Pickles
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Posts posted by Pickles
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By my calculations, Lyles' outing today should bring his ERA to 4.68. If he keeps that up all year I think we would all be thrilled with that. I expect him to regress a bit, but honestly, he doesn't look like he's going to be a disaster.
Interesting note on the environment. That 4.68 would still be below 90 ERA+. The O's have (going into today) a collective ERA of 3.61, but we're still only 11th in RA. 11th in RA with a collective ERA+ of 107. Part of that is an abnormal amount of unearned runs.
But part of it too is a really low offensive environment.
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27 minutes ago, Frobby said:
Hopefully, often. This may not be the best Red Sox team. Of course, I also said that when we swept them in the opening series last year.
To be fair, you weren't wrong.
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Just now, Tony-OH said:
Yeah, but I thought someone was tracking how many it cost us and the other teams to see if they even out.
I think that's kind of a quixotic goal.
But clearly the most influential in terms of runs scored was Santader's just now.
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Just now, Tony-OH said:
Is anyone keeping track now?
I think we are. There really hasn't been a lot. Mancini, Boegarts, and now Santandar all lost HRs. There's been some questions about hits that fell in that wouldn't have under the old dimensions.
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Just now, Just Regular said:
Minus one Anthony Santander grand slam.
Beat me to it. The new dimensions just cost Santandar a grand slam.
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Bogaerts just hit one that would have been gone under the old dimensions. Caught at the warning track.
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5 hours ago, Frobby said:
My numbers came from a study I read, or an article about a series of studies. I may have posted a link earlier in this thread, or another thread. I’ll check.
Edit: here’s my link, from a couple of pages back in this thread: https://globalsportmatters.com/health/2019/07/09/mixed-results-await-pitchers-after-tommy-john-surgery/Thanks for that.
All we can really do is hope now.
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19 minutes ago, Frobby said:
Sure they expect him back at some point in 2023, but what point? The typical range is 11-18 months, with 15 months the average. That would put the midpoint in July/August.
Where are you seeing these numbers? A cursory google search indicates 12-15 months for pitchers, and half that for position players.
The numbers align, but I'm just wondering how much of that is due to the offseason.
If a guy has surgery in Aug, and is rehabbing the following Sept. but they decide just to leave him shut down until April, what may well have been a 12-13 month rehab is classified as an 18 month one.
I guess I'm just curious as to how much the six month offseason is skewing these numbers.
I personally would like Means to be ready on 5/1 next year. But, of course, hope in one hand......
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35 minutes ago, Yardball85 said:
I did...
I was about to say the same.
There were only two predictions to be made: Mullins or Mateo. I probably would have gone with Mullins because of playing time and on base issues, but I'm not at all surprised it's Mateo. He's certainly our fastest player.
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7 minutes ago, Ripken said:
The way things are going, it's kind of shocking we didn't sign Correa:
Season Team Level G PA HR AVG OBP SLG wOBA wRC+ WAR 2022 MIN MLB 10 43 1 .184 .279 .316 .275 79 0.1 If we had signed Correa to a ten year deal, he'd be getting a second opinion on TJ surgery right about now.
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7 minutes ago, interloper said:
Oh absolutely. Especially because we lucked out having Watkins and Ellis face a gutted A's team. Those guys aren't going to have that kind of success elsewhere.
That should make for a pleasant message board.
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Just now, interloper said:
I think the solution is clearly that the pitching has to tank first, then the offense will take off, but we'll still lose games. Because Orioles.
You know that's coming.
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1 hour ago, emmett16 said:
I don't think he will get claimed and there is no space in AAA. Long Island Ducks could potentially make some room.
He really ought to go to Japan and ops 1000 and make some money for a few years.
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53 minutes ago, Frobby said:
It’s funny, I read those stats but I don’t feel that’s what I’ve been seeing. I’ve seen Mancini robbed twice on balls in the gap; otherwise I really haven’t seen anything that looked like a hit off the bat but turned into an out. Of course, I’ve only watched maybe 30% of the at bats so far this season.
Hell, that CFer in Oakland took away three hits last night by himself.
They've had some bad luck for sure. Not just Mancini.
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2 minutes ago, OsFanSinceThe80s said:
Mountcastle looks rigid when fielding the ball at 1B.
I should be clear that my two post above were referencing two separate plays.
I'm not going to go crazy about it. But he needs to improve defensively, even at first base, as a long-term piece.
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Look at the replayed play at 1st in the 6th. He's not stretching ideally.
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So Mountcastle missed a ball tonight that I believe was easier than the ball last night.
He's a big man. He plays small around the bag.
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Just now, yark14 said:
Chirinos is a big reason why.
You've said that several times, correct?
I started a thread about the guy after game two and called him a breath of fresh air.
He's helped.
I can't quantify it, but he's been such a massive upgrade.
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Just now, JimGinSP said:
Well well well. Somehow that went 0-0 after 7.5 to a 5-0 win vs the MFY’s. Nelson Cortes “immaculate inning” still one of the headlines on MLB but we get the “W”
Whatever happened to the Everybody Dancing Now thread I can’t find it. Haven’t seen OFFNY in these parts either.
I was wondering about that myself. I hope he's doing well.
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Just now, yeoledugger said:
Two perfect innings from Lopez today. Easy 97/98 mph heat with lots of movement and decent control.
It's eerie but everyone coming out of the pen for the O's this year has looked real good.
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2 minutes ago, OsEatAlEast said:
Me either, I think this has to be a community effort. That being said, the O's did score all their runs with two out I believe. So it did play in the final outcome of the game. I'll see if I can get a replay of it. Anyone else want to chime in on this play?.
I believe the LF, Gallo, could have caught the ball as it happened.
I also believe he would certainly have caught it if he had been positioned a few feet closer to the IF, which almost certainly would have been the case w the old configurations.
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And the floodgates open.
What a strange, funny game.
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22 minutes ago, eddie83 said:
Mountcastle single in 8th 4/17/22 vs Yanks. Deeper positioning playing a role?
That occurred to me.
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2 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:
Which Shields did not qualify as.
Talk about hindsight.
You're right. It was an awesome example of good strategic thinking and we should totally be emulating such processes.
DL Hall 2022
in Orioles Talk
Posted
That strike ratio was very impressive.
I share Frobby's thought, that microscopic analysis on where Hall throws his "warm-up" innings doesn't matter.
What matters is that he's probably going to throw 70-90 innings with the Orioles this year.