survivedc
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Posts posted by survivedc
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If Stewart does end up hitting to a .730-50 OPS I would be surprised to seem him limited to 175 plate appearances.
Out of curiosity, do any of these services have best case/top end type projection?
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7 hours ago, Aristotelian said:
Same as ever. Who makes the backend of the starting rotation and longman roles. I would assume the organization already has a plan and they will go with the plan unless there is an injury. They should already know what these guys are capable of.
Agreed, I’m glad the org has progressed to a point where we don’t need to rely on improvements shown in the spring to determine the roster.
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29 minutes ago, Frobby said:
On an individual level, I enjoy reading about pitchers who have used the advanced technology and analytics to improve their pitches. On a macro level, I worry that the technology and analytics are more helpful to pitchers than hitters, and are going to lead to even more strikeouts than we already have in the game.
It doesn’t make sense to me because you would think that as pitchers increase spin rate batters swing for the fences less, but it hasn’t played out that way so far.
Separately, and this has probably been covered somewhere at some point, but how does one “increase spin rate?” Is it as simple as more whip/snap on the release?
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4 minutes ago, OrioleDog said:
Probably about as good as Trey Mancini getting #99 on MLB's Top 100 "Right Now". Its a company production, so representation is assured!
I’d probably put Santander or Tanner Scott over Mancini on a list like that, even given their limited history.
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I’m glad they are adding some weekday day games, though I would bet it’s not great for TV. Good opportunity to cut out of work a few times during the year (hoping in person is allowed).
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I appreciated him talking about wanting to earn his money through performance. Most players don’t seem to acknowledge the gap between performance and pay.
Separately I’d like to see the Angels be good but that’s mostly because of Trout.
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12 hours ago, Philip said:
No he’s not.
Let us know when you’re right about something.
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2 hours ago, Moose Milligan said:
I think it's going to be a long time before we see that with any regularity. If ever again.
I think there will be sold out games at some point next year, even if just the WS (assuming they’re allowed to sell out).
The way that people reacted when restrictions were lifted in May and June is a pretty clear indicator of that. People were desperate for a sense of normalcy then and they will be again next season.
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3 hours ago, Philip said:
Defensive stats are all over the place. And some are more important for one position than for others, of course. Which ones are the most revealing? I personally care less about range, which can be assisted with good intel and preparatory placement, than I do about being sure handed, and I’m more interested in accuracy on throws than brute strength. So what are the best defensive stats?
Outfield is such a delicate balance. There were a couple years where Markakis could handle anything off the scoreboard or near the grounds crew bench and Jones had a terrific ability to range back to the 410 in center. I’m not sure what the metrics say about it, but outfield seems to have a lot to do with who is next to you, especially with those two.
Santander was fun to watch this year, I can’t remember him making a bad play.
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31 minutes ago, Philip said:
First of all, thank you for posting this. I think 800 for Armstrong is fine, Alberto is fine as well because we don’t have anybody who can replace them in the system, he’s not blocking anybody, and despite his flaws he certainly acceptable for the team as it is.
Severino and Nunez are gone, one because he’s terrible and the other because he’s terrible and he is a duplicate. We’ve got a lot of young pitching coming up, and it would be preferable to have at least one catcher who knows how to work with pitchers.
Mancini is a special case, I think they will work something out with him.
Santander is of course a no brainer
Severino is terrible?
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7 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:
A long way away?
Didn't one of the talking heads say his bat was ml ready now?
Elias factor?
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10 hours ago, DrungoHazewood said:
So if that's true, does it mean that the overall level of performance in the Majors this year was off significantly because of the lack of fans? And I guess that it affects hitting, pitching, and fielding equally since there didn't appear to be any difference in outcomes when comparing 2019 and 2020.
Why would one element out of many make a significant difference?
Your good faith answer is this: Pros get paid hundreds of thousands to tens of millions of dollars. The fan boost is great, but perhaps not necessary, though to use a season where players expected and prepared for no support as evidence of this seems weak.
Does a top 10 prospect need fans to perform well? Probably not. Does it make their job easier, make their stay more enjoyable? Absolutely. As supporters of those players I want them to be happy. -
10 hours ago, Sports Guy said:
If Tatis hits a homer and he does a bat flip, are you ok with that?
A pitcher celebrating is no different.
It is different, don’t be obtuse. A batter celebrating something he personally accomplished is different than a pitcher celebrating by himself after serving up a tater that was only saved by a great catch by his team mate.
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33 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:
I don't think ML teams care overmuch if their farm team draws a thousand or four thousand.
