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Ridgway22

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Posts posted by Ridgway22

  1. Be still my beating heart.

    Watching him late last year, he just looked like, well, he belonged. It was interesting to compare / contrast him and Stowers, Kyle had his moments, but there is just an "it" factor that Gunnar has that you can dream on.

    (AR has it also, but just seemed more, well,  expected)

    Thx, Tony for your work in putting together these rankings / evaluations. Much appreciated.

     

    • Upvote 1
    • Thanks 1
  2. 12 hours ago, Tony-OH said:

    DL Hall
    Throws: Left
    Age (as of Jun 30th) : 23
    2021 Level: AAA/Orioles

    What we don’t know: Can Hall find more consistency with throwing quality strikes that he can stick as a starter? Will he be able to give the team a consistent 6 innings or is his best role in the bullpen?

    What we think: With his overall stuff, the organization may want to give him one more chance to stick as starter next season, but at 24-years old, he appears to be ready as a high leverage reliever.

    Reading this, I'm getting an Andrew Miller vibe? Strongly prefer to let him exhaust all possibilities of being a starting pitcher, but if he settles into a high value reliever, well, ok. Worked out for Arthur Rhodes.

  3. 1 hour ago, ShoelesJoe said:

    I agree that we have lots of IF trade pieces to acquire pitching, should Elias want to go in that direction. But Holliday clearly has more trade value right now than any of the other minor league guys. He'd get you more than Westburg, Ortiz, or Norby for sure. My concern is that if a deal is on the table and another team wants three or four prospects, maybe Elias negotiates them down to one or two prospects if Holliday is included. The more buzz there is around JH (buzz beyond him being 1-1) the more likely it is that option would be available.

    I see articles like this and wonder if somebody somewhere is putting them out just to add to that buzz around a particular player who may be dangled as trade bait in the near future. The piece had nothing new, nothing that any casual fan didn't already know. I half suspect Jordan Westburg winning the Brooks Robinson Minor League Player of the Year award was for the same reason. He had a good season for sure, and if this was ten years ago when our minor leagues were a wasteland then he'd have deserved it. But now? When we have one of the best systems in the game? When one of his teammates is touted as the #1 prospect in all of baseball? That was a head scratcher of an award. But it probably boosted his trade value. 

    I'm nothing more than the average idiot fan, but I'd bet the farm, ranch, and homestead that Jax Holliday is NOT traded in the next 12 months. Hard stop.

    • Upvote 3
  4. On 10/24/2022 at 4:09 PM, RZNJ said:

    Skepticism is healthy but common sense is even better.   Ortiz was coming off of labrum surgery on this left shoulder the year before.    Watch this interview.   

    There are reasons why he had a very poor first half and an off-the-charts 2nd half.   One was the shoulder getting stronger and the other was the change in hand placement which allowed him to hit the ball in the air more often.   I think you (as in anyone who believes) are missing the boat if you see both halves and think one was simply a cold streak and the other was simply a hot streak.

    As a baseball player who had labrum+ surgery, I'm inclined to give the benefit of the doubt. The physical recovery is rough enough, but learning to mentally trust it is a bigger hurdle. My sincere hope is Mr. J Ortiz is coming on strong.

     

  5. 21 hours ago, DrungoHazewood said:

    Isn't the likely case over the medium term that teams will shift priorities somewhat towards better fielders in general to cover the extra area, thereby depressing the relative value of those who are already in the game? 

    In other words, Mateo is a 10 in a world where the average player is a five.  With no shifts teams may prioritize fielding skill over hitting to some degree, so Mateo would be a 10 in a world where the average is now 5.5. 

    Would love to be the proverbial fly on the wall and hear other teams discussing how they value Mateo / Urias, and even other O's players that might be trade targets. If Urias at 3B, Mateo at SS and Oritz at 2B are all plus plus defensively, and we are trying to find Gunnar's position, that seems like a pretty sittin' place.

  6. 52 minutes ago, Frobby said:

    I’m not saying the effect will be zero.   I just don’t think it will be very significant. Mind you, I’m talking about the number of plays where the infielder’s range is a significant factor in the outcome of the play.  I don’t think that will change much.  I do think there will be a noticeable number of balls hit in spots where no fielder could possibly get to the ball.   

    These are key points. If no-shift results in an additional hit in 1 of 100 plays,  a .250 hitter becomes .260. If 1 of 20 plays, a .250 hitter is at .300. Of course, some players are subject to more extreme shifts than others, so the effect on individual hitters will be interesting.

  7. 8 minutes ago, Frobby said:

    I think the amount by which banning the shift is going to increase the importance of range is very overrated.  You are going to see guys’ range tested no matter where you put them on the field.   But, no point in arguing about it.   We’ll see what happens next year.  

    Been pondering this point, and while I haven't quite convinced myself, I think banning the shift WILL increase the importance of infielders range. In simple terms, spray charts show where a hitter is most likely to hit a ground ball or low liner. With the shift, you can cluster defenders in this area. The most common example is the SS/3b playing "rover" against left handed pull hitters. Absent the ability to populate the area with an additional defender, the range of the 2b in this example becomes more important. But as you say, we'll see what happens.

    • Upvote 1
  8. Was a hell of a run. The combo of slippers, time zone change midnight, and Cinderella didn't click this time.

    But what a run. First time I've really enjoyed watching all the games in the last 6 years or so.

