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By sportsfan8703 · Posted
We played all our Saturday games at home at 4pm. That should help us. I don’t know if that was the full reason we made the switch this year, but it had to factor in. We didn’t do so well in the day games last year in the playoffs. Also, don’t be surprised to see McCann get a big hit in game 1 and possibly just start this entire series versus the speedster Royals. Let’s go. We owe these “guys” big time paybacks even if it’s 10 years later. -
They also smacked him around for 7 ER on 9 H in 1.2 innings. He can be beaten, though he certainly had a great September. -
I understand why posters would want to avoid Skubal in a game 1, but the Royals starters are not going to be a cakewalk. Probably a deeper starting staff with Ragans, Lugo and Wacha.
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Interesting article …. Pretty surprising stat with all the guys that we lost to injury https://www.masnsports.com/blog/orioles-made-it-through-rough-t -
The same thing was happening was MacDonald was the DC and when Wink was the DC, that makes me put most of the blame on Harbaugh -
dWAR is just the run value for defense added with the defensive adjustment. Corner OF spots have a -7.5 run adjustment, while CF has a +2.5 adjustment over 150 games. Since Cowser played both CF and the corners they pro-rate his time at each to calculate his defensive adjustment. -
Just to be clear, though, fWAR also includes a substantial adjustment for position, including a negative one for Cowser. For a clearer example on that front, as the chart posted higher on this page indicates, Carlos Santana had a +14 OAA — which is the source data that fWAR’s defensive component is based on. That 14 outs above average equates to 11-12 (they use different values on this for some reason) runs better than the average 1B. So does Santana have a 12.0 defensive value, per fWAR? He does not. That’s because they adjust his defensive value downward to reflect that he’s playing a less difficult/valuable position. In this case, that adjustment comes out to -11.0 runs, as you can see here: So despite apparently having a bona fide Gold Glove season, Santana’s Fielding Runs value (FanGraphs’ equivalent to dWAR) is barely above average, at 1.1 runs. Any good WAR calculation is going to adjust for position. Being a good 1B just isn’t worth as much as being an average SS or catcher. Just as being a good LF isn’t worth as much as being an average CF. Every outfielder can play LF — only the best outfielders can play CF. Where the nuance/context shows up here is with Cowser’s unique situation. Playing LF in OPACY, with all that ground to cover, is not the same as playing LF at Fenway or Yankee Stadium. Treating Cowser’s “position” as equivalent to Tyler O’Neill’s, for example, is not fair. The degree of difficulty is much, much higher at OPACY’s LF, and so the adjustment seems out of whack for him. That’s the one place where I’d say the bWAR value is “unfair” to Cowser.
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