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24fps

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Everything posted by 24fps

  1. There's also eligibility for pension and the group health plan. Even though the benefit for players with very little service time sometimes gets overstated, it's not a small thing.
  2. Somehow they're worse than Red Sox bandwagoners? I don't think such a thing is possible.
  3. The Gambler's Fallacy says it's probably not a good idea to bet the house.
  4. The Astros are $24 million over the competitive balance tax threshold, so it might the Pressley that they would want to unload if they decide to fold on 2024. I agree that Abreu is an interesting reliever, but as you say, not worth Kjerstad.
  5. I sincerely hope you're right, but honestly I'm skeptical.
  6. How is being sent down at this point going to be viewed as anything but utter failure and how is that going to help his confidence? With all the fanfare that came with his call up, the genie is out of the bottle, so enough with the psychology. If Holliday gets sent down, it should be to improve on identified problems and it should be with his complete buy-in. There should be enough observational data pretty soon to start isolating areas a little more precisely than "oh, he just looks lost..." But you know what worries me the most? I'm worried that Holliday is getting conflicting opinions from his dad and the coaching staff right now. That's a whole different level of complicated.
  7. I don't want to see him back in AAA - at least not yet. I'm intrigued by the notion that ML pitchers are taking advantage of a swing that needs to be simplified. It that's the case than a trip back to AAA is probably what's needed. That would go for anything fundamental like that. Otherwise let him take a few more lumps at the ML level and hope the coaches can tweak a couple things to get him back on track.
  8. Hall's not looking too great at the moment. 4 starts, 16 IP, 7.71 ERA. 2.265 WHIP, -0.4 WAR. As always, command is the issue. Will that change if he returns to the bullpen? Who knows, but trading him was hardly a mistake as it stands now.
  9. The OP stipulates an elite reliever which to my thinking is an established reliever. Clase was suggested and that is an appropriate suggestion IMO in terms of the top tier. Kjerstad is still a prospect, so the acquiring team would be taking on risk that the potential actually translates to the ML level. Sadly Holliday's current struggles show us that's a genuine concern.
  10. Consider it? Clase is probably the best reliever in baseball an not a free agent until 2027 - unless two $10 million options are picked up, then it's 2029. Elias would - and should - make that deal the very second he stopped drooling.
  11. If the reliever was clearly THE missing piece, then yeah. I think it will be at least July 1 before we can know that.
  12. 24fps

    Kevin Brown

    I'm hoping that KB soon realizes what a resource Ben McDonald is. Not that Kevin doesn't have a clue, but Ben really brings something to the party that helps everybody IMO.
  13. It wouldn't be good to send Holliday out tonight, but Hyde has to get Hays and Urias going somehow. Why not give it a try tonight?
  14. Thread winner. Or thread killer... Can go either way IMO.
  15. There is no question in my mind that the coaching staff and analytics staff is doing everything in their power to make sure that Holliday is as well prepared as possible before every game. And he's been in few enough games at this point to where I wonder if there's enough data yet to start drawing up an effective strategy anyway. Now that the decision has been made to bring him up, Holliday is owed a long enough window to show he can't make the adjustment even with the benefit of the best support. If that means he has to be sent down, I'm not going to stress about it. I'm also not going to hold my breath that he'll turn the corner even so. Adley made it, Gunnar made it, so did Westburg and Cowser and Mountcastle and Grayson... If Holliday doesn't make it I'll be surprised and disappointed, but the Orioles under Elias are still way ahead of the game and Norby is looking for an opportunity and time marches on.
  16. Myself included. That said I'm paying attention to see if he can maintain his hot start to the season. He's looking pretty good right now.
  17. Even in spring training where he impressed in most respects, Holliday still struck out a third of the time, so the K's shouldn't be a surprise to anyone including Mike Elias. IMO the O's have made an investment that includes a short-term loss factored in. There's too much value waiting to be unlocked to bail out early.
  18. Thanks. It's been a long time since I visited The Sun.
  19. There aren't many narratives that are more satisfying to me than an underappreciated guy sticking it to all the doubters - the more relentlessly the better. O'Hearn got a last chance that objectively he didn't deserve and didn't squander it. I really respect that. I don't know who Jacob Calvin Meyer is, but evidently he has a crystal ball that works. Might be a valuable dude to get to know.
  20. So far, Ryan O'Hearn is a great story and one that I really enjoy watching. I hope it continues. Middle reliever is right around the consensus value we had on him in January wasn't it? Of course in January, we were focused on packaging Kjerstad in a Cease deal so maybe trading O'Hearn would have been unwise. Or was it Cowser we wanted to put in the package? Gosh we were stupid lmao.
  21. Not really, because context matters. So does sample size assuming you're trying to find some kind of meaning.
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