    Making it a point to get to Spring Training late March. Long road trip, but I'm getting the feeling there is something special coming, and want to see it up close and personal.

     

  9. My dad was in the Navy, we lived in Japan from 1970-1975, when I was 8-13 years old. Reason I'm an O's fan is the first professional game I ever saw was O's vs. Tokyo Giants, when they came to Japan after the '71 World Series. When finally back in Southern California, I'd see the O's on TV when they played the Angels, or a game of the week type broadcast, but being able to see the O's play was rare, and NEVER with the home broadcast team. During our last world series, 1983, I was in Air Force basic training and didn't even get to listen to a single inning.

    Flash forward to 2022. I'm in my Class B RV/Van, a Winnebago Revel. I have Starlink/RV satellite internet, and I'm far off the grid in Organ Pipe Cactus National Monument in Southern Arizona.

    I can stream the O's home broadcast in Hi Definition, pause, and fast forward through the game if I wish.

    Simply amazing.

    Having been in the Tech world for 20 years, I have a love / hate relationship with technology.

    However, this is technology I "love".

    IMG_1223.jpg

    • Upvote 3
  10. 12 minutes ago, Moose Milligan said:

    Maybe the best contract season in any sport, anywhere?  Would be hard to quantify across other sports but it's got to be in the conversation.

    Anyway, hats off to him for betting on himself and having a historic season.  Judge seems like a good dude, he's good for baseball.  

    I'd like for him to be a good dude and good for baseball, but for another team not in the AL East!

    • Upvote 1
  11. Back when we signed Odor, my eyes rolled, probably a medically unsafe distance back into my skull.

    It took awhile, but he grew on me. Gritty, red-assing, bluster and pimping beyond his skill set, but he grudgingly grew on me.

    When he was flailing at the plate, and we started to show signs of life, I gnashed teeth, clutched pearls, and silently questioned Hyde's manhood.

    Recently, I realized Odor is not going to be here beyond this year, and decided to simply appreciate his contributions towards, lets face it, what was looking to be another very shit*y, tank-worthy team.

    I believe I'll eventually look upon him fondly, in what has been an amazing season, no matter how it turns out.

    So, a hat tip to you, Mr. Rougned Odor, for your contribution, and also, for snapping Joey Bats head back like a human pez dispenser. That was awesome.

     

    • Upvote 1
  12. 36 minutes ago, baltfan said:

    He is also slower than he looks like he should be which is kind of the opposite of what I normally feel about guys that come up.  Mountcastle, Adley, and Gunnar all struck me as faster than I expected, e.g.

    I've been very pleasantly surprised by Mountcastle's speed, and more recently, AR, even Vavra, and blown away by Gunnar.....

    So, yes, I am also surprised and a bit perplexed by Stowers foot speed (or perceived lack there of).

    Weirdly, it looks like Stowers is tentative, or something mental more than physical ability to move quickly. But just my impression, nothing to back it up.

    • Upvote 1
  13. 1 hour ago, Tony-OH said:

     

    Westburg could ultimately end up at 1B if he's not traded. I will say that he probably could be an ok 3B defensively but you won't get many of those wow plays when you need that arm strength.

    As someone who is a Mountcastle fan and really wants him to succeed in Orange and Black, I'm getting increasingly frustrated watching his At Bats, especially now with AR, then Ryan afterwards. It's like the two extremes of plate discipline, and really highlights RM's weakness. (Trade RM for pitching?)

    The idea of having Westburg dedicate himself to 1B, Ortiz at 2B, Keep Mateo, and Gunnar at 3B, could give us a defensive infield that every sinkerball pitcher in the league would drool over. At very low cost for a couple years (freeing money for pitching?). 

    And while I have zero evidence to back this point up, I believe banning the shift will benefit the classic, rangy middle infielders, of which Mateo and Ortiz are.

    To all of which, I do have to say being able to talk about these "problems" is a breath of fresh air in the O's Kingdom.

    Sign some front line pitching this offseason, and for the rest of the current staff, "Let the Hunger Games Begin!"

     

    • Upvote 1
  14. On 9/14/2022 at 8:53 AM, LA2 said:

    The pitch he was using to dominate was a mid-90's splitter. Back then it was very rare, but now quite common. I'm glad we reaped the benefits of it before the trend he started took hold!

    Double take.... Z Britton was throwing a splitter? (rush to interwebs to check memory and confirm)

    Britton's master pitch was a sinker (2-seam fastball), not a spilt finger fastball:

    Britton is a left-handed visitor who has never closed out a World Series, so he is unlike Rivera in the obvious ways. Yet in his manner of dominating the late innings, Britton is probably the closest thing to Rivera since Rivera retired in 2013. He does it all with one devastating pitch.

    For Britton, the pitch is the sinker, a 96-mile-per-hour anvil that hitters simply cannot lift. According to Fangraphs, Britton’s ground-ball rate (79.7 percent) is by far the best in the majors — a full 15 percentage points better than the next-closest pitcher with at least 50 innings, Boston’s Brad Ziegler.

    Britton throws the sinker almost all the time. Like Rivera, the master of the cutter, he stymies opponents with a pitch they know is coming but simply cannot handle.

    Source: NY Times. https://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/26/sports/baseball/zach-britton-baltimore-orioles-cy-young-award-chances.html

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