Il BuonO

Lol, well, if the Talkin Baseball guys said that then that’s the final authority!

I would think it’s relative to their market, so less than average. I’m not a believer that a team has to spend obscene amounts of money evidenced by the failure of many large FA signings. Also, the consistent success of a team like Tampa Bay should be a model for smaller market teams. The Orioles are in that group. Draft and develop well, add free agents to compliment the team.

Don’t know what you’re looking at in the link I posted, but it isn’t exclusive to “game” lines. And taken from what you posted…. “During the off-season, futures odds may change with free agent acquisitions as well. The odds changing for one team often lead to the odds changing for other competing teams. Futures odds at sports books tend to be based on the chance that something will happen.” That’s literally the definition of probability.

I think it’s a little suspicious you mention “not watching” something twice in the same post.

You didn’t provide a link. And it says “may”. Probabilities is how the line is set and betting action determines how the line moves. The presumed action in markets “may” play a factor where odds are set, but it isn’t determinative. Oddsmakers will set the lines according to the implied probability of either outcome happening. The sum of the probabilities exceeds 100%, as sportsbooks take a small cut on both sides of a line. https://www.forbes.com/betting/guide/how-sports-betting-odds-work/#:~:text=Oddsmakers will set the lines,to make a certain profit.

Actually, the odds are based, or set, by oddsmakers. They move according to bets placed.

False. The Yankees are the odds on favorite to win the East right now at +150. The Orioles are +225, the Blue Jays are +400.

If he’s posted, I’ll take Sasaki over Cease. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2023/12/roki-sasaki-asks-to-be-posted-for-mlb-teams-chiba-lotte-marines-likely-to-deny-request.html

Why not? Are we talking about the same Brandon Hyde who looked kinda scared when confronted by Chris Davis in the dugout. Maybe he was just the cooler head, but it looked like he wanted no part of Davis. Of course, I’ve never been on team Hyde from the beginning. I don’t think Hyde’s bad, but there’s room for improvement. And some sports shock jock doesn’t move the needle for me one way or the other. Stopped listening to jerks like Rome years ago. More power to you, though, if that’s your thing. Think of what an incredibly niche market a screaming know-it-all has to navigate. It’s not all roses. He sells loudness to angry people and that’s his market.

JA: How much money did we make on the two playoff games we hosted and how can we cut payroll next year? I need an answer ASAP! DIET COKE!

I'm not waiting for the playoffs to be over.

I know I was. Or, at a minimum I was hoping for a Rays loss maybe because I'd seen them all year and knew just how tough they could be, so I wanted them out of the way. Maybe it's because as you say, the Rangers had a rough month or so where they gave up the lead of the division and almost got knocked out of the playoffs by a hard charging Seattle team. But the Rangers handled the Orioles all year except for the first series AND they handled GRod. Finally, the Rangers had to go from the WC series to the division series the Orioles is seen as a positive, without any break. As Smoltz commented last night, the time off for the Orioleswas seen as an advantage, but is it? It can be, but it obviously didn't hurt Texas.

Maybe RM has been trending down because he didn't hit as many HRs this year? Ok? Bet you didn't think of that , huh, smart guy? Maybe Hays can be packaged w/ someone (not Mountcastle), Mullins? Santander? Maybe explain to the masses here how trade value works. I know, never mind.

Kremer’s stuff probably does play better out of the pen than Gibson’s does. So, Gibson could be better suited to start on a short leash and if Irvin is back then you have some long options including Flaherty. Kremer’s last start was an improvement and he looked like a guy who could be included in the rotation for the playoffs. Even though his stuff would play better out of the pen it’s also just plain better than Gibson’s. Fujinami, I feel comfortable with reading about the playoff roster only.

He manages the Mets.

I get it, however, Gibson has little postseason experience. During one of the broadcasts, I think it was Brown, who actually said Flaherty has more big game experience in his time with the Cardinals. And last year Gibson was moved to the pen with the Phillies. I wasn’t a fan of the Gibson signing, but I have to admit he’s delivered on the innings and looks sharp at times. Is that good enough to solidify a spot in the rotation for the playoffs? Maybe, but either way I agree it should be based solely on performance.

Glad to see another poster shares my thoughts about Wells. As far as Lopez and Fujinami. The outside is exactly where they should reside.

A lot like me when I lived in SoCal. Weams was on the board then and it felt like I had my own ambassador into Baltimore baseball culture through him. He also introduced me to some cool people, including Tony, who I met in Baltimore during the 2014 season when I visited with my brother. I had followed the team since they beat the Reds in the ‘70 series and I never looked back. My guys were Brooks, Frank, JP, Paul Blair and Belanger. And of course, Earl. Brooks would be happy.

Awesomeness

Wth???

Ditto, and also for me, Fujinami.

I still think Wells could close. He looked even more comfortable last night. Yes, the Nationals, ok. But his demeanor and the stuff play up out of the pen. Outside of the last outing Cano had I’m more inclined to think Wells can strike out more hitters. Definitely glad they brought him back.

I’m continually amazed at the fascination with minor league stats. They’re good for some predictive value, but especially for pitchers, what’s the stuff like? Do they have above average velocity? Will the secondaries play at the highest level? I remember telling people Tanner Scott was going nowhere when they said he should be released. They give guys with plus velocity a lot of room. Moreover, if the other offerings are average to plus there’s something with which to work regardless of what the stats say from a particular season. Heck, they have a guy on the ML roster now who’s ERA is 7+! I’ve seen him walk the bases loaded twice! Another guy has a 6+ ERA. And this isn’t taking in more predictive stats. What’s the common theme? They both throw hard and the overall stuff is good. Now, I’m not sure either of them are ML pitchers-especially on a playoff team, but somebody sees something.

Paul Blair certainly played so shallow you had to think he was fast to turn his back and track down balls the way he did. No idea where he would rank on the list.