waroriole
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Posts posted by waroriole
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43 minutes ago, MurphDogg said:
Undoubtedly. He is a borderline top 100 prospect (Fangraphs indicated that they will have him around 90).
I figured in the 4-6 range. I think you could make an argument for any of those placings.
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Not that it matters for us, but is there a limit on what you can pay an undrafted FA?
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Where do you think Cowser will slot in? 5?
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Looks like he had a lot of control problems until this year.
https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=heid--000dyl
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28 minutes ago, MDK02 said:
The derby still misses Chris Berman.
Ewww. I’ve heard that tired catch phrase enough for one lifetime.
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I really like his swing. Very short and strong. It’s just a matter of how often he squares up the ball.
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22 minutes ago, ChosenOne21 said:
I think anything over 100K counts against the cap
Right. You can do it but I haven’t seen any indication they’re going to do it. The only justification is that you really liked your picks in Rounds 1-10 and didn’t want to lose anyone.
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4 minutes ago, SteveA said:
It looks to me like we are:
-- probably going to pay Cowser slightly underslot
-- probably be a bit underslot with the 3 college seniors
-- going overslot on Creed Williams so he signs with us instead of going to TCUYeah I noticed Creed looks like the overslot. Also seems like the two sophomores may take a little extra to sign.
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2 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:
Lol
Yikes. Great idea to only look at one position at a time
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50 minutes ago, lovetoaster said:
He has a Kenny Powers vibe too. We're noticeably lacking that in the organization.
That boy is a hoss
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Are we paying Cowser slot? I can’t really find any players that are over slots.
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At some point is Elias going to be required to explain the never draft pitchers philosophy? I know it’s been given lip service, but it’s becoming a problem.
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4 minutes ago, Black_and_Orange said:
The way I see it, there are two possible explanations for what is going on with this draft:
1) Colton Cowser was a full slot pick and the orioles don't really have the savings to go underslot like we think they do.
2) The Orioles overvalue all of these college bats so much more than everyone else and they are slightly over slotting each of them (even though they don't need to)
Both possibilities would mean the orioles front office are failing at their jobs
Well as long as we can rabble rouse and call on people to be fired based off of limited information……
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If we don’t sign our 3rd rounder, do we get a replacement pick next year?
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Yeah this is the first one I legit don’t like. Are we waiting until the 5th again for our overslot?
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2 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:
Norby seems like a solid although uninspiring pick. There is a lot of high upside HS talent sitting there and the O's passed on it. I am sure we will be told that the HS kid we take in R4 is every bit as good though.
I like that he is a college bat though. Maybe Elias will promote him to AA by 2024!
Seriously? You’re gonna complain about the #25 prospect being picked at 41? Armchair GMs kill me when it comes to the draft.
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2 minutes ago, Ruzious said:
Hoping we go over-slot for Anthony Solometo, the big HS lefty from NJ.
Have you seen his delivery? Very unusual. Not sure how he does that consistently. He looks like he’s falling down
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6 minutes ago, ArtVanDelay said:
I wouldn’t hate taking Jud Fabian. Apparently he’s good enough defensively to stick in CF and has above average speed. Could be a poor man’s Mike Cameron.
Could also be a poor man’s Keon Braxton.
79 Ks in 269 PAs in college is very concerning.
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1 minute ago, sevastras said:
So it has been floated that maybe Lawlar didnt want to come to Bmore. I would have picked him anyways and forced him to sign or go to college. If he goes to college, you get the #6 pick next year. So you would be picking 2,6,comp A, so 30something and then late 30 something. 4 picks in the first 40 picks would be a sweet deal. And two of those in the first 6.
And then you’re guaranteed to pick under slot at 6 because you lose all leverage in negotiations knowing that you don’t get the benefit of a replacement pick the next year if #6 doesn’t sign. Plus you lose a year of development. It’s odd to say that you would’ve picked someone without knowing the details of Lawlar’s signing requirements.
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Just now, Sports Guy said:
The only thing you gain by losing on purpose is getting a high pick. That’s why people are saying it and they are correct for doing so.
So you don’t get an increased draft pool allotment that allows you to implement the strategy that Elias is using?
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13 minutes ago, DrinkinWithFermi said:
Tanking the team into the ground just to select higher floor, lower ceiling guys with the resulting top 5 draft picks 2 years in a row?
You think that’s the reason the team has been bad? To get a higher draft pick? Otherwise, we’d be in playoff contention?
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3 minutes ago, Frobby said:
By “you,” I assume you mean Elias, not me. If so, then I agree, but I still think there’s some wiggle room in what the players’ representatives say before draft day.
I do mean Elias. I would expect you to share the inside info had with the representatives.
There’s probably some wiggle room in the numbers. I don’t expect anyone to give a concrete number. But, I would think the stability of the number you receive is part of the equation in determining a player’s willingness to sign.
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4 minutes ago, Frobby said:
2. The O’s can’t control who will be available to them in the next few rounds, and can’t be sure what it will cost to sign the ones they are hoping will still be there. So no matter what the data tells them in a very general way, the specifics may not work out in a way they like.
I would assume you have had discussions with representatives for each overshot target and have a good idea of what it would take to sign them before you implement this approach. The only unknown variable should be who is still available.
2021 Orioles Prospect Power Rankings (Top 50)
in Minors
Posted
It’s nice to think we have a system where Westburg is the #6 prospect. Just need some pitching depth.