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DrinkinWithFermi

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Everything posted by DrinkinWithFermi

  1. Mullins has been worth 7.1 rWAR/5.8 fWAR since the start of 2022. Teams generally do not cut ~3 WAR guys who play premium positions like CF. Thankfully I do not believe Mike Elias will consider your "cut Mullins" suggestion.
  2. Bradish has an injury that results in major surgery in most cases. Counting on him to be a significant contributor this year is wildly premature at this juncture.
  3. Went with 90-93. Hard to predict a better record than that when Dean Kremer is our #3 starter and both of the guys who were supposed to be our next-man-up depth SPs are already in the rotation. We really needed another SP.
  4. >Anthony from Bayside and Benny from Gaslight Anthem are Yankees fans YUCK
  5. I was simply pointing out that you knew why exactly people were complaining (or "whining" as you put it) about this move but were pretending to be oblivious in some lame attempt to dunk on them. That's all.
  6. This is pretty disengenuous, don't you think? Many (most?) people didn't want Nevin because he would be blocking much more talented MLB ready prospects, which Kemp also does, thus the continued "whining."
  7. Tony Kemp is approaching 33 years old and has hit .224/.306/.321 over his last ~1,000 PAs. Why in the world is he taking any ABs away from our young guys?
  8. I don't agree with such a precipitous drop either, but there is certainly reason to think the team could regress a not-insignificant amount this year. We added one TOR SP and lost another for an indeterminate period of time, and we lost our elite closer and replaced him with a guy in his mid-30s who has been up and down in recent years. Other than that, the team is more or less the same. That's not exactly what I would call a "notable upgrade" over last year's roster, but YMMV.
  9. We significantly outperformed our Pythagorean record last year and didn't upgrade this year's roster to any notable degree.
  10. The starting pitching is dangerously thin. The bullpen is kinda questionable. It would not take much meddling from the baseball gods for this team to faceplant coming out of the gate honestly. I don't see too much reason to worry about the offense right now though- it's an very deep group with even more guys quickly closing in on ready.
  11. Whatever your personal feelings are about the man, a true Baltimore icon has left the building. We can worry about how to view his legacy somewhere down the line. Rest in peace, Peter.
  12. This was easily the best move of the offseason. Pepsi is disgusting!
  13. He's just wayyyy better than the #1 prospect in baseball, obviously
  14. "He's very very close, but not close enough to be a better option than Kolten Wong or Tyler Nevin."
  15. They would be idiots to bring him up before late June/early July now. See: Rutschman, Adley (2022)
  16. So we are sending Jackson Holliday, the former first overall draft pick and consensus #1 prospect in the sport, who just OPS'd over .950 in MLB Spring Training, to AAA so we can keep...Tyler Nevin? Ryan McKenna? Some other AAAA guy we scoop up off of the waiver wire? What a joke.
  17. 100%. He was born rich, has already made millions of his own from his draft bonus, and won't have any shortage of teams offering him mountains of cash if he comes anywhere close to living up to the hype, so he can absolutely afford to hold a grudge over this ridiculous slap in the face if he so chooses. I hope Kolten Wong is worth it!
  18. LOL okay, then they better keep Holliday down until June or July then to make absolutely damn sure there isn't another Adley situation.
  19. Burnes was not an addition, he was a replacement. We simply swapped out Bradish for Burnes in the end. If you think that is good enough, that's fine, but I do not and would rather the team act with some degree of urgency with Adley halfway to free agency after this season. Adding Michael Lorenzen or Mike Clevinger on a cheap one year deal to keep guys like Teheran and Zimmerman out of the rotation if we have another SP injury isn't exactly an unreasonable ask for a team with a bottom ~5 payroll and alleged World Series aspirations. And even that wouldn't really be an addition since they would functionally just be replacing Gibson, whose previously planned replacement (Means) will also be joining Bradish on the IL to start the year for an indeterminate amount of time.
  20. How so? They knew Bradish had a season-threatening injury a month before the trade with Milwaukee, and that Burnes was therefore just filling a hole rather than serving as a true addition to the rotation. ...who merely replaced the incumbent ace of the staff, who may not pitch at all for us in 2024. No real upgrade has actually occurred.
  21. 1. That is completely irrelevant. 2. They also expected Dillon Tate to throw more than 0 pitches at the MLB level last year. So yes, a lateral move until Bradish returns and pitches well, which is far from guaranteed.
  22. Michael Lorenzen is right there and has had more recent success (and he offers much more reason to expect near-term success), but sure, let's roll with the ghost of Julio Teheran as our insurance against further rotation injuries. Y'know, it would be really cool if the Orioles actually acted like a team that wants to win right now instead of punting another offseason, but I guess we might as well appeal to the thunderstorm. Yes, I am being somewhat hyperbolic here, but it's about a month until opening day and Dean Kremer is currently projected to be our #3 starter behind a #2 with less than a year of MLB experience and we are one injury away from Julio Teheran or Bruce Zimmerman being in the MLB rotation. That doesn't exactly project "WS contender" vibes. And before anyone takes umbrage with my use of the term "punting" to describe this offseason, I will preemptively point out that Burnes and Kimbrel were lateral moves, not upgrades- Burnes merely replaced Bradish, whose potentially season-ending injury was already known to the organization at the time of the trade, and Kimbrel was signed specifically to fill in for Bautista while he recovers from TJS. There have been no actual upgrades made to the team this winter. So yeah, we punted. Again. But hey, maybe Teheran will be better than Matt Harvey and Wade LeBlanc if we end up having to run him out there in games that actually count.
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