emmett16

Mountcastle swings at pitches that aren’t even close to the strike zone. His hit earlier in game was on a ball a foot outside.

I don’t understand how Lyles doesn’t get an error there. If he doesn’t make a mistake the guy is out. How is that different from flat out dropping the ball? That inning was so ridiculous. Very lackadaisical all around.

Mountcastle can’t let that happen in that situation (or ever). What a terrible throw.

Just stole his 3rd base of game. Another massive jump. Heck of a game going on between Bowie and Harrisburg. 1-0 pitchers duel nail biter. Stallings throwing a no no.

This kid is impressive. Looks incredibly comfortable at the plate against a tough lefty today. With his hit today he has reached base in all 24 games this year for the Baysox. And then steals his 8th bag of year standing up. I’ve been equally impressed with his foot speed. In next AB lines a single up middle and then steals second base of the game(9th on season). 6th multi hit game on the season. I don’t remember hearing much about his run game. He’s getting massive jumps.

Looks like Hernaiz has his man strength. Has a violence to his swing like Arrozarena. I really like how he drives through the ball. Hope he can stick on the dirt.

It is pretty absurd that they have not challenged him in AAA. As pointed out above, he is going to have his work cut out for him learning on the fly at the major league level. I imagine as he goes through the learning curve & as MLB pitchers see him for first time, there will be a lot of 3 & 4 inning outings.

Yes. He has a four pix mix and when he’s on (has all pitches going) the batters are defenseless. When he’s not on he’s very tough because the stuff is that good. On top of that he’s an elite competitor. He is going to be fun to watch for a long time.

I feel that vibe. Gonna give him a bit more time after last years showing but is quite disappointing.

To date this regime hasn’t produced any intl players of note at the major league level. If Bautista turns out to be a keeper, I suppose he goes to Duquette’s tally as well. I bet there may be 1 or 2 more if we looked closely. This is Elias’ third year with one being covid. I expect after 5 non-covid years he and Perez will(and should) have more than the 3 or 4 the previous group brought in. If not it’s a failure. We were told they were making it a focus and have more funds/backing than previous regimes. If we keep getting Cesar Prieto + level talent on a regular basis, I think they will easily beat the previous regime.

1- I think I remember Frobby posting some heavy researched material on avg. mlb debut ages and that it has been darn near the same age for almost a century. Sure, college players are older as well as players that come from other professional leagues(Cuba & Japan). 2- By average player I mean a player that advances one level each year. I think if you beat that trajectory you are an exceptional talent. It’s incredibly hard to make It to MLB and harder to stay there. If you make it up before avg. of 24.2 years then in my opinion you are an incredible talent. Many incredible talents turn out to be average or below average major league players. I’m not an Elias apologist and think that everything he does is fantastic. I agree with a lot of people there are/were definitely avenues that could have been taken to expedite the turnaround. I don’t know what more they could do on the international front, though. I would imagine after ~5 years (MacPhails/Duquette tenure) we should see one Schoop Type player come out of nowhere. However, I strongly expect that after 7 years we should have impact international players at every level of the org because of the systems that were put in place. If the system doesn’t produce anything, then yea - Elias is a gigantic failure.

All of the players he acquired were 17 years old. They are 20,21 now and likely 3 years away. MLB avg. debut is 24.2 years (throughout the 2000’s). I’d say it’s unrealistic to expect 17 year old Dominican players to be in the league faster than 7 years. 7 years puts them at MLB average assuming they were signed at 17. Players that beat that average are exceptional talents. I don’t think anyone thought we brought in any exceptional talent. I believe the consensus was that there were some “interesting” players but most were to simply build out a roster. The guys he signed in first year and guys he traded for first year were of the average mold and I’d expect them to take 7 years. The guys that he brings in this year should have some higher-end talent and I would hope it will take those players 5-6 years to appear in MLB with fingers crossed we get an outlier that can make it in 4.

I mean I was 3 when they last won the WS so w/o low expectations I’d lose my mind. You got me thinking on how long it typically takes intl players. It’s gonna be very different for someone coming out of DR vs. Japan, obviously. Quick search couldn’t find any articles covering the topic. But I looked up a few Dominican players out of curiosity. Juan Soto 3 years from signing to mlb debut Wander Franco 4 years Julio Rodriguez 5 years Anthony Santander 6 years (rule 5 expedited) I imagine 3 & 4 years to MLB are outliers and most guys make it up in 5-7 years depending on skill level.

I imagine the average age for international guys is lower. I also think it’s fair to say the guys we got initially were not very highly touted and he was doing a lot of that to simply fill out rosters. Those 17 years olds are now 20 and sneaking into the lower part of the system. And out of that group we are starting to see a couple emerge as potential future prospects. Now that we are “established” in the intl market it will be interesting to see how quickly the top end int prospects move through the system. Being an Os fan I have no prior experience with that.

If they are signing 16/17 yo’s and they play one season in dsl, one season in fcl, one season in low a, one season in high a, one season aa, one season in aaa that’s 7 years to MLB at age 23/24 which is about the avg debut age. We started 4 years ago so it seems, to me at least, they are 3 years away from having impact int players in mlb and throughout org. (This assumes typical trajectory, not for a “star” level player who would obviously move faster)

The lack of international players does really stick out. We are still 3 years away before there are 2/3 legit int guys in the line-ups throughout the system.

Watching the tides game last night the Nashville announcer made a similar observation about the tides. Adley 1st rd Grayson 1st rd DL Hall 1st rd Sedlock 1st rd Cadyn Grenier 1st rd Martin 1st rd DJ Stewart 1st rd Stowers 2nd J Jones 2nd Zac Lowther 2nd Vavra 3rd McKenna 3rd Baumann 3rd

I think anyone throwing 100mph has a huge potential for injury. They were very careful with him. I think there is no doubt the stuff plays. Don’t waste it in AAA.

Easy single off a Chris sale look a like in Small. He’s ready. Let’s get him up to Baltimore Sunday.

He takes hacks. Def gets his moneys worth. I’m starting to like this guy. He hit a laser off Small right after Adley. If he could stay healthy he looks like he could be be a lot of fun to watch. He has sneaky speed for a big guy also. Won’t get my hopes up but it’s fun to imagine.

It looks like there is a consistent approach through each level and that the results are tickling up. Pitchers are attacking more and walking less through the org. Batters are not flailing at terrible pitches and driving hittable pitches. There is a very noticeable change for the better.

I think the chain and and the back story are great.

Hammer time

So nasty to have to 4 pitches as a closer. Batters are so off balance.

Chorinos falls victim to the wall.