What are the odds that the O’s climb back to .500 at any point this year?

[mdbdotcom]

12 hours ago, Moose Milligan said:

The hole is too big, and as @webbrick2010noted, they haven't been at .500 since last May.

No reason to think they can get there this year at any point.  They might get better, but not that good.

Last time O's were at .500 was 9/9/17. Were actually 3 games over on 9/5. April and August were the only months over .500 last year. 

Month by Month
Split	W	L	RS	RA	W-L%
April	15	8	101	100	.652
May	12	16	128	134	.429
June	12	16	124	186	.429
July	12	14	132	136	.462
August	17	12	175	124	.586
September	7	20	83	155	.259

[backwardsk]

12 hours ago, Moose Milligan said:

The hole is too big, and as @webbrick2010noted, they haven't been at .500 since last May.

No reason to think they can get there this year at any point.  They might get better, but not that good.

Last September 

[pwhite]

Pretty much everything that could go wrong has gone wrong so far. There isn't any reason they can't scrape back to .500. It's still super early. 

I just hope we are either in contention or way out of contention. I don't want us to be middle of the road at the trade deadline and make another Davies for Parra type move.

[Ripken]

I still think they have a good stretch in them, similar to the 22-10 start last year.  Schoop, Trumbo, and Britton can/should help.  Maybe Hays or another young guy contributes.  Cobb settles in.  Hopefully they start making some reasonable decisions about Tillman and Wright.  The weather is getting warmer, they are home a bunch, and the schedule isn't too bad.  

They have fatal flaws and are certainly not a playoff team... but they aren't a 100 loss team either.

[canonfaz]

If we keep running Tillman out there, none. 

[Natty]

21 minutes ago, canonfaz said:

If we keep running Tillman out there, none. 

This^

[pastorfan]

35 minutes ago, canonfaz said:

If we keep running Tillman out there, none. 

Unfortunately, the worse scenario is that Tillman is "ok" today. That will buy him another month or two.

[mdbdotcom]

If we do climb back to .500 it will be because of the pitching, meaning Cobb returns to form, Britton comes back in early June and we find a #5 starter who doesn't suck. That would give us a better than average pitching staff.

The offense and defense are average at best (and have not been playing even that well) and will not improve without an injection of fresh talent. They will not help pull us up to .500.

[Ballmer Bruce]

Forget the Wild Card.  They would have to play 18 games over 500 for rest of season.  Do you see any chance of this?

[Guest 21037dad]

What are the odds that the O’s reach .500 at any point this year?  

 

100% we were .500 after the second game.

 

Dad

[mdbdotcom]

11 minutes ago, 21037dad said:

What are the odds that the O’s reach .500 at any point this year?  

 

100% we were .500 after the second game.

 

Dad

Hard to argue with this.

[now]

On 20/04/2018 at 2:34 PM, Morgan423 said:

so that by the time we get to early June at 15 games under, there's no hemming and hawing regarding blowing it up and trading the players we need to trade.

Good luck with that. 

[Uli2001]

Quote

This is a low-70s win team. They are not as bad as they look right now, but they are not going to compete this year.

The irony is that for the longest time, throughout the entire Showalter Window, SP was this team's achilles heel. Now they actually seem to have good SP (assuming Cobb returns to form) but no offense and a mediocre bullpen.

 

[Uli2001]

This is a low-70s win team. They are not as bad as they look right now, but they are not going to compete this year.

The irony is that for the longest time, throughout the entire Showalter Window, SP was this team's achilles heel. Now they actually seem to have good SP (assuming Cobb returns to form) but no offense and a mediocre bullpen.

[bpilktree67]

I don’t think they lose 100.  The offense is better then shows so far and we have faced some very good pitching so far this season. After tomorrow’s game we will have faced 7 of the top 12 in era to start the year. Bundy is on our team so really top 11 possible.