Maybe not but all things being equal they’d pick the location with better fan support. Fans are good for players psyche, an underrated component of performance.
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TBH I’m kind of with Manny on this one. The pitcher almost gave up a homer, Bellinger makes a great catch and the pitcher isnt out yelling and congratulating Bellinger, he was celebrating on the mound by himself. Kind of whack.
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Exciting group of players on that roster. Good job by Elias building the Middle Infield prospect list up so quickly.
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If Correa would’ve hit some more homeruns he would’ve been in your Top 10, so what?
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2 minutes ago, OrioleDog said:
Covid really muddied the water of what do Elias/Sig think 2022 is? I think all the other years, that answer is obvious, but in Rutschman May 1 or post All-Star break a big clue must start to come after about one more month of regular season play.
There won’t be much time to make a good data driven decision, but my hope is that by June 1 the pitchers in the rotation (Means, Kremer, Akin and hopefully one more prospect) show they are for real. That will allow the FO to bring AR up to learn the staff in advance of a (hopefully) competitive 2022.
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What has changed to allow them to announce PTBNL trades? I thought these would be post-season announcements.
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50 minutes ago, wildcard said:
Come on. Of course, if Mountcastle had played at left field and first base for 4 years he would be better at those positions than if they had played them for a few months.
I think we have seen this year that Elias' pitching coaches and analytics have benefited the pitching prospects more than prior to 2019. That includes Scott.
Would he be more comfortable in those positions today? Probably. Could it have hurt his confidence moving off those positions so early? Maybe. Does it make sense to allow him to prove he can’t handle those positions? Absolutely.
At the end of the day, Mountcastle looks every bit the hitting stud he was at times reported to be. Weird to use him as an example of the prior staff failings.
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1 hour ago, wildcard said:
Its an interesting list but I wonder how many were developed well under Duquette. The knock on Dan is not the drafting but the development.
Mancini developed under Dan. Brady gets some credit for working with Trey. Hader was traded early so not developed with the O's. Guasman may have been rushed. Could have been better than he was with the O's.
Means wasn't much of a prospect under Dan. It was Holt that helped him with the change which helped him have a good year in 2019. They say you can't mess up the good ones but Dan certainly tried. Keeping Mouncastle at SS/3B for too long.
Scott is coming around under Elias' team.
I like Dan and love the team he built in a short time after he joined the O's. But player development of minor leaguers was not his strong suit. He had a knack for acquiring players at the major league level and making a team into a winner. And that is not a bad thing.
If the narrative you want is that most of Dan’s picks that have had success were “turned around” by the new group, that’s your prerogative. It’s a mostly unprovable position, that I think is mostly hooey.
Did keeping Mountcastle in the infield hurt his development? Did Tanner Scott have the same issues throughout his early career and also exhibit them in the majors this year? -
7 hours ago, joelala said:
Wouldn’t that be nice. I think it also depends on the athlete. That may be more true for those who grew up with money and don’t “need” that extra 4 mil. But if you came from nothing I imagine the psychology is very different.
I’m sure by that point it’s mostly a personality based question instead of background/upbringing. Those that are lucky enough to decide if it’s money or desire for competition have likely made enough money in their career that the 4 million (while nice) isn’t a necessity.
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7 hours ago, DrungoHazewood said:
I think there will always be games, but MLB seems to be reconsidering the choices they made 100 years ago when they decided to directly employ hundreds of minor leaguers per franchise so that they can figure out which 10 or 15 are major leaguers. The world would continue to go around the sun and the vast majority of players will be picked out if each MLB team had a couple of affiliates and everyone else played in independent leagues or college or whatever. MLB operated very happily for over 50 years with essentially no affiliated minor leagues at all.
This is of course a topic for another thread, but at a time where the goal is to grow the game (when isn’t it I guess) you would think you would want as many pro adjacent games as possible. Young fans can get attached to the aura of a baseball game, even if the quality is a good deal lower. It certainly worked that way for me, growing up a ways away from Baltimore and any other MLB team.
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21 minutes ago, luismatos4prez said:
Anecdotally, I've spent some time around ultra-wealthy individuals. "I can relax. I've got enough." is not a mentality I ever observed in any of them.
True, I just wonder if that mentality among business/entrepreneur types is different among athletes. I always assumed athletes primary motivator for continuing to play was competition/winning.
The battles I want to see in ST
in Orioles Talk
Posted
It's not like Mullins has no history of delivering some game power. I generally agree that he should be more of a platoon/part time player, but to cast him as a one-trick bunting pony does a disservice to his overall ability.
Last year Mullins was 4/3/3 (2b/3b/hr) in the XBH department, interesting to be that even.