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survivedc

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Posts posted by survivedc

  1. 1 hour ago, Can_of_corn said:

    No.

    That's not how it works.

    If you finish near the top you are rewarded with a full year of service time for the current season.

    You don't get a two for one deal. 

    Instead of .7 a season or whatever it was, Adley was given a full season.

    It's meant to deter teams from playing service time games.

    Yes, thank you, I was being sarcastic.

  2. On 8/2/2023 at 7:16 PM, Frobby said:

    I think KB is terrific.  Arnold is okay, but a big step down.  He’s better than Hollander, Garceau or Newman, however.  

    I think Hollander is absolutely perfect for the radio. Sure he’s not as good as the recent old timers (Scully, Angel, Miller), but he is just the right amount of homer and is very entertaining. Also he’s just good at going back and explaining a play after it happened, a lot of people just kinda move on.

    • Upvote 1
  3. 4 hours ago, wildcard said:

    I think its right to say that the O's lost the off season.   They did not bring in as much talent as some others.  I think its right to say that the O's lost the deadline.   They did not bring in as much talent as some others.

    But the O's accumulated so much talent over the last four years of scouting, drafting high, and building a player development organization that they do not have to win the off season or the deadline.   Their players are graduating and improving at such a rate that all  Elias needs to do is acquire a few players to fill in the gaps.

    I don’t think it’s fair to say the O’s “lost” the trade deadline, when they didn’t go out and make the team worse. Also, while Texas is busy, it isn’t clear they are going to be better moving forward.

    The only way to “lose” the deadline is go out and clearly overpay for marginal upgrades a la the Gerardo Parra trade.

  4. 19 minutes ago, Three Run Homer said:

    Here's the problem.  You can get front-line starters in three ways:  you develop them, you sign them as free agents, or you trade for them.

    We've developed Gray Rod, and he has the potential to be great.  But given Elias' drafting and development preferences it seems unlikely that we will develop any other front line starters for the foreseeable future.

    The problem with free agents is that they require a lot of money.  Even if we didn't have a tightwad owner, we would be a small market team that is not going to outbid the big-city teams for established front-line starters.  

    So that leaves trades.  Here we have a potential advantage, because we have a highly rated farm system already, and we have a great talent for drafting and developing position players.   We have more good position player prospects than we have places to play them.   We should be in the business of trading position player prospects for front-line pitching--indeed, I can't think of another way that we will be able to get front-line pitching going forward.  

    Unfortunately, Elias' performance this week does not inspire confidence that he is willing to spend the prospect capital it will take to get front-line starting pitching in a trade.  We wound up shopping at Walmart, and you can get a good deal at Walmart, but you can't buy high quality merchandise there.   

    It doesn’t seem to me that you see guys with multiple years left being moved at the trade deadline. Elias knows, I’m sure, that he needs to acquire quality starting pitching, but he isn’t going to be suckered into a bad trade. It doesn’t mean he won’t part with high end prospects to get it, just that what was out there wasn’t worth it right now.

  5. 2 minutes ago, Malike said:

    The expected batting average on the ball was just over .200. I don't need to see it again, I've watched it enough. An average CF makes that play, there would be no heroics involved.

    He took 4 steps after the ball landed to get to it. It's not like he was right there. Expected batting average isn't perfect here of course--Cowser was deeper than average, and though the exit velocity wasn't too impressive it was cued off the end of the bat and tailing away. I think you're making way too much out of this play. 

  6. 1 hour ago, Malike said:

    He literally pulled up and watched the ball drop in front of him. If a speedy runner was watching that play he could have taken a double, it was fairly embarrassing to watch.

    You should go watch that hit again, it isn't anything close to what you're describing. It is in a video highlighting Judge's 3 hits on mlb.com.

  7. 20 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

    Oh so Frazier beats him out on the skill of experience which is something you just made up so you can continue to pick Mountcastle.

    Makes sense.

    You could try being a bit less adversarial in every single one of your post replies. 
     

    Experience is obviously not a skill, don’t be daft. Frazier has been in the league for 8 seasons and has undoubtedly learned a thing or two. I’m sure the young middle infielders have picked up some knowledge from him, even if it’s just how to pack for road trips. In addition, I think he’s an adequate defender at both second and COF and positional versatility is good, even if you aren’t a gold glover out there. Frazier also gets on base at a pretty good clip and seems to be a bit unlucky so far this year. 
     

    I’m not picking on Mountcastle, I love the guys personality and have expected him to turn some kind of corner the last few years. But the K’s haven’t gotten better, the walks have gotten worse and I’m not certain his “feel” for first base has really improved (getting over to tough foul balls for instance). 
     

    And again, the biggest thing is just that he didn’t HAVE to come back up. You may have missed that point when you creamed your jeans at the opportunity to attack someone. His replacement was still playing well and 2 other guys had also shown themselves capable of handling first. RMC has plenty of time to get on fire in Norfolk while the rest of the PT sorts itself out. 

    • Upvote 1
  8. On 6/14/2023 at 12:09 AM, Just Regular said:

    Power and speed, not that Gunnar is a slouch in those areas himself.      Julio could go 40/40, but Gunnar could push .400 OBP.    Savant gives Julio 97/97 percentiles on Max EV/Sprint Speed, while Gunnar is "only" like 93/82.

    Personality, having now seen Gunnar as player of the game five straight games, a large percentage of MLB ballplayers might have him there.      As a rookie Gunnar is doing a solid job with his interview fundamentals.     Until a few days ago he was a "high-strung" kid fighting it, so no shock he isn't really feeling it yet when Kevin Brown tries to tell him he's the greatest thing ever.

    Sure was nice seeing him and Adley smiling and relaxed in the dugout looking out at Bassitt tonight!

    Julio’s got a bigger personality it seems, always smiling. But Gunnar plays a position where he can be in the action more. Would love to see Gunnar use his wheels more!

  9. 3 hours ago, ChuckS said:

    I’m curious what circumstances you think will arise which cause Frazier to be traded. You have mentioned this multiple times, as if it’s a fact. 

    Frazier would be a weird guy to trade. He is only under contract for one year, so it would almost definitely be to a team that is trying to upgrade, but why would we trade him for anything less than a bullpen contributor?

    Only exception would be if they can find a team that wants to dump salary with a useful player a la Gausman/O’Day.

  10. 12 minutes ago, baltfan said:

    Yeah, remember when everyone was screaming that Elias was manipulating service time and if he came up he would just dominate.  
     

    MLB is hard.  It also is possible that our analytics department is giving players tools that are more effective in the minors vs the majors so as to make the prospects appear a bit better than they actually are. 

    Here come the conspiracy theories. It’s a good point though because clearly all of our good prospects have come up and been exposed unlike other teams prospects.

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