
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Tony, I love everything you do. This is in no way a criticism, but why list out raw power as a second grade? Isn't raw power basically how good of a show you can put on in BP, or what we think your power would be in a perfect world where you put it all to use? Doesn't it only matter what you can get to in a game? Why not raw speed and raw arm as well?
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9 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:
Too often people take things like this as a ding on another player when it fact it’s just liking the other player a little more.
If you believe Holliday is a 7 WAR SS and GRod is a 6 WAR starting pitcher, it doesn’t mean you think GRod isn’t good. It just means you think Holliday is that good.
The Os could have 3 top 10 prospects. It likely won’t be ranked that way but it’s not some crazy thought.
Sure, someone could believe Holliday is a 7 win SS and Rodriguez is a 6 win pitcher. But that's nearly pure speculation about Holliday (he'll almost certainly be good, but projecting 7 wins for a guy who barely got his feet wet in low A and didn't dominate is quite a hot take), whereas with Rodriguez we have years of data and he's producing in AAA. I think you have to value that increased certainty more than an (albeit good) lottery ticket.
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Dropping Rodriguez to 3 would be absolutely nuts, IMO. People are dinging him way too much for a non-throwing arm injury that caused him to miss two months and not being quite as sharp when he came back. No reason to believe that is a long-term issue.
#1 and #2 have to be Henderson and GRod. Henderson has done nothing to drop him as low as #3, and Basallo is good, but not #4 in a loaded system good. I'd be shocked if #3 wasn't Holliday and I have a hard time putting Hall all the way down at #11. It pretty much has to be Holliday and Hall.
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1 minute ago, wildcard said:
MLBTR projects that Senga will get 5 years and Taillon, Walker and Manaea will get 4 years. Of course that does not mean it will happen. I am not sure Elias goes more that 3 years on any FA pitcher.
What do you think?
I'm wondering why you think he won't go more than 3 years. Is it because you think he doesn't think any of the FA pitchers are worth more years?
I'm pretty sure the Angelos rule about not signing pitchers long-term is long gone -
There's no way Cowser and Ortiz are this low. 9 seems aggressive for Basallo and 10 for Povich, so I'm going with Norby and Kjerstad
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Someone is going to give Abreu three years
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I can't imagine Ohtani will sign here. DeGrom might if we put the biggest offer on the table
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Why does everyone think Abreu is signing for 1-2 years? He just put up a 4 WAR season
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If they think he can still start, I'd put him in AAA. If they think he's a reliever, I'd keep him in MLB
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33/58. Should have probably had a few more. Apparently I blocked out the fact that Tyler Nevin played nearly 60 games for us
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The only hitters who really disappointed this year were Hays and Mountcastle, and if you look at Mounty's batted ball data, he's probably going to improve next year. I don't have a problem with the current hitting coaching
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12 hours ago, Frobby said:
In Urias’ case, he was worth 1.9 rWAR in 85 games in 2021, 3.6 rWAR in 118 games in 2022. In essence, he’s already repeated it. I believe he can repeat it, but what if we have someone better?
If Urias was worth 3.6 War in 118 games, I'd see if any team is interested in trading for a player who's "good for 5 WAR over 162 games, can play multiple positions, is in his prime, and inexpensive."
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It's not that Urias is bad, but if the 3 WAR at 3B was defense, I doubt he'll be a 3 WAR 2B. It's possible, I guess, but we picked the guy off the scrap heap, and it wouldn't shock me if someday soon he turned back into a pumpkin. Defense can be highly erratic year to year and it falls off a cliff fast. I'm not sure the bat is good enough for him to be a regular if that happens
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1B Mountcastle
2B Urias
SS Mateo
3B Henderson
Not the starting infield I'd want, but I'll bet that's opening day. Maybe Vavra gets the nod over Urias, but I doubt it. I sort of doubt Westberg makes the OD roster
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Or we could just let Grayson pitch all season and not worry about innings limits. The Verducci effect was disproven, wasn't it?
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It's possible he didn't want to run all out on wet grass after a rain delay, too
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It really looks to me like Vespi's future is the last guy or second to last guy out of a good bullpen, or random middle reliever in a mediocre one. It wouldn't shock me if we could claim a better reliever than him off waivers at some point. Heck, we did it a couple of times last offseason.
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1 hour ago, Gurgi said:
Well at least I expect a league rise in batting averages next year. At least ten points.....maybe fifteen.....twenty points would shock me but it would be welcomed my me.
I lived my life expecting league average batting to be around .260-.264. This year it is .245. That is just horrible product for the consumer.
So baseball is a horrible product this year, but if there were 1.5-2% more hits baseball wouldn't be boring?
We're talking about maybe one more hit per game here. -
45 minutes ago, Chaka Garcia said:
I wonder if he even matches Matusz’s career.
4th round picks dream of having a career like Matusz's. If he turns into Matusz, I could be okay with that
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Dang, that's the lowest-effort delivery I've seen from a lefty since Brian Matusz. Rom has to be able to throw harder than he does
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6 hours ago, Frobby said:
Why is it not?
I see what you did there
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I said Holliday, Grayson, Hall. I could be convinced to do it for Cowser. Ortiz I want to see him keep it up for next year.
Even if Hall doesn't have the command to start, he'll probably be an elite reliever. I'd pay $50M to lock up an elite reliever for 10 years
Hall of Fame 2023 ballot: J.J. Hardy
in Orioles Talk
Posted
I think Beltran deserves to be in there. 70.1 career WAR is nothing to sneeze at.
K-Rod probably